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Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

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11.8 C sun just making an appearance. IMG_0526.thumb.JPG.9e79dfc9780ea4ecbf72cfe33d10f2af.JPG  

drew this up last night on paint, this is the type of pattern I am hoping / looking to see develop weather.thumb.png.1eff248fdc17a6f3e824a35fdaca96d9.png plenty of ensembles now showing some form of trough / low developing over Scandinavia (possible section of PV) just struggling to get a grip on the higher pressure to the west but I am hopeful they will firm up on this.

gensnh-6-1-384.thumb.png.c0842d999784e37b75d230bead9369c9.pnggensnh-11-1-336.thumb.png.651fec11ab0958b56f29d69b638190f9.pnggensnh-13-1-312.thumb.png.6974cff1b564f44794cc500ec462f608.pnggensnh-18-1-336.thumb.png.8ca9ae51d38c7127c2b248e244814b45.pnganim_toh8.thumb.gif.0281f8e9ea68a8dfa9a9943b683f137f.gifgensnh-3-1-312.thumb.png.87824aa3f473f8bc2c977733c355cfb3.png    

@Stormeh could be some thundery showers tomorrow 

sounding8_curr.1400lst_d2.thumb.png.c5868c7ddd03f8a0760e30fc43e3f048.pngnmm_uk1-6-33-0.thumb.png.31a961f93b445e3c27f89cd5347d7cde.pngnmm_uk1-28-33-0.thumb.png.8862b1ac6b04424fee22339652734ce0.pnganim_dro4.thumb.gif.dd1297c8e5b206daa26f17e196553339.gifarpegeuk-28-33-0.thumb.png.7bd55a4c37121f055f732f38fca0d27a.pnghirlamuk-1-34-0.thumb.png.272e3f0f920ccab7779dc9e7facd0642.png      could be some hail too with some  cooler air in the mix  nmm_uk1-16-31-0.thumb.png.5e35b1e234414b2f1ceb2ce0cd54ca19.pngnmm_uk1-21-30-0.thumb.png.d0c841fd095d22bdd245a122d3d20e41.png   

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Gale force southerly wind now  with sunny intervals at 14 c and  RH of 26% .Fields drying up in front of our eyes with large areas now a powdery surface. Dust blowing off the farm tracks.

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Back home today. I've visited Skye many times and usually had mixed weather but never 6 days of all but unrelenting strong wind, heavy cloud and rain/drizzle. Really pants. 

As I was driving back east late morning, the sky brightened and then something strange appeared. What can it be, I wondered... so large and bright and warming???

 

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6°C over the Beef Tubs this afternoon. Pouring rain followed by dry n bright. 

We should cheer up though because T+240 is T+216 tomorrow :santa-emoji:

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5th consecutive day of temperatures getting above 10c. 12c earlier at Leuchars, now 10c.

Breezy with sunny spells and dry all day!

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The strong winds are becoming tiresome, it's been windy for over a week now. Would be nice to go out without being blown away.

Tomorrow is looking even windier, possibly gales for a time. From Thursday temperatures should gradually rise and winds drop. But it depends on how far west the HP can push, we could just end up with strong southern currents bringing gales and showers. 

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Some sunshine in between the heavy showers took this picture today of a rainbow. All week its been mainly cloudy, windy and mild and it looks like this is going to continue for another week.

17thfeb2019.jpg

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Feart to say this aloud, but its sunny, it;s calm, there is no wind, and it's currently 6C. We have scaffolders coming to fix the chimney and it looks like they might not be getting blown off this time 😈

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Another windy morning .The weather has been in this rut nearly all last autumn and winter.Seems to be the default pattern now with  damaging southerly winds every month since September.Cooler today at 5c

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10 hours ago, Zenarcher said:

 

17thfeb2019.jpg

Zenarcher that is a cracking foty! I tried to copy it to send to my daughter to show her what Scotland is like (she holidays abroad!!) but it won't save for me. Lovely pic and makes me wish that I'd got to Barra when I had the chance.. 

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Heaviest rain in quite some time atm in form of showers

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Not quite a double figure day for me again with a max of 8.6C. Felt colder than in recent days though with the strong breeze from the SSW. Another dry day!

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Back in mid January we booked up for a few days in Aviemore. (We will arrive Febuary 23rd and leave Febuary 27th)

8A183296-CAA8-4AF4-8DD3-6E648C8C8C0F.thumb.png.ed8d2c782eb8c0ffee955944ed03c06c.png

D4DE0E3D-FEFA-4C41-977C-B3BB7E72C9BC.thumb.png.8512df580b3c5a836397f98435f1bf89.png

The idea was to take my son (who will be 1 year old) sledging up Cairngorm mountain and up the hill to feed the reindeers with a snow covered landscape...

0FDFD500-DB6A-4E3D-8192-2F635EFACF96.thumb.png.b67408a989ae1b30ad71d47bc64170cc.png

 

I think we will be packing his Summer outfits, bucket and spade and building sandcastles at Loch Morlich! 

C5244A60-A0A5-44CF-80A8-3A8CA841D48B.thumb.png.fdc46792ac05e853355ae488cbf055b2.png

 

It really has been a rubbish Winter IMBY and it is going out with a whimper with regards to seasonal weather.

I shall see you all at some point in March when we are all snowed in! 🙏

 

 

 

 

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Missed the showers here today now 6.7 C after a high of 9.6 C did get a pic before it got dark with some showers in the distance IMG_0530.thumb.JPG.3aa74a23f37574088b7f2084350249ae.JPG

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1 hour ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Missed the showers here today now 6.7 C after a high of 9.6 C did get a pic before it got dark with some showers in the distance IMG_0530.thumb.JPG.3aa74a23f37574088b7f2084350249ae.JPG

They came across Edinburgh. I got woken up by the lashing rain at about 3:30AM this morning, then further very heavy showers at around 16:00. More rain this evening with prolonged showers moving in from the west.

Weather's been really crappy recently, and Wednesday looks very wet indeed. Was raining yesterday too, and the winds are relentless

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3 hours ago, Mr Frost said:

Back in mid January we booked up for a few days in Aviemore. (We will arrive Febuary 23rd and leave Febuary 27th)

8A183296-CAA8-4AF4-8DD3-6E648C8C8C0F.thumb.png.ed8d2c782eb8c0ffee955944ed03c06c.png

D4DE0E3D-FEFA-4C41-977C-B3BB7E72C9BC.thumb.png.8512df580b3c5a836397f98435f1bf89.png

The idea was to take my son (who will be 1 year old) sledging up Cairngorm mountain and up the hill to feed the reindeers with a snow covered landscape...

0FDFD500-DB6A-4E3D-8192-2F635EFACF96.thumb.png.b67408a989ae1b30ad71d47bc64170cc.png

 

I think we will be packing his Summer outfits, bucket and spade and building sandcastles at Loch Morlich! 

C5244A60-A0A5-44CF-80A8-3A8CA841D48B.thumb.png.fdc46792ac05e853355ae488cbf055b2.png

 

It really has been a rubbish Winter IMBY and it is going out with a whimper with regards to seasonal weather.

I shall see you all at some point in March when we are all snowed in! 🙏

 

 

 

 

I don't think record temperatures will be reached. GFS and ECMWF have agreed on uppers peaking at "only" around +9/+10. Inversions will be present, there will be clouds around and a moderate breeze should keep temperatures around 13-14C. 

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My sympathies to Hairy Celt who had a completely crap week on Skye. I do hope you managed to find a half decent bar to sup a couple of drams! Calm and cooler here today, no rain ( yet! ). Ah well, at least the rain has been good for the whisky and gin industries up here! 🍷🍸

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Jeezo, seems like weeks now since I saw a chart that had any sort of appeal.

FI 10 days oot, but I can dream. 

Basically nae winter here so far this year. 😔

ecmt850.240.png

t850Midlothian.png

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6 hours ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

More heavy rain moving into Edinburgh. The sky is black to the west. Then heavy rain again tonight and for most of tomorrow. 

Really not been that bad so far today. 

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2 hours ago, 101_North said:

Really not been that bad so far today. 

Most of the showers died out before getting here this morning, it drizzled for about 10 minutes. And finally the wind has calmed down!

More rain moving in from the west now, but looking very intermittent for now. 

Thursday and Friday should stay dry before further rain moves in over the weekend

gfs-2-108.png

Edited by edinburgh_1992

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Less windy today and curently 7c

Saw the first lapwing over the fields today but no sign of any oyster catchers.  A bit of a surprise was seeing quite a number of ladybirds,  a left over from last summer possibly  when the grain was full of them.

Seem some folk want  to reintroduce lynx .Would they be an apex predator and help to control  the badger numbers as well as the deer?

 

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6.6 C with rain on and off here 1.7 mm so far  

12 minutes ago, Northernlights said:

A bit of a surprise was seeing quite a number of ladybirds,  a left over from last summer possibly  when the grain was full of them.

Seem some folk want  to reintroduce lynx .Would they be an apex predator and help to control  the badger numbers as well as the deer?

 

had quite a few ladybirds here at the end of last year not seen much since.

"Bigger Eurasian lynx hunt deer and other larger prey in addition to small animals."  https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/mammals/group/lynx/

Diet/hunting
The Eurasian lynx eats a wide range of prey but tends to focus on roe deer whenever they are available. In their absence other ungulates, including red deer, are typically favoured, and various other small mammals are also often in the diet. Lynx will occasionally hunt gamebirds and, quite rarely, sheep, they are a strict carnivore and will eat 1-2kg of meat per day.  http://www.lynxuk.org/lynx.html

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The run of 10c days at Leuchars was stopped yesterday with a 9.9c max 😀 Only 19mm of rainfall at the same site this month so we’ve missed most of the wet weather.

 

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