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Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

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i see the pub run has gone nuts tonight, slammed into the freezer if that came off. we can hope cant we??

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It's still far away, but there has definitely been a change in the model output today. Ecmwf looking less flat, good GFS and gefs especially on the pub run. 

 

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Both the GFS and para are showing the potential of severe gusts which could possibly funnel though the central belt.

12B779C2-537A-47F4-BFE7-FBE039891448.thumb.gif.28f5ca0209e7f97a2e4427d5423819db.gif

18403FE1-D28F-4425-B98D-33DAC7535A34.thumb.gif.628f976f41b1c4169f20ed73036df785.gif

I won’t be surprised if the Met Office issue a amber warning tomorrow.

3 hours ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

A long way to go yet but once / if we start to see higher pressure developing close to / over the UK things could start to get interesting quite quickly I think.

You are right, certainly looking interesting on the 18z 🙂

A127923A-EF70-4EB3-985C-97A94A2467F3.thumb.gif.178c13cf8102e61d1c23948f8fe5f9c9.gif

 

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Models are a lot more promising but it's all just potentially potential potent cold at the moment.

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Wasn't expecting to have to scrape the car this morning! Seems to be a daily routine this winter! Nice morning. Partly cloudy 0.5c.

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4 minutes ago, 101_North said:

Wasn't expecting to have to scrape the car this morning! Seems to be a daily routine this winter! Nice morning. Partly cloudy 0.5c.

Bit different over here, 3.5C, misty and wet. No ice in sight.

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1C here, calm, cloudy, no need rlto scrape car. Things beginning to turn green again but still plenty of snow remaining from the weekend and Monday's falls. In fact I could do with breaking up some of the compacted snow and ice where we park the cars as its become increasingly dangerous getting in and out of them. 

 

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Morning.

Currently 2.9c here with an SSW calmness.  Went out to the bin last night and noticed that it was unexpectedly slippy.   As temps didn't get below 2.1c overnight,  it made that a bit surprising. Anyhoo, not much happening weatherwise so far today.   A bit meh really.

static_weathercams.php.jpg

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Chilly, cloudy and damp.  No wind whatsoever despite virtually the whole bloody EBC forecast going on about how bloody windy it's going to be. :aggressive:

 

Ok, the sun's out now :oldgrin:

Edited by Hairy Celt

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3 hours ago, 101_North said:

Wasn't expecting to have to scrape the car this morning! Seems to be a daily routine this winter! Nice morning. Partly cloudy 0.5c.

No ice in Edinburgh, temperature got down to 2C this morning, but now it's back up to 5. Not massively mild though, feeling wintry

I am a bit worried about the storm between Friday and Saturday, the central belt will be hit badly by the storm. I was hoping that the models would shift the low further down south, but that didn't happen.

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8 minutes ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

No ice in Edinburgh, temperature got down to 2C this morning, but now it's back up to 5. Not massively mild though, feeling wintry

I am a bit worried about the storm between Friday and Saturday, the central belt will be hit badly by the storm. I was hoping that the models would shift the low further down south, but that didn't happen.

The peak gust across all the models I've looked at is going to be 70mph, most places will have gusts of 60mph and no more. A lot of tree damage and a few loose slates or chimneys down at worst. Still time to change but as it stands it doesn't look too bad.

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13 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

The peak gust across all the models I've looked at is going to be 70mph, most places will have gusts of 60mph and no more. A lot of tree damage and a few loose slates or chimneys down at worst. Still time to change but as it stands it doesn't look too bad.

As long as it doesn't turn out to be like 3rd January 2012 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2012_janwind

I have never experienced winds like it, lost my fence and plenty of roof tiles that day. I am sure the low unexpectedly got deeper with very tight isobars across the central belt that day. I hope this never happens again.

asxx_20120103_0600utc_sm.thumb.gif.3688bf6e385c15ee6767d5647601648d.gif

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8 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

As long as it doesn't turn out to be like 3rd January 2012 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2012_janwind

I have never experienced winds like it, lost my fence and plenty of roof tiles that day. I am sure the low unexpectedly got deeper with very tight isobars across the central belt that day. I hope this never happens again.

asxx_20120103_0600utc_sm.thumb.gif.3688bf6e385c15ee6767d5647601648d.gif

or like Hurricane Bawbag :oldlaugh: :help:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Bawbag 

 

archives-2011-12-8-12-0.png archives-2011-12-9-0-0.png

Trees and fences were down all over the place here in Kirkcaldy - think we got some of the sting jet that developed 

 

certainly does look quite nasty ATM 39-515UK.GIF?07-6 ECM1-48.GIF?07-12  UW48-21.GIF?07-05 

 

 

5.6C here and cloudy 

anim_vup1.thumb.gif.1dad92a9bf0b2154a05262fa7576a051.gifgensnh-3-1-384.thumb.png.5f077f2b0e7f81969d9234d62f891f2b.pnganim_dqy4.thumb.gif.fa5ee112295403f09948c1cc8244098f.gifgensnh-8-1-384.thumb.png.86ac5f00e2c8eea3b6adfeff90628dbc.pnggensnh-9-1-384.thumb.png.98efb9f5c8c3113f8718ec40315fc47b.pnggensnh-11-1-384.thumb.png.e19c96f06360e7fb7837171af05962b3.pnganim_xvk6.thumb.gif.f3136faacdf8f824e034c5f24117c13d.gifgensnh-13-1-384.thumb.png.c16f2a1d1c85c4cad27b900a913cf164.pnggensnh-7-1-360.thumb.png.3a425af2b66cabba1a9b8b655349e38c.png1761188072_gens-12-1-384(1).thumb.png.2336864148137314f63faf263ec893c6.png     interest continues...

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@Stormeh - I've got to nearly 60 years and have been through 4 really scary storms that I can remember so I reckon they're a bit more frequent than we'd all like.

Hopefully this next low won't bomb...

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57 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

As long as it doesn't turn out to be like 3rd January 2012 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2012_janwind

I have never experienced winds like it, lost my fence and plenty of roof tiles that day. I am sure the low unexpectedly got deeper with very tight isobars across the central belt that day. I hope this never happens again.

asxx_20120103_0600utc_sm.thumb.gif.3688bf6e385c15ee6767d5647601648d.gif

I think that was the time I wrote the storm off as nothing unusual...and then the sting jet came and proved me wronger than pineapple on a pizza.

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23 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

I think that was the time I wrote the storm off as nothing unusual...and then the sting jet came and proved me wronger than pineapple on a pizza.

That’s the term I was looking for, a sting jet, thanks.

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43 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

That’s the term I was looking for, a sting jet, pineapple on pizza is rank, thanks.

Lol. So you don't like PoP either. We should form a club. Just think yourself lucky you don't live with a family of militant vegans.

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5 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

Lol. So you don't like PoP either. We should form a club. Just think yourself lucky you don't live with a family of militant vegans.

Quite the opposite in this house, if I served a meal with no meat there would be a riot. 

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Must admit i do like stormy weather but i don't see it being anything out of the ordinary.'Hurricane bawbag' wasn't all that bad where i am mostly in the 60-70mph range although quite persistent as it lasted for a good 5/6 hours.The Jan 3rd storm was the strongest i've ever experienced.It only lasted about an hour but it was regularly getting to around 90mph.Plenty of sheet roofs blown off including the full roof on nearby council flats and there must have been a lot of tiles off with the amount of people up fixing their roofs over the following few weeks.Boxing day 98 was quite bad too but Jan 3rd was the only proper near Hurricane strength storm i've seen.

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I missed Bawbag as was in Forth Valley Royal with the missus and the arrival of number 4. 3rd Jan was scary, the house I thought was moving almost like a mini earthquake, kids were terrified.

I am going to miss this one as well, as heading to Worcester in the morning for the weekend, her indoors has tickets to Boyz something at NEC. (PS I am not attending merely the chauffeur 😂

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15 minutes ago, Cheggers said:

I missed Bawbag as was in Forth Valley Royal with the missus and the arrival of number 4. 3rd Jan was scary, the house I thought was moving almost like a mini earthquake, kids were terrified.

I am going to miss this one as well, as heading to Worcester in the morning for the weekend, her indoors has tickets to Boyz something at NEC. (PS I am not attending merely the chauffeur 😂

 

CpgcEZoWgAAszlb.thumb.jpg.586373ca502d8b3b326c7834b06fd1c4.jpg might have to get a t shirt in memory :oldrofl:   get-blown-away-with-the-get-around-glasg 

some more from the 2012 storm 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Ulli https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2012_janwind https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-16385049

Edited by Kirkcaldy Weather

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Its still waiting for more .A few photos from the farm road today which is to the north of some woodland .002.thumb.JPG.bee0f38d72bee2ccc405b860604ac9ff.JPG006.thumb.JPG.d0fd658ab33aaf4804a1732dda43acd3.JPG008.thumb.JPG.d0bf2895d14d0f91accf4e5dfcf007e7.JPG009.thumb.JPG.0e9e2513f0126280f39bab2eeb9ed06a.JPG011.thumb.JPG.448bc062e20f9b720fe5625defd9346d.JPG013.thumb.JPG.a918a7ac6117b770afd2cea6429f57e8.JPG016.thumb.JPG.b81e10341cb2802c067f34975ffe635e.JPG

 

.

A ground frost this morning and with clear skies this afternoon the frost is coming down again .Currently 1.5c

 

 

Daffs peeping through the snow and snowdrops in flower.015.thumb.JPG.3ce18331dc1510724a9374f3fbffe594.JPG003.thumb.JPG.3f05230d4386f08ff4bb9f870424c47e.JPG

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A few models have a decent stab at a snow event on Sunday:

anim_zto3.gif

 

Edited by CatchMyDrift

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