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Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

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1 hour ago, 101_North said:

Cold and frosty at -2c. Latest Met Office update really holds little interest for the Lothians - suggesting it'll remain mostly dry all week with just an occasional sleet or snow shower. BBC forecast shows some sleet. Checking  the charts hasn't raised my excitement levels much either! I hope the reality is different but I'm starting to suspect this week could be quite disappointing!

Still - looking cold and dry. An odd winter but better than mild, rain and gales I guess 😀

P.S. Not giving up. Dreaming of a Feb, Mar and April even just half as good as last year!!!

 

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&mode=2&runpara=1

The GFSp is quite tasty for the SE of Scotland. I am sailing in the good ship Sceptical alongside you but you never know. 

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12 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&mode=2&runpara=1

The GFSp is quite tasty for the SE of Scotland. I am sailing in the good ship Sceptical alongside you but you never know. 

Maybe once it's within a reliable timeframe I'll allow my excitement to cut loose 😀 Until then it's a cracking cold, frosty morning - and a few more to come 😀

Edited by 101_North

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Well, well! Looks ever likely that I could be seeing some white stuff tomorrow! Forecasts vary, one says snow, one says sleet, so if I deploy my reverse psychology and say we'll only get sleet........❄❄❄

Currently 2.1c and overcast. Perhaps this time tomorrow it'll be all white ( or not! ).

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Driving up to Forres on Tuesday night returning on Wednesday night, thoughts on the A9 and up via Granton?

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Frost has returned mud all gone for a while.Snow level l down to sea level across the Firth certainly in Wick 004.thumb.JPG.9ae83ac6a433b4753d274ba26230af7c.JPGand the cliffs at Dunbeath.

Snow steadily building up on the higher hills. 002.thumb.JPG.af4b7cc2d6fc7e29698968751d001d19.JPG Currently 0c

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GFS does at least hint at some potential for snow across the Lothians tomorrow morning for a while:

prectypeuktopo.png

Can't imagine it'll bring the place to it's knees but it would be great to even get a dusting from a rogue shower or two.

The Met Office warning is also hilariously close to the house without quite getting there. Not sure that's a bad thing - they quite often underestimate the easterly extent of shower activity so we'll see what happens!

warning.thumb.jpg.12f2bf86aa346b97d867eae84fed62c9.jpg 

Could be worse I guess. Dry and frosty with a chance of a snow shower blowing through. Who wouldn't take that over what usually hits us from the west 😀

Now - this moment of positivity has exhausted me - expect serious misery at some point this week 😂🤣

Edited by 101_North

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1 hour ago, Quinach said:

At last, some snow - all 1cm of lovely powder.

Not enough to cause much disruption but enough to make everything look proper winter like 😀

Dead calm outside, -1c and sunny so a nice winters walk coming up.

For here though the Met office is not very inspiring for the rest of the week, no sign of any more snow if their app is to be believed.

Woke up to a surprising 4, maybe 5cm of that nice powder this morning. The extra height and maybe a bit more luck with the track of the showers making the difference perhaps. Temp was between -1 and -3 on the commute along largely untreated minor roads and slushy A roads until I hit the A96 at Huntly, which was just wet. Definitely a lot less snow towards Keith & Fochabers, but still a dusting at both.

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34 minutes ago, 101_North said:

GFS does at least hint at some potential for snow across the Lothians tomorrow morning for a while:

prectypeuktopo.png

Can't imagine it'll bring the place to it's knees but it would be great to even get a dusting from a rogue shower or two.

The Met Office warning is also hilariously close to the house without quite getting there. Not sure that's a bad thing - they quite often underestimate the easterly extent of shower activity so we'll see what happens!

warning.thumb.jpg.12f2bf86aa346b97d867eae84fed62c9.jpg 

Could be worse I guess. Dry and frosty with a chance of a snow shower blowing through. Who wouldn't take that over what usually hits us from the west 😀

Now - this moment of positivity has exhausted me - expect serious misery at some point this week 😂🤣

Edinburgh snowshield in full effect 😏

Edited by Penicuikblizzard

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The euro4 still looking good for parts of the central belt, some of the showers should hopefully make it over to the east.

7771072E-5A68-4CFB-9197-A6E69D36387F.thumb.gif.8e6b37212076d5921b1f918a260aae1f.gif

4D040B06-E4FB-424C-A436-46CF315F90E5.thumb.gif.fba90c3c9a5bf895d3ff8793a50523e9.gif

D59774F6-82A8-4649-999A-45E1E0B406F4.thumb.gif.79c50b8e9200b05356423246232cee92.gif

 

Thursday’s low looks like it won’t even make it north of the midlands according to what they are saying in the mad house. The GFS and para still show it moving up into the central belt so hopefully the GFS is correct. A lot of uncertainty this week which makes it kind of exciting. Fingers crossed we all see some of the white stuff!

Edited by Stormeh

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18 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

The euro4 still looking good for parts of the central belt, some of the showers should hopefully make it over to the east.

7771072E-5A68-4CFB-9197-A6E69D36387F.thumb.gif.8e6b37212076d5921b1f918a260aae1f.gif

4D040B06-E4FB-424C-A436-46CF315F90E5.thumb.gif.fba90c3c9a5bf895d3ff8793a50523e9.gif

D59774F6-82A8-4649-999A-45E1E0B406F4.thumb.gif.79c50b8e9200b05356423246232cee92.gif

 

Thursday’s low looks like it won’t even make it north of the midlands according to what they are saying in the mad house. The GFS and para still show it moving up into the central belt so hopefully the GFS is correct. A lot of uncertainty this week which makes it kind of exciting. Fingers crossed we all see some of the white stuff!

The Met haven’t even nailed Thursdays low, the model thread tends to be bias to the Midlands south anyway! We should have a Scottish model thread 😂

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Showers starting to appear in the west now, depoints still below freezing which is a good sign! 

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Fun to look at despite it probably (almost certainly) being a loads of old baws 😂

ECMWF - Snow Depth Nonsense

Edinburgh

Currie

Edited by 101_North

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5 minutes ago, Ross B said:

Showers starting to appear in the west now, depoints still below freezing which is a good sign! 

Think that is the first front shown on the fax charts  20190128.1257.PPVA89.png  and lots of troughs in the flow to look forward to tomorrow and possibly enough of a westerly flow to help bring the showers to areas further east like myself and other snow starved easterners 20190128.1108.PPVE89.png  20190128.0512.PPVG89.png 🤞 ❄️ tumblr_min0zwMn091qjnqapo1_500.gif

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19 minutes ago, ghoneym said:

Not a bad update for Eastern areas, @Kirkcaldy Weather some could awake to a dusting at least by morning 🤩

What is she wearing 😛 ?

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1 minute ago, Hairy Celt said:

What is she wearing 😛 ?

Looks like the GFS sea level pressure map - in black and white. 

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32 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

What is she wearing 😛 ?

I often think the BBC clothing department hate the weather ladies as they appear in some rotten outfits. Perhaps this trend has been extended to the met O

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Just now, snowidea said:

I often think the BBC clothing department hate the weather ladies as they appear in some rotten outfits. Perhaps this trend has been extended to the met O

Yes. This one is just dreadful. It's a shame because it's actually a decent forecast for snow!

 

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8 hours ago, edo said:

he had a couple of evenings of exciteable musings in the MT and seemed to delete his account 

or he may be shaking in a corner someplace as we keep seem to be missing from any predicted areas for snow 😂

hooefully hes ok and will return at the first sign of snow on the ground 

Damn, yes hopefully he will come back in here. We need him for snaw! lol

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Just had a shower pass through and can confirm it was snow. I only expected rain this evening. Hope we catch some more. 

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