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Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

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+3C in Edinburgh, looks like it rained last night. All of yesterday's frost was washed away.

Today's models postpone the colder air from Saturday afternoon to sunday evening, unfortunately. There is still a lot of uncertainty, but for now it looks like we could be having a very wet weekend, mild on Saturday and then slowly turning sleety and blustery through Sunday as the colder air moves in. 

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Some of these photos should be posted in the model thread...

edit, apologies, I mean some of the photos above from this morning.

Edited by Hairy Celt
ambiguity!
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Some pics from my time away in Crieff.

20190122_104357.jpg

20190124_081546.jpg

20190122_114415.jpg

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2 hours ago, edo said:

amazing pics.... wheres @Kirkcaldy Weather needing some charts in here to save me the time trying to look them up myself 😁

Here you go mate 😀 ❄️

gens-4-1-384.thumb.png.90b214af690853903fea49fa00014f41.pnggens-4-0-384.thumb.png.4e796bbf1f3ba17d2f9e933bc3caa601.pnggens-5-1-288.thumb.png.804808801888e693a945088e68dd0dc3.pnggens-6-1-252.thumb.png.99e973b22bf7b2d970dd6673eac267b0.pnggens-7-1-240.thumb.png.4aa6ede88bedb274edfcbb0898bba4cf.pnggens-20-1-240.thumb.png.7a46399a501436196faad80fc0ad2b0c.png     

gens-20-1-384.thumb.png.79cddf12b3566d068f8e928a30c8606e.pnggensnh-2-1-240.thumb.png.32aed71815e2fee4ae5d61af1f883472.pnggensnh-5-1-216.thumb.png.bea68cedd4c97030d385116eb01804dd.pnggensnh-5-1-312.thumb.png.a9dae7887f3a86eec8c82c8a809083a8.pnggensnh-5-1-384.thumb.png.bc0d1c5f40d17e24dae68979edcaee56.pnggensnh-7-1-384.thumb.png.0e3a872a7d11ddd2c82f713b8af6cca6.png     

anim_osw1.thumb.gif.a84a232d365f51a735c6027717cd505b.gifanim_dpi4.thumb.gif.3c3bfb6279fa60afcc0c3ebf27446fe6.gifanim_hxf2.thumb.gif.3a021c084d63718dc14a592477e3ddd0.gifgraphe3_1000___-3.16202_56.10878_.thumb.gif.313f288c9a05ccea1a757a18ecb6902b.gifgraphe3_1001___-3.16202_56.10878_.thumb.gif.acd388b5d14b5a7ec61c0bfa5a5ebfbd.gif   some of those ensembles have a 2010 esque look about them to me... and phase 7 from the MJO beginning to look more likely... (think blocking) diagram_40days_forecast_GEFS_member.thumb.gif.a2e2ce1c41021ddeb4d287d9ec4f09cb.gifdiagram_40days_forecast_GEFSBC_member.thumb.gif.85a264caf3cfccae108e8b626dbe5740.gifCFSO_phase_small.thumb.gif.148e7b4852a71100e65b101e95af2d6f.gifECMF_phase_51m_small.thumb.gif.f9514ca3a227cc0cf76e5a9b47f25dce.gif     Looks like the fun and games could start kicking off from this weekend as a low moves across the country pulling in a N / NE feed (question over strength of cold uppers, might be a more sleet / snow mix of showers)  gens-0-1-72.thumb.png.0e7f50e32bbd533a95da21752281fd43.png 

tumblr_ogny5udCPy1u1ljrzo1_540.gif

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@ciel, I didn't see sunrise this morning but Mrs Catch knows to take a snap for me, not sure it's very high res though 🙂

received_329094881147195.thumb.jpeg.afe01ceaac718f04aeed21f5d74f2894.jpeg

 

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14 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

@ciel, I didn't see sunrise this morning but Mrs Catch knows to take a snap for me, not sure it's very high res though 🙂

received_329094881147195.thumb.jpeg.afe01ceaac718f04aeed21f5d74f2894.jpeg

 

Simply stunning!

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22 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

@ciel, I didn't see sunrise this morning but Mrs Catch knows to take a snap for me, not sure it's very high res though 🙂

received_329094881147195.thumb.jpeg.afe01ceaac718f04aeed21f5d74f2894.jpeg

 

Impressive pastel sunrise in London too there are some great pics showcasing the best of Scotland on here! 

14451501-2C06-4481-81C4-ABF9623479CC.thumb.jpeg.8f692ec9d555214bc859887008d1c7d9.jpeg

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Wow some cracking sunrise pictures!

Missed it this morning but here is a couple I took back in December.

403DCBCE-9F07-4768-BE7B-7B155ED33A35.thumb.jpeg.673e12a76f4c8fbc261fe305ae2460b9.jpeg

1FCCD70A-DA39-4358-9C99-E832CA5F8A9A.thumb.jpeg.c934fceb5095d0fbd8949b80a69968b8.jpeg

 

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I'm still learning..so I see in the main thread they are winging about the ecm...do things still look good for Scotland? 

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37 minutes ago, Huntforsnow said:

I'm still learning..so I see in the main thread they are winging about the ecm...do things still look good for Scotland? 

The ECM is not as good as the GFS was earlier. It is ok for us but slightly warmer after about 8 days from now.

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Blimey @ciel that's a cracking shot!

+1.2°C now and snow melty.

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For some strange reason I'm not able to reply or post over in the cold hunt thread.. still looking for Scotland next week and I'm not sure why the folk in the South of the UK are so upset.. have they not had any snow yet??😂😂😂❄❄

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ECM snow depth charts are looking tasty 

Tuesday 29th January 6pm

32978BAE-1DDB-4406-8410-A84597E14BBF.thumb.png.a2761abac294bcca6432eb465e15e029.png

Friday 1st February 6pm

83B440A3-4CC4-45BB-8898-E6EC6B70BFD6.thumb.png.72733b2a40c96e9d1481118971760ea0.png

Certainly a good dumpling for higher areas, hopefully conditions are right for low levels as well. The GFS and the para are looking great if not even better. Plenty to look forward to as we head into next week 🙂

 

It’s a pair a these yer wantin..

02C32C50-C54A-4D3E-93C6-4422DFC7E679.thumb.jpeg.c2814d97becfb9fcec09bb3339c64aa2.jpeg

Edited by Stormeh
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legend @Kirkcaldy weather lets hope us easties can get some snow in

@bigsnow you must be on a suspension.... were you winding our southern brothers up 🤔

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1 minute ago, edo said:

legend @Kirkcaldy weather lets hope us easties can get some snow in

@bigsnow you must be on a suspension.... were you winding our southern brothers up 🤔

not this week no..lol. ive gone onto my profile and cant see anything to suggest it. and i was able to post yesterday.

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Maybe they've just banned anyone Scottish from posting in there as a precautionary measure, especially if the snow depth charts @Stormehposted prove to be accurate. If they are, then by 1st Feb I'll have given up trying to dig my way out. There'll be a path kept clear between the door and the wood shed and we'll hole up until the spring. 

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42 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

ECM snow depth charts are looking tasty 

Tuesday 29th January 6pm

32978BAE-1DDB-4406-8410-A84597E14BBF.thumb.png.a2761abac294bcca6432eb465e15e029.png

Friday 1st February 6pm

83B440A3-4CC4-45BB-8898-E6EC6B70BFD6.thumb.png.72733b2a40c96e9d1481118971760ea0.png

Certainly a good dumpling for higher areas, hopefully conditions are right for low levels as well. The GFS and the para are looking great if not even better. Plenty to look forward to as we head into next week 🙂

 

It’s a pair a these yer wantin..

02C32C50-C54A-4D3E-93C6-4422DFC7E679.thumb.jpeg.c2814d97becfb9fcec09bb3339c64aa2.jpeg

Do these snow depths suggest a North Easterly flow ??

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They suggest a lot of snow...lol

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18 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

Do these snow depths suggest a North Easterly flow ??

It's based on the latest ECM, winds turning North Easterly towards the Friday. 

Great post by @Kirkcaldy Weather above 🙂

 

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Next week certainly looking chilly, however it is way too early to say where or if it will snow. By Monday hopefully we should have a better idea. 

Drizzle here in Edinburgh, and temps starting to climb. Up to 11 by tomorrow morning 😭

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15 minutes ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

Next week certainly looking chilly, however it is way too early to say where or if it will snow. By Monday hopefully we should have a better idea. 

Drizzle here in Edinburgh, and temps starting to climb. Up to 11 by tomorrow morning 😭

Yes warmer air has arrived in Edinburgh. Just drove up the road and car showed 5C on the way out to the Forth bridge. Still 0.5C here with frost on the ground but starting to rise now. Warmer everywhere by morning.

Edit. Rain just started. Still cold at 0.7C.

Edited by Norrance
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19 minutes ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

Next week certainly looking chilly, however it is way too early to say where or if it will snow. By Monday hopefully we should have a better idea. 

Drizzle here in Edinburgh, and temps starting to climb. Up to 11 by tomorrow morning 😭

I am heading to Edinburgh tomorrow for the day with the wife. We are going to visit Maison de Moggy to see some nice felines (hmm wont let me use the p word for cat 😛) 🐱🤪, then off a walk up the Royal Mile. 

11c tomorrow? No need for the winter jacket then 🙄 

Bring on the snaw next week!

 

Edited by Stormeh

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19 minutes ago, Norrance said:

Yes warmer air has arrived in Edinburgh. Just drove up the road and car showed 5C on the way out to the Forth bridge. Still 0.5C here with frost on the ground but starting to rise now. Warmer everywhere by morning.

Edit. Rain just started. Still cold at 0.7C.

850 temps are going positive now, so no snow anywhere in Scotland even if ground temperatures are low. 

And stormeh, you probably won't need a coat tomorrow. Looking fairly dry too, maybe the odd spot of drizzle at times. 

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