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Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

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Where's all this optimism for the next 2 days coming from? The met have Glasgow and surrounding areas at about 3-4 degrees and heavy rain through tomorrow night possibly turning to sleet or light snow showers on Tuesday.It doesn't look like a forecast that would bring lying snow to anywhere other than the hills...

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Can't see any easterlies in sight on the models. North-westerlies yes, but they rarely bring snow to Edinburgh. Although last January we had a day of snow showers brought in on a north-westerly. Quite heavy ones too. 

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10 minutes ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

Can't see any easterlies in sight on the models. North-westerlies yes, but they rarely bring snow to Edinburgh. Although last January we had a day of snow showers brought in on a north-westerly. Quite heavy ones too. 

North-westerly now showing for next Sunday.  Could be fun - I'll be on Skye then :cold:

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Damp and dreary in Inverness in the morning though afternoon better with sunshine and variable cloud.

Steady thaw, light winds, and a max of 5C going by the car thermometer.

Got to say, you do get a cracking view of the local area from the top of Raigmore Hospital.  View NW towards Ben Wyvis, snow sticking with altitude but by this time all melted at low level.

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Just back from my brothers where my wife was playing the board game Twilight Struggle with my sister in-law. Took a photo 4 hours after we thought we thought we would get home. Not staying up for the lunar eclipse. I think the cat has happy to see us and angry with us at the same time.

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8 hours ago, Ross90 said:

Where's all this optimism for the next 2 days coming from? The met have Glasgow and surrounding areas at about 3-4 degrees and heavy rain through tomorrow night possibly turning to sleet or light snow showers on Tuesday.It doesn't look like a forecast that would bring lying snow to anywhere other than the hills...

 

BBC weather this morning West Scotland "rain, hill snow, possible light cover of snow for low levels Tuesday morning"

I think we'll see Met Office warnings being issued later on today.

P.S. BBC weather also going for colder temperatures next week.

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MetO saying heavy rain tae sleet tae snaw fir masel.

Cannae say it's looking like much tae write hame aboot!

Decent frost this morning though. While I don't want tae lose any friends over this, I huv tae say it was rather nice walking the dugs in the snawless sunshine yesterday. Was only 2 C, but t-shirt weather as so still and dry.

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BBC forecast has my location as dry with sunny spells for now until at least the 3rd Feb! Temps between 2-8c. If it's not going to snow then I guess dry, sunny and occasionally frosty is not too bad 😀

I don't think I've ever posted as little on here in a winter period - says it all really 😂🤣

Edited by 101_North
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1 hour ago, 101_North said:

BBC forecast has my location as dry with sunny spells for now until at least the 3rd Feb! Temps between 2-8c. If it's not going to snow then I guess dry, sunny and occasionally frosty is not too bad 😀

I don't think I've ever posted as little on here in a winter period - says it all really 😂🤣

https://apps.sepa.org.uk/rainfall

My nearest raingauge has registered 7.5mm of rain in the last 4 weeks. You will have been quite similar I think? Someone has switched the weather off. It wasn't this dry in the dry spell in May/June. 

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43 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

https://apps.sepa.org.uk/rainfall

My nearest raingauge has registered 7.5mm of rain in the last 4 weeks. You will have been quite similar I think? Someone has switched the weather off. It wasn't this dry in the dry spell in May/June. 

It has been quite a dry last 12 months in general.The only wetter than average period i can remember was the first half of October.There's been very few stormy/windy days either.

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46 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

https://apps.sepa.org.uk/rainfall

My nearest raingauge has registered 7.5mm of rain in the last 4 weeks. You will have been quite similar I think? Someone has switched the weather off. It wasn't this dry in the dry spell in May/June. 

Yep - my nearest has registered 7mm since 28th December! Nice to get some dry weather I guess but it's so nondescript!

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Cold (not quite frosty) and grey here this morning.  There's still patchy and very thin snow lying in the garden so I'm sure most of the Highlands will still be white and getting whiter soon.  The forecast for this week is cold and er not much else for here...

It's been very dry here too and I remember some of the burns in Caithness in the summer had pretty well no flow from June to mid August. Late September into October was wetter but it's been generally dry since.

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As expected, Met Office issue yellow warnings for snow and ice for large parts of Scotland.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-01-21

 

Latest update from MWIS:

PLANNING OUTLOOK

All mountain areas of Britain from Tuesday 22nd January 2019

The colder conditions will continue across the mountains over the next week or fortnight - perhaps longer. Mountain temperatures will frequently be sub-freezing, often to lower slopes in Scotland, although from Thursday to Sunday this week, there will be cycles of freeze and thaw Scottish Highlands, whilst elsewhere, summit temperatures will most often be above freezing point. Precipitation wise, there will be further snow, albeit some melting periods later this week. Next week, there may well be extensive fresh snowfall, substantial in some areas.

 

Edited by Sceptical
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Euro4 still looking good for the west but I wonder if It is overdoing the snow potential for the Glasgow and Ayshire areas? It is usually quite good in these situations so I hope it is correct 🙂

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413C5A65-E554-41C2-BBFB-64FB8FE05ED9.thumb.gif.16073ac23b7c8b5524ce0b023b01c0cb.gif

 

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Wet and windy here today the highest gust being 50mph so far. The Met Office has downgraded my chances of snow for tonight and Tuesday morning it's just saying rain now with some sleet showers. The GFS is still saying light snow tonight but just can't see that happening here.

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Glencoe just now 

Can’t wait to go here at the end of February 🙂

 

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So Alford is in the Yellow Warning area issued by the MetO, yet thier own app has me getting very little precipitation of any kind, just a little sleet early hours Tue. BBC forecast has me getting several hours of sleet late evening, timing doesn't even overlap with MetO. 

Trying to stay upbeat about ongoing snow chances through into Feb but frankly I can't currently see much in the models to get excited about. Best I'm hoping for is snow on the hills so I can get skiing. Undoubtedly going to stay on the colder side, but low level snow chances look limited. 

Edited by Ravelin
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8 minutes ago, Ravelin said:

So Alford is in the Yellow Warning area issued by the MetO, yet thier own app has me getting very little precipitation of any kind, just a little sleet early hours Tue. BBC forecast has me getting several hours of sleet late evening, timing doesn't even overlap with MetO. 

Trying to stay upbeat about ongoing snow chances through into Feb but frankly I can't currently see much in the models to get excited about. Best I'm hoping for is snow on the hills so I can get skiing. Undoubtedly going to stay on the colder side, but low level snow chances look limited. 

Same here for Aboyne although still got a fair snow cover in place from last week and down to -7c this morning when I hit the road for work. Hoping the Lecht gets a good dumping over the next 10 days or so as planning a mornings skiing early Feb. Should be good cover in place by then. Only the magic carpet and Robin open today - shocking. 

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4 hours ago, Sceptical said:

As expected, Met Office issue yellow warnings for snow and ice for large parts of Scotland.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-01-21

 

Latest update from MWIS:

PLANNING OUTLOOK

All mountain areas of Britain from Tuesday 22nd January 2019

The colder conditions will continue across the mountains over the next week or fortnight - perhaps longer. Mountain temperatures will frequently be sub-freezing, often to lower slopes in Scotland, although from Thursday to Sunday this week, there will be cycles of freeze and thaw Scottish Highlands, whilst elsewhere, summit temperatures will most often be above freezing point. Precipitation wise, there will be further snow, albeit some melting periods later this week. Next week, there may well be extensive fresh snowfall, substantial in some areas.

 

A glimour of hope that I'm going to grab on to... If there's not much forecast for next week around West Lothian, then maybe a few days away in the 4x4 up braemar area snow hunting will be on my plans 😂

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50 minutes ago, Keyring said:

A glimour of hope that I'm going to grab on to... If there's not much forecast for next week around West Lothian, then maybe a few days away in the 4x4 up braemar area snow hunting will be on my plans 😂

Braemar should do okay for snow this evening.

Blizzards expected for parts of Scotland today above 300 meters.

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46 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

Braemar should do okay for snow this evening.

Blizzards expected for parts of Scotland today above 300 meters.

Unfortunately I'm offshore until the 30th 😞 so hoping for some once I'm back again, will have a few days away up north if need be 😂

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5C already in central Edinburgh, temperature has been slowly creeping up in the gusty winds over the past couple of hours. 

Basically, we can forget about seeing snow here. 

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1 hour ago, Keyring said:

Unfortunately I'm offshore until the 30th 😞 so hoping for some once I'm back again, will have a few days away up north if need be 😂

Fingers crossed it starts dumping down soon, at least for the Scottish ski centres.

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