Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

[mardatha]

Same here. Utter pits.

[NUT]

Pretty heavy shower rolling through at the moment (has been a bit of a dire day to be fair)

[Hairy Celt]

2 hours ago, NUT said:

Pretty heavy shower rolling through at the moment (has been a bit of a dire day to be fair)

Pretty much the same here, just the odd wee spattering a couple of times. I actually quite like days like this as long as there's a bit of sunshine - far better that calm dreich or hot wetness.

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

chance of some thundery showers tomorrow with 1-200 + CAPE      

[ciel]

At least it’s not raining this morning with some glimpses of sun; temp 9C and a hint of a SW breeze, but certainly not feeling summery.

I am starting to regret not planning a French holiday this year due to uncertainties about the brexit nonsense and possible additional dog passport requirements. 

A couple of pics from earlier:

 

[mardatha]

Ciel I'm started to regret not moving to France years ago!! This bl**dy country and it's bl**dy weather are doing my head in!!
Although we have a lovely sunny morning here up my hill - but apparently not to last. Funny how rain stays for days and sun is always accidental. I take it God isn't SNP.

[NUT]

It's a nice enough start.....................but more rain incoming at one point today

[Quinach]

So far its a carbon copy of yesterday - in other words dry with periodic breaks in the cloud to allow some warm sunshine, lifting the temperature to 18c. 

Unlike yesterday, the wind is light - no more damaging gusts of wind thankfully.

They really should do something with the Met Office temperature forecasts - consistently wrong for here, today being no exception with the current 18c versus the forecast 14c.  They always seem to underestimate the temperature.

[Mr Frost]

After a week of heavy rain on and off this Metoffice outlook is music to my ears! Please let it come true! 

In the meantime not a bad day here so far...heavy rain moving in shortly though for the rest of today/most of tomorrow. 

[Quinach]

Some heavy showers now popping up all around so sunshine gone but temperatures still warm - 18c.

Local House Martins are not having a good time.  Just saw a Magpie land on a new nest and start to tear it apart - impressive agility and amazed at how the nest was able to stand the weight of the Magpie but same time wish they would stick to eating seeds....  I can easily see why the local gentry consider them a pest and merrily shot them all year.

[NUT]

Took a while but the rain has set in really does look wet for a good part of the night

[Glaswegianblizzard]

Bucketing down now in the south side of Glasgow

[Northernlights]

Managed to sow about half the neeps today.Ground very sticky and metering wheels have to scraped clear of mud every round.Other half of field has too many wet patches that tractors are sinking in so will have to be left for  a while longer to dry out.

My agronomist told me today that he feels like he is working for the Samaritans with every farmer he visits in this area complaining about  ground  too wet  for silage machines and spring barley going yellow even on known dry areas.Said to him I think thats the legacy of ploughing bone dry ground last autumn which turned to talcum powder in the spring and then slumped after the wet spell. so all the soil structure has gone and can no longer support the barley roots.Whole fields are turning yellow now..

The best we can hope for is not too much rain tomorrow so we can work at  the neep ground on Friday which is supposed to be dry here. Currently overcast ,13c  and with an east wind

[ciel]

Today was one of the ‘better’ recent days here, if not warm/hottish (in terms of a Scottish summer), at least the laundry dried outside.

However, the sky is filling in now and rain is imminent.

I would love a period of clear skies to scan for noctilucents.

[Northernlights]

16 hours ago, Northernlights said:

Managed to sow about half the neeps today.Ground very sticky and metering wheels have to scraped clear of mud every round.Other half of field has too many wet patches that tractors are sinking in so will have to be left for  a while longer to dry out.

My agronomist told me today that he feels like he is working for the Samaritans with every farmer he visits in this area complaining about  ground  too wet  for silage machines and spring barley going yellow even on known dry areas.Said to him I think thats the legacy of ploughing bone dry ground last autumn which turned to talcum powder in the spring and then slumped after the wet spell. so all the soil structure has gone and can no longer support the barley roots.Whole fields are turning yellow now..

The best we can hope for is not too much rain tomorrow so we can work at  the neep ground on Friday which is supposed to be dry here. Currently overcast ,13c  and with an east wind

Very wet again.

Not to be too negative the fact that our crop was  luckily sprayed a day before this wet spell started for weeds and trace elements (Mn Mg and Cu) means it is retaining a good strong green colour compared to our neighbours.

So not all bad.Currently 9c

[ciel]

It’s a continuation of the dank grey cold weather today and the short-term prospects don’t bode well either.

Apart from having a negative effect on mood (for me anyway), the lack of bright sunlight has impacted the early summer flowering garden plants. For example, the perennial poppy buds are struggling to open, in fact some are beginning to decompose, and the foxgloves only have one or two flowers near the base of the stem while those buds further up are tightly closed and don’t look like blooming anytime soon. The nepeta also, which usually in June is buzzing with bees and other insects is having a half-hearted lifeless attempt to flower.

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

My thoughts for a warmer / thundery spell in 2-3 weeks time may have been premature, thought I would take a look at MJO / ENSO and where that could see us headed, although the MJO was not entirely useful during winter with the more blocked phases not coming to fruition and in the Netweather summer forecast the mention that MJO is less impactful for us during summer here is my assessment of where we are and may be heading.

current MJO forecast      currently we are in phase 3 having just exited phase 2, some charts for phase 2 ( lag effects)  https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/31d9e0_32594828e48d18aa94d6c4b8b63b1f6e.pdf  we are currently have a weak el nino and here is phase 2 el nino June  and with it being weak could be worth including the (nada) charts which mean weak or no signal   and here is phase 3   https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/31d9e0_1bf4d88338b094972c3d699d46516208.pdf    with all pointing toward a continuation of low pressure over or close to the UK and northern blocking   nada 3 signals higher pressure over the UK which some recent model runs have been trying to achieve so a possible glimmer of hope     so what next? well current MJO forecast have the signal weakening (heading into COD) although some hints at possible phase 4 / 5, here is phase 4 for June https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/31d9e0_b438a5126b4cf5a32f67041512156dad.pdf   this is the pattern I would hope to achieve with higher pressure to the east and a low out west drawing up warmer and possible thundery conditions >   and (nada) phase 4 also suggesting higher pressure over / or close to the UK  so that could signal a chance of something drier and possibly warmer for a time, however phase 5 does not paint a pretty picture https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/31d9e0_dc8ab3d428301ce27fdc8058c7edba5f.pdf     with a strong signal for low pressure over and close to the UK with the only glimmer of hope being the (nada) phase 5  with higher pressure although still some lower pressure down towards the S / SW. So overall IF the MJO is more accurate now than what it was during winter it looks like lower pressure over / close to the UK continuing with higher pressure trying to build in at times, looks like IF we end up with a phase 4 during June that could be our best bet at achieving some "summer" conditions with possible thundery spells too before lower pressure begins to take control once again. A "flip flop" month but not much actual use of      

Edited June 5, 2019 by Kirkcaldy Weather

[NUT]

Looks like a small band of rain (not like last night's) about to hit us but should be quiet for the rest of the day when that pushes through

[NUT]

Might be a small band of rain but it's packing a punch. Pouring down at the moment

[Hairy Celt]

Yesterday morning and early afternoon were ok but since then it's been non-stop rain in Aberdeenshire, either thick wetting fine stuff or torrential bursts of splattery blobbings.  Also it's cold and everyone is grumbling about the weather. I should have emigrated years ago when I had the chance, nothing is going well in the lemon heap of a country these days.

Roll on summer! Oh...

[Quinach]

Thoroughly miserable day of incessant rain, as Hairy Celt mentioned ranging from drenching drizzle to full on torrential rain (latter mainly in the morning).

Max temperature of 10.8c but on a positive note the winds were light  

[Ravelin]

9 hours ago, ciel said:

It’s a continuation of the dank grey cold weather today and the short-term prospects don’t bode well either.

Apart from having a negative effect on mood (for me anyway), the lack of bright sunlight has impacted the early summer flowering garden plants. For example, the perennial poppy buds are struggling to open, in fact some are beginning to decompose, and the foxgloves only have one or two flowers near the base of the stem while those buds further up are tightly closed and don’t look like blooming anytime soon. The nepeta also, which usually in June is buzzing with bees and other insects is having a half-hearted lifeless attempt to flower.

 

Having to keep feeding our bees as the weather has been far too cold and wet for them to be able to forage much. That is very unusual for this time of the year. Still seeing bumbles around at times as they pretty much fly in any weather, but little else in the way of butterflies or hoverflies this year so far. 

Not stopping the honey bees swarming though! A spot of sunshine and... bam... out they go. Three swarms so far from our hives, at least two from the same hive on different days (it was a big colony). Gone from 3 hives to 7 in the space of about 3 weeks (3 originally + 3 swarms caught + 1 small split). Keeping bees at this time of the year is like a second job. Problem is, with the weather they are storing very little honey, so return for that effort is not looking good. 

[Glaswegianblizzard]

Apparently Storm Miguel is coming from Spain? Me no gusto!

[mardatha]

What storm? Where? O gawd sake can it get any worse?

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

3 hours ago, mardatha said:

What storm? Where? O gawd sake can it get any worse?

Miguel  looks like England and Wales will get the worst of it and some thunderstorms down that way on its southern side too meanwhile when it arrives up here we will have to endure yet more rain and us east coasters will get the added bonus of a cool NE wind      and as for the question can it get any worse? well I am already on the hunt for snowy winter charts, not long til December .... or February