Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

1 hour ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Potential for someone to get 4 inches off the blob, my money is on @shuggee

Grand shout by @Kirkcaldy Weather previously, maybe yesterday?

Thanks, although it is only really the euro 4 that takes the precip into that area so still a low risk from my POV, sidenote the wrf is working again and also the MO warning is now an ice warning although snow still in wording.

[Sceptical]

After the deluge over Thursday and Friday, a more autumnal look for the local hills. 

Thursday and Friday next week looks very wet. 

 

Edited December 14, 2019 by Sceptical

[Ross B]

26 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Thanks, although it is only really the euro 4 that takes the precip into that area so still a low risk from my POV, sidenote the wrf is working again and also the MO warning is now an ice warning although snow still in wording.

Yeah, they made a mistake and changed it 5mins later. Not surprised as it never mentioned the depth of snowfalls which they normally would for a snow warning. 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Could have been a decent snow event for quite a few of us, 4.4 C / DP 2.9 C and raining here 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

10 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Most models are fairly poor at forecasting precip accurately but the Euro4 is usually the least worst. I mostly use the Euro4 for my weather page, the others are not the best and the GFS is useless for short range precip forecasts.

TBH I rarely use the euro4 and as I mentioned my go to is the wrf and I usually try and average out what the majority of the short range models are showing and try to come to a conclusion although a setup like today's is not the easiest  comparison of those 2 models for 1pm and I would say both done a good job especially up here in Scotland with the wrf possibly closer to the mark with exact positioning of precip.

Edited December 14, 2019 by Kirkcaldy Weather

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

3 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

It would be interesting to compare them all hour by hour, I've never checked properly just alwats get the feels for the Euro4 being the least inaccurate.

It is the wrf 2km which is the best of the wrf models for short range as I have added in my last post 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

1 minute ago, CatchMyDrift said:

I added that in for comparison, similar to the Euro4 too. I'll look at them later and see what's what as it would be good to know what is accurate and what isn't

One thing I have noticed with the wrf 2km is that sometimes the timing can be a bit off, not sure if it was more to do with the thunderstorms in the summer sometimes it would have it say 4pm for example but in reality it was 2pm so when I use it I try and compare the timings to the other short range models and again try and average them all out to find an accurate start / end time  

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

2 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Timing is always an issue, does my head in

Trying to do a forecast and add everything up often end up like this   

[NUT]

Had another mix of rain and sleet shower but snow levels definety lowering as I can see on the mountains right behind me

[Zenarcher]

A cloudy wet and windy day here a change from yesterdays nice sunny weather. The temperature today has been just under 4c so staying on the colder side but no snow or sleet to report from here just that there's still snow on top of the hills and some more appeared overnight.

Yesterdays brief clear weather for some parts gave a glimpse of the snow over Scotland,

A slightly closer look at central Scotland and the Highlands,

[101_North]

A pretty miserable day really. Blustery, rain and sleet, dark. Grim!

[Mr Frost]

Afternoon all

Pretty wild day - strong SW wind gusting 35mph to 40mph.

Brief clear intervals (about 60 seconds ) and a near constant stream of heavy showers. (Sleet at 100 meters)

Hills/mountains to my NW have a snow line of about 400 meters.

 

Munro’s to my NE (Arrochar Alps) look fantastic - must be a pretty deep snow depth on those. (More sunshine tomorrow so will get some pictures then)

Enjoy the rest of yer night everyone!

Edited December 14, 2019 by Mr Frost

[Ross B]

Very wet and windy at the moment. The high wind speeds have probably increased the mixing of warmer air coming off the sea and reduced snow chances for here. Bit of a shame as the rain and sleet has been heavy here and more off than on for the last 24hours - we could've had a good dumping of snow if it was just slightly colder! 

[Klippie]

It lasted only a few minutes a few white flakes fell this afternoon blink and you’d have missed them.

Still good to see though I hope I’am wrong but I’ve a feeling this will be all I’ll see this side of the year.

[BurntFishTrousers]

Homebrewed at 8pm using an RSP1A receiver, SDRuno software and WXtoIMG package with specialised antenna at 40ft height. #geek

PPN out west. Wonder if that will be snow ?

[101_North]

The sleet's getting heavier if nothing else!

[JamesM]

It's turning here. Cold rain half an hour ago and not far off wet snow now.

[Ross B]

9 minutes ago, JamesM said:

It's turning here. Cold rain half an hour ago and not far off wet snow now.

Yes same here, big splodges on the windows. 

[JamesM]

17 minutes ago, Ross B said:

Yes same here, big splodges on the windows. 

Gone off now.

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Looks like some heavy snow up towards @tiff on radar. 

 

Edited December 14, 2019 by Kirkcaldy Weather

[Weegaz]

3 hours ago, BurntFishTrousers said:

Homebrewed at 8pm using an RSP1A receiver, SDRuno software and WXtoIMG package with specialised antenna at 40ft height. #geek

PPN out west. Wonder if that will be snow ?

That’s class, what times the next one due out? 

[tiff]

45 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Looks like some heavy snow up towards @tiff on radar. 

 

 

Just finished watching the cannonball run and stuck my head outside.. was dry at 9.30!

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Tomorrow night looks interesting again, as some fronts move up from the Irish sea / NW England, one issue looks to be the 850 temps although an area of around -4/5 ahead of the precip lessening to around -2 with the arrival however temperatures and dew points look more favourable. Here is a risk area with 2 zones - the zone in the SW is for thunder, hail, sleet and an outside chance of snow but the other zone looks like having a better chance of snow. Likely to be some positional changes before we get to tomorrow night so might need an update but will monitor the models through tomorrow.  

[Mr Frost]

Morning all

Fantastic ECM this morning for the 24th and 25th if you like festive weather at Christmas! Cold and frosty with a risk of snow showers for a few.

Just for fun at this range - really hope it is correct! 

Christmas Eve:


 

Christmas Day:

 

Have a good day everyone!

Edited December 15, 2019 by Mr Frost

[Sceptical]

Cloudy and cold start 0C.

Snow overnight for the local hills - 300m asl.