Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

[Norrance]

Nice frost this morning here in bright sunshine. Temps rising now up to -0.3C.

Nice pic here of Ben a Ghlo taken from Errichel looking NE over the fog inversion in the upper Tay valley.

[Sceptical]

Met office yellow warning for ice NE and E Scotland Wednesday and Thursday.

Yellow warnings for rain for parts of England Wednesday to Friday.

[NUT]

Must be getting fairly close to a below average month? (if anyone knows the stats so far)? Don't recall very much if any mild weather during November at all (and don't look like warming up rest of the week either)

[edinburgh_1992]

The outlook from Monday onwards suggests milder and wetter weather which could help compensate for the lower than average temperatures up to date. 

[shuggee]

Ninth air frost at -2.9C.

With all this cold around, surely it's only a matter time that many of us see something white and fluffy?! (Jealous of our Aberdeenshire/Moray/Highland pals).

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

11 minutes ago, shuggee said:

Ninth air frost at -2.9C.

With all this cold around, surely it's only a matter time that many of us see something white and fluffy?! (Jealous of our Aberdeenshire/Moray/Highland pals).

Aye I am thinking that the cold air over Scandinavia will play a part and possibly with some luck sooner rather that later...

Hopefully because I stole everybody's thunder this year doesn't mean the rest of you will steal my snaw! 

[edinburgh_1992]

52 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

06z GFS looks average to below average for most of us for most of next week. What run/model were you looking at?

Gfs 06 ensembles for Edinburgh, roughly from the 19th temperatures should rise back up to seasonal averages or even slightly above (red line=seasonal average and white line=average of the ensembles). 

 

Edited November 13, 2019 by edinburgh_1992

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

4 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Not many of us live at 850hpa...ground temps are at or below average for almost all of us next week.

Averages for here in November, maximum 9.3 C, minimum 3.2 C 

Kirkcaldy UK climate averages

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

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Kirkcaldy UK climate averages

latest GEFS, well below on the maximums and also below on the minimums 

Meteociel.fr - Tableaux GEFS

WWW.METEOCIEL.FR

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La météo en temps réel et prévisions météo pour la France, Observations météo, modèles numériques et logiciels météo (GFS, ECMWF, UKMO, GEM, AROME, ARPEGE, JMA)

 

[Sceptical]

If a change is afoot, hopefully that doesn't equate to the wet mess parts of England are enduring.

I'm really enjoying these bright cold and dry autumnal days.

Temp 0c but looks more like summer.

 

Edited November 13, 2019 by Sceptical

[Mair Snaw]

Well my area is down for snaw overnight, if it happens it will be the 3rd snaw fall that ive woken up to and its not even winter yet. a good start i would say. NOW BRING ME MY SNAW!!!!!

[SW Saltire]

21 hours ago, Northernlights said:

Usually we are one of the driest areas in Scotland but with  all these NE winds in the last few weeks we are getting a lot of rain and hill snow next to the coast.

Taking my rain, ideal  

Although that hasn’t stopped the fields turning to sludge as normal. 

Been a chilly November but sadly too mild down here for anything but a hint of sleet at 4am driving home in a heavy burst. 

[Quinach]

Got to love the variability of Scottish weather.

Weather today a complete opposite of yesterday's - calm winds, unbroken sunshine and a severe frost.

Overnight low of -4.6c leading to treacherous roads in the morning and some beautiful frosty windscreens!

Max temperature of 0.9c here, so the frost basically never lifted.  Already below freezing again so its going to be another cold one tonight.

[edinburgh_1992]

1 hour ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Averages for here in November, maximum 9.3 C, minimum 3.2 C 

Kirkcaldy UK climate averages

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

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Kirkcaldy UK climate averages

latest GEFS, well below on the maximums and also below on the minimums 

Meteociel.fr - Tableaux GEFS

WWW.METEOCIEL.FR

---

La météo en temps réel et prévisions météo pour la France, Observations météo, modèles numériques et logiciels météo (GFS, ECMWF, UKMO, GEM, AROME, ARPEGE, JMA)

 

Thanks for the link, never knew about that table with all the GEFS members.

Strange how low the ground temperatures are compared to the 850 temps that would suggest pretty average conditions for November. 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

4 minutes ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

Thanks for the link, never knew about that table with all the GEFS members.

Strange how low the ground temperatures are compared to the 850 temps that would suggest pretty average conditions for November. 

To get them for your location just get the latitude and longitude from here 

Latitude and Longitude Finder on Map Get Coordinates

WWW.LATLONG.NET

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Lat long is a geographic tool which helps you to get latitude and longitude of a place or city and find gps coordinates on map, convert lat long, gps, dms and utm.

and pop them in here 

WWW.METEOCIEL.FR

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Diagrammes des ensembles GEFS de la NOAA (graphes ENS GFS). 21 scénarios de GEFS.

 

[Sceptical]

5pm and the temp has already fallen to -2C. Feels more like January.

Edited November 13, 2019 by Sceptical

[SMU]

Just a NB on the models - I really doubt the milder air predicted by the 00z & yesterdays GEFs will make it to Scotland...

[tiff]

-3.1 here already and dropping. -6 at 9am this morning. ooft.

 

 

[edo]

33 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Just a NB on the models - I really doubt the milder air predicted by the 00z & yesterdays GEFs will make it to Scotland...

Yes one has to be careful not to read the model thread and relate it to our weather as we often differ quite significantly. I have had more frost this winter already than the whole of last year and it's not even winter.... If that makes sense

 

To be fair Steve and a few others do take time to comment on other areas which is always appreciated. 

And of course a few of our own who are top notch. 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Quite early for an ice day 

[Sceptical]

40 minutes ago, tiff said:

-3.1 here already and dropping. -6 at 9am this morning. ooft.

 

 

Definitely a much colder November so far for NE Scotland. The cold looks set to continue until at least Tuesday.

Starting to think we could be heading into the freezer this winter.....

[Northern Strath]

Maxed at -1c here today, currently -4c. Yesterday’s rain deluge/horror show ended 5 days registering snowfall, so along with the cold temps it’s been a good spell. Nice sea of fog over strathspey while out after work, heard a Capercaillie which is always great, even better in a silent and frozen forest  

[Benvironment]

2 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

It was a very frosty start this morning with thick freezing fog between Crianlarich and Glen Ogle. Then just a cold day with hazy sunshine at Loch Katrine with Ben Venue (Miniature Mountain) as a backdrop:

 

Beautiful!!! It's been a good autumn for late colour, presumably aided by the absence of anything vaguely stormy in these parts. 

[Benvironment]

High of 2.7C here in the Lomonds today. The air has been so wonderfully clear! I was tempted to head north today but was content to just pootle about at home instead, given the conditions

[edo]

Just had a random tiny snow shower that lasted 30 seconds.... Thank the lord for the dug meaning I was out in it

[Ravelin]

3 hours ago, Sceptical said:

5pm and the temp has already fallen to -2C. Feels more like January.

Aye, car thermometer was showing - 1 or - 2C pretty much all of the way from Inverurie to Alford on my way home from work around 4:30pm. Lovely clear moonlight night out at the moment, with my car windscreen no doubt freezing up again ready for me to have a repeat performance of today's epic defrosting session.