Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

[Mair Snaw]

Well that the mobile router purchased. now to go get my unlimited data sim from EE and it will be job done for the mega wifi when move to the old house in Aberdeenshire. ha ha ha in ya face BT with ya 1mbps...

[Mair Snaw]

It's a bit wet this morning.

[Mair Snaw]

if it could hold off for a couple of days so i can get back to my house in Aberdeenshire on the 30th. after that it can get as cold as it wants for as long as it wants..

[Mair Snaw]

Just back from Aldi.. and found this stout for breakfast eh.. 

Edited October 16, 2019 by bigsnow

[101_North]

2 hours ago, bigsnow said:

Just back from Aldi.. and found this stout for breakfast eh.. 

Not sure about breakfast but Stewart Brewing have been getting their act together the last wee while. Some cracking beers. They are definitely doing good things at a time when there are so many small 'craft' breweries churning out crap! Great wee taproom at the brewery and great shop too. Well worth a wee afternoon if you're in the area.

Edited October 16, 2019 by 101_North

[Mr Frost]

Morning all

Quite heavy showers currently moving through parts of the Borders.

Chance of some thunder/lightning/hail today during the big downpours - West and South West Scotland in the sweet spots. Looks as though they will push through the Central Belt late afternoon/early evening.

Estofex looking good for lightning risk.

Metoffice also give it a mention...

I’m off work today so heading out on a local hike shortly - hopefully catch a wee thunderstorm or two. (Long overdue)

Last frames on the ECM (240 hours) - cold end to October still showing up.

 

Have a good day!

Edited October 17, 2019 by Mr Frost

[Benvironment]

So nice to feel cold again  -3.5C in Braemar this morning!

[Mr Frost]

Some big showers incoming for many of us shortly - maybe a bit of thunder/lightning out on the Isles but can’t see much happening here!
 

Couple of torrential downpours in the distance earlier but nothing too exciting! 

Seen a few butterflies and wasps about today!

Have a good night!

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

2 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Time for a ramp, let's hope this is right:

*Winter 2019/2020* Statistical winter outlook – Solar cycle and ENSO! – Severe Weather Europe

WWW.SEVERE-WEATHER.EU

---

Two weeks ago, we wrote about the latest long range model forecasts, and what they show for the upcoming winter 2019/2020. While we wait...

In the meantime we were at North Berwick Law today. Hi @Kirkcaldy Weather you're over there somewhere:

Did you see me posting that in the winter thread or just spooky same timing?   and here is some waving back from me in Kirkcaldy   

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Just now, CatchMyDrift said:

I saw the forecast on Facebook and then posted it in here so just coincidence

 

It's a sign, winter full of blizzards and snaw drifts incoming!  Our streets will soon look like this  

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

5 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Interestingly this forecast is for the US to be average to warmer than average which is a good sign for us:

Winter Outlook: Warmer than average for many, wetter in the North | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

WWW.NOAA.GOV

---

Drought improvement expected in the Southeast

 

Certainly plenty of promising signs so far, see my latest post in the mod thread my attention at the minute is for higher pressure over Greenland then on the lookout for higher pressure to the east possibly over Scandi or Russia 

Looks like MJO could be heading into phase 2 soon which also continues the theme of higher pressure to the east https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/31d9e0_32594828e48d18aa94d6c4b8b63b1f6e.pdf   but I will look to do an update if / when any developments.

[Mair Snaw]

Yuk... horrid day out. wet and cold. i much prefer white and cold.

[Norrance]

Been pretty wet here too with steady quite heavy rain. Garden at the back starting to flood. Nothing like the torrential downpour we drove through heading toSt Andrews at lunchtime though. The kind of rain that bounces and immediately  floods the road.  Wipers couldn't cope so luckily the really intense stuff was quite brief. Was this lot forecast? 

 

[Quinach]

Torrential rain all afternoon, max of 9.5c and now the streetlights have gone on as its so dark!

Going to be a fun commute home...

[Richard Taylor]

Grim day today. Torrential rain & showers, so dark this afternoon thanks to the CBs I thought the clocks had gone back already! Further heavy showers & storms in the forecast in the coming hours as well. An evening to stay indoors!! 

[Mr Frost]

Evening all!

Went a wee hike today through the Rosneath Peninsula - taking in the villages of Rosneath, Kilcreggan, Cove and the hills high above! Great views over to the Arrochar Alps and the weather/sunset was perfect! 
We really are lucky to call Scotland home - most beautiful country in the world! (I’m biased though )

Have a great weekend!

Edited October 18, 2019 by Mr Frost

[Ravelin]

Anyone for a spookily cold Halloween? 

 

The GFS 0Z main run is a thing of beauty this morning and in a couple of months time would have had the MOD thread in rapture. A bit out on its own though, but been a repeating feature recently so you never know. 

Weather here yesterday from early afternoon onwards was horrible. Unrelentingly wet. Haven't ventured a peek past the blinds this morning yet. 

[Northernlights]

Some heavy bursts of rain overnight but dry above this morning.The most striking thing this morning is with an E wind from  almost the opposite direction we have been used to there has been a massive leaf fall overnight with the trees looking very bare this morning.A couple of very cool starts to the day in the last few weeks probably aided this  but I still think its a couple of weeks ahead of normal. Currently 8c and dull with a moderate E wind.

[shuggee]

Sideways rain and blowing a hoolie here - very gusty indeed. Any wind orientated straight northerly or southerly get amplified in the valley here and suddenly it's freakishly noisy and the trees bend sidewaysie. 

Urgh.

[Mair Snaw]

Non weather related stained glass windowing car just broke 2 weeks before we move... to say im unhappy is an understatement. i dont think the swear filter would cope. and my football got stuffed earlier too... cloudy but no rain since early hours here, breezy tho.

[karimac]

Evening all!

Been a long time since I've been in here... good to see the same posters and that use have kept this thread going!

Must be snaw hunting time eh

And thoroughly SEEK of the peeshy wet fife has been festooned with yest and this morning... floods everywhere roads closed

Wee bit excitement building about a possible cold Halloween I see

Right now I'll be glad to get a dry day the morn 2 sort my garden out!

Wine pouring time... happy weekend folks! X

[Northernlights]

Quite a wintry sunset again tonight with the yellow/grey shower clouds of this afternoon becoming pink tipped in the late afternoon sunset. In a months time these showers would have had a very wintry flavour.  A NE wind in October blowing showers onshore from the Firth is fairly rare here.As an aside to the leaf fall overnight I noticed that  the ash  leaves have tuned yellow and are falling too. Usually ash leaves remain green till November .Currently 8c

 

 

Edited October 19, 2019 by Northernlights

[Quinach]

A much better day today after the biblical deluge that was yesterday afternoon/evening. 

That caused plenty of localised flooding around Aberdeen last night (link) though not much evidence of it driving round the area today.

Max temperature of 11c with a keen N/NE wind, dry with sunny intervals.

Plenty people taking advantage of the better weather in Stonehaven - the Aberdeen bypass has been a real boon to the local economy going by the cafe owner we were talking to today.

 

[ciel]

It was a beautiful day in Ardnamurchan, total blue sky in the morning and a few puffy clouds wafting in from the west in the afternoon. Although not warm, according to the thermometer, the lack of wind made it feel very pleasant. The temp dropped sharply later as the sun dropped behind the hills.

Downside for me was all the photos today are rubbish. 

Caught this little group of hinds, unexpectedly crossing the road, which were being shepherded by quite a young stag, I think.

 

[Mair Snaw]

very cold and frosty start her this morning. -3 at 6am, looks very nice with the morning sun just coming over the hills.