Scotland/Alba Weather Discussion 2019

[Stormeh]

1 hour ago, edinburgh_1992 said:

Ecmwf is awful, even for us. Way too mild for snow

Maybe not

[Gogoslo]

Deary me.  What on earth has happened to the model threads?  Ever since they changed the threads they are almost impossible to follow.. shame as I used to like reading the posts of a learned few. 

[Mair Snaw]

Dont go into the mad house what ever you do... its like WWF royal rumble in there, even Rambo has turned up.

@Gogoslo just beat me to it...

Edited January 25, 2019 by bigsnow

[snawbaw]

I now spend most of my time browsing here and the focussed thread- I haven't got a clue what they are on about but I don't want to throw things at my laptop which is pretty much how I feel when I risk my sanity and peruse the musings of fools in the other one!

apologies to those from here who post in there but it's just a bit too IMBY for me.

Edited January 25, 2019 by snawbaw
forgot to qualify chat

[Mair Snaw]

BBC weather for the week ahead coming up lets see what model output they are following/favouring.

[Mair Snaw]

Pub run Friday night special tonight. the GFS has had a few shots at the bar and wants to go to the club for another go.

[edinburgh_1992]

GFS now showing rain over the Lothians on Monday -4 uppers aren't going to cut it. GFS p on the other hand has the right temperatures, but no precipitation 

[Keyring]

I've not seen much mention of Scotland in the models thread, is this just usual, or is it the case that the way it stands at the moment it's not looking promising for much snow over the next week? 

[Penicuikblizzard]

59 minutes ago, Keyring said:

I've not seen much mention of Scotland in the models thread, is this just usual, or is it the case that the way it stands at the moment it's not looking promising for much snow over the next week? 

They are only worried about the South of England nothing new to be honest 

[Penicuikblizzard]

Serious cold in the States this week that is just wow  

[Benvironment]

36 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

"Dry" winter months = filthy greasy roads.

Ugh, nightmare! For some baffling reason I just bought a white car and I'm already regretting it

[Ravelin]

8 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

I can wash my car one day and by the next day the rear numberplate is too dirty to read. We've had 4mm of rain so far this month although tonight should fix that.

I might go wash my car later, in the rain. It should then stay clean for a day, as I've no intention of moving it until tomorrow. Miserable looking day outside, grey, rain, snow almost all but gone. 

Looking at the forecast for the week, there's plenty of precipitation in it, there's also plenty of cold in it, it's just not looking likely that the two will coincide at quite the right times. An increasely frustrating winter. 

[ciel]

After overnight rain, a mild, grey, soggy, foggy, stratus morning. 

I have to admit to obsessively watching this cloud throughout yesterday () I spotted it in the morning and it hung more or less stationary over the hills until sundown at least.

 

[edinburgh_1992]

So currently we are seeing 3 chances of snow for next week. First, on Monday, although could be too mild and rain. Then on Tuesday, showers potentially moving in from the west again. Looking fairly dry on Wednesday and then Thursday/Friday there's a risk of seeing prolonged snowfall and heavy showers brought in on easterly winds (no beast). However this is very likely to change and depends a lot on where the low decides to position itself. Bring on next week!

[shuggee]

Agreed that the week ahead is easily the most interesting of the winter so far. Looking over Lothian those opportunities for lowland snow all have -7°C uppers, so it's a definite possibility inside the A720 city bypass.... 

[NUT]

Really vile at the moment wind and pretty heavy rain but maybe a important change for the week ahead

[edinburgh_1992]

Meanwhile netweather's forecast shows snow for today... with 5 degrees :D 

That's not happening, if we do see anything wintry it'll be after 22.00

[Quinach]

Damp and very foggy - completely still outside which itself is quite unusual for here.

Temperature 3.8c which is a bit less than the MET forecast for this time - maybe for a change we'll be on the right side of marginal this evening as currently we are down for rain/sleet. 

[Northern Strath]

Vile sums up today well NUT. Horror show of a day so far. Any remnants of snow looking tragic. Rain to snow events can be bumper though and forecasts often underestimate totals, so awaiting the more northerly winds late afternoon to see what they bring. Good to see things remain interesting for next week 5c

[Quinach]

A bit of a breeze in the last half hour has blown away the fog to leave a bright afternoon and a big jump in temperature - up to 7.2c now.   Hmm, maybe it will be cold rain this evening after all 

[Mair Snaw]

looks like the pink area is getting a bit bigger on the radar, some in here could get a surprise later and into tomorrow.

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Certainly could be some snowy weather for us Scots in the shorter term with possible frontal snowfalls and possibly more organised snowfalls too (all depends on how the areas of low pressure position themselves and hopefully we end up staying on the colder side of things) 

    

and still some hints that the longer term might be interesting too

      

     

MON THE SNAW  

ps this is my reaction now when I see the "winters over" type posts in the model thread  

 

 

[Hairy Celt]

1 hour ago, bigsnow said:

looks like the pink area is getting a bit bigger on the radar, some in here could get a surprise later and into tomorrow.

Come here pink bits, come to daddy... For northern coastal dwellers, it's a matter of waiting to see if the ppn dies out before it turns to snow. Tomorrow will tell.

4 o'clock: 4C and the sky is darkening with a funny brownish tinge to the minging wet greyness.

Edited January 26, 2019 by Hairy Celt

[edinburgh_1992]

Worth keeping an eye out tonight after 22:00 for those living in the Edinburgh area, especially on higher ground (101_North and Penicuik blizzard).

 

[mardatha]

Whoohooo hope that includes me too!!