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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards

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Tuesday still looking good, charts all over the place now, some writing winter off, most dispondent and a small few wisely noting that unless charts within reliable time frames they won’t get hopes up

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MetO overnight text

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Rainband, hill snow, crossing from northwest Monday, with wintry showers following later. Thereafter windy with wintry showers, frequent in north, with risk thunder and hail.

Thumbs up from me 👍🏼👍🏼

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22 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

MetO overnight text

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Rainband, hill snow, crossing from northwest Monday, with wintry showers following later. Thereafter windy with wintry showers, frequent in north, with risk thunder and hail.

Thumbs up from me 👍🏼👍🏼

The South East of England's loss is the North West's gain.

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No doubt there will be more changes later today on the 12s. Roll on Tuesday for some snow. 😎

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Should definitely see some snow on Tuesday. Just not sure about its capability to lay at low levels, but very nice to see especially with how dire the Winter has been so far. MetO update is good but I am too new to this business to decode it properly lol. 

 

The latter half of next week looks to stay cold or very cold, with frosts likely most nights. There may be cloud, rain and hill snow perhaps on Wednesday or Thursday, but thereafter turning brighter with showers. These will feed in from eastern coasts, but are likely to bring sleet or snow for some. There is a small chance of a weather system approaching the northwest over the weekend, which could bring significant amounts of snow on meeting the cold air. However, this is still very uncertain and it is best to stay up to date with the latest forecast. It will stay cold until the end of January with spells of rain, sleet and snow at times. However, some drier and brighter interludes are still likely, with overnight frost.

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That’s not the same as the update I’m seeing:

 

Thursday and Friday will see a very cold north to north-easterly airstream bringing sunshine and showers, the showers giving rain or snow and most frequent in the north and northeast. It looks breezy on Thursday perhaps with coastal gales in the south and east, although winds should ease on Friday. Widespread locally severe night frosts are also likely. Later on Friday, rain preceded by snow may arrive in the far west and northwest, accompanied by strengthening winds. During the weekend and following week a lot of fine weather is expected with the chance of some wintry showers. Staying cold or very cold, with widespread frost. However, some wet and windy weather is likely in the northwest, which may briefly spread further southeast giving some snow on encountering the colder air.

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Definitely not as positive 

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19 minutes ago, bobbarley said:

That’s not the same as the update I’m seeing:

 

Thursday and Friday will see a very cold north to north-easterly airstream bringing sunshine and showers, the showers giving rain or snow and most frequent in the north and northeast. It looks breezy on Thursday perhaps with coastal gales in the south and east, although winds should ease on Friday. Widespread locally severe night frosts are also likely. Later on Friday, rain preceded by snow may arrive in the far west and northwest, accompanied by strengthening winds. During the weekend and following week a lot of fine weather is expected with the chance of some wintry showers. Staying cold or very cold, with widespread frost. However, some wet and windy weather is likely in the northwest, which may briefly spread further southeast giving some snow on encountering the colder air.

Is that update just for NI or all UK?

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Uk, can you get a NI specific mid range forecast?

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1 hour ago, bobbarley said:

That’s not the same as the update I’m seeing:

 

Thursday and Friday will see a very cold north to north-easterly airstream bringing sunshine and showers, the showers giving rain or snow and most frequent in the north and northeast. It looks breezy on Thursday perhaps with coastal gales in the south and east, although winds should ease on Friday. Widespread locally severe night frosts are also likely. Later on Friday, rain preceded by snow may arrive in the far west and northwest, accompanied by strengthening winds. During the weekend and following week a lot of fine weather is expected with the chance of some wintry showers. Staying cold or very cold, with widespread frost. However, some wet and windy weather is likely in the northwest, which may briefly spread further southeast giving some snow on encountering the colder air.

Don't know why I got that update. Checked now and is the above. Yes not very positive...

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Anyone as nervous as I am about the next set of runs coming up? Lol. Will we see further downgrades or a complete flip back to what yesterdays charts were showing. Not long to go now!

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Well what can I say.? That’s it, it’s all over!....

I just heard an ice cream van!!!!

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@mountain shadow I can't find your post but you said yesterday that there will be high res charts regarding snowfall for Tuesday. When can we view them?

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21 minutes ago, Sparky72 said:

Well what can I say.? That’s it, it’s all over!....

I just heard an ice cream van!!!!

😂 to be fair I seen a person out cutting their grass today 🙄

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Still looking good for us Monday into Tuesday. We shall see. Hi Res comes into play from tomorrow but expect changes.

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Whats the bets the ECM completely flips again this evening once the other runs has started backing its fail!!🤣🤣🤣🤣

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1 hour ago, ronan said:

@mountain shadow I can't find your post but you said yesterday that there will be high res charts regarding snowfall for Tuesday. When can we view them?

If you Google euro4 snow forecast,  the first option is a Weather online link

 

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11 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

If you Google euro4 snow forecast,  the first option is a Weather online link

 

Cheers for that.

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Well,  the Easterly is a goner and if the ECM is to be believed we'll see plenty of NW/N opportunities over the next 10 days.

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I have to say I'm delighted with what gfs and FV3 ECM are showing very snowy looking for us much better than idry Easterly 👌

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Do you all think that this weeks showers will bring snow to low levels or will we need a bit of height?. 

 

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