Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards

[ronan]

A lovely Greenland High as we head towards the start on Winter  Things looking good but think I'll hold off getting excited until we are inside 72 hours. Lol

[mountain shadow]

7 minutes ago, ronan said:

A lovely Greenland High as we head towards the start on Winter  Things looking good but think I'll hold off getting excited until we are inside 72 hours. Lol

We're not seeing a proper (Upper High) Greenland high just yet so you're right not to get excited yet.

 

[Weegaz]

December looks like starting on the right foot

 

[ronan]

A FOOT of snow you say Gaz. Lol. Now that would be a great start to winter. 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

A bit of excitement in the model thread today, not sure if there is any impact for us?

[ronan]

1 hour ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

A bit of excitement in the model thread today, not sure if there is any impact for us?

Definitely plenty to get excited about after this evenings runs. Not getting my hopes up just yet but. 

[mountain shadow]

The models have settled on a brief colder snap this weekend. Doesn't look great for snow for Ireland but certainly colder and thankfully drier. Then we will get a brief Westerly spell and the chance of a better Northerly around the 9th.

[booferking]

4 hours ago, mountain shadow said:

The models have settled on a brief colder snap this weekend. Doesn't look great for snow for Ireland but certainly colder and thankfully drier. Then we will get a brief Westerly spell and the chance of a better Northerly around the 9th.

Ens 12 for the reload please.

[mountain shadow]

3 hours ago, booferking said:

Ens 12 for the reload please.

Tonight's 18z GFS picking up the theme.  

Keeping my feet on the ground as still a long way to go.

[mountain shadow]

Latest Met Office long ranger has us in with a shout for Christmas time. Not a bad update for a month away.

Wednesday 11 Dec - Wednesday 25 Dec

This period looks likely to bring outbreaks of rain interspersed with brighter spells and showers to most parts. Temperatures seem likely to remain around or rather below average for the time of year, especially in the north and northwest with a risk of snow across the Scottish mountains.

[Weegaz]

Next week is not without interest for some of us on here, cold with any precipitation possibly falling as snow, elevation will help and we know what we can get from a north westerly direction.

 

[mountain shadow]

There is nothing in the way of any longevity of cold in the models for the next month I think, we will reliant on brief ridges bringing the chance of snow and we might be lucky and get one around Christmas time. No real mild on offer either as the jet, when not buckling, will be mostly to the South.

 

[ronan]

Love the way the model thread is getting excited about 300+ charts. It's never gonna happen. Not with the ups and downs the models have shown the past week. It's just hard to know what's going to happen. 

[BIG LAD]

Will be happy enough to see a few frosts and a bit of sun over the weekend.

[Rocheydub]

As long as all this rain gets lost, I don’t care what weather we have. The east coast is saturated at this stage!

[Rocheydub]

The cold is coming guys!

[booferking]

On 29/11/2019 at 23:53, Rocheydub said:

The cold is coming guys!

 

[Rocheydub]

5 hours ago, booferking said:

 

AHHH STOP!!!! I came here to get away from the depressing news!

[mountain shadow]

So, we're still chasing after a few let downs already.

Next possible chance is around the election on the 12th/13th.

 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

3 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

So, we're still chasing after a few let downs already.

Next possible chance is around the election on the 12th/13th.

 

Jez is this going to be one of those chase seasons (again) lol. The Netweather winter forecast doesn't read too promising either

[booferking]

13 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

So, we're still chasing after a few let downs already.

Next possible chance is around the election on the 12th/13th.

 

Gfs brings first snow event early morning  on the 10th but we all know the gfs has tendency to bring these events to soon just to push them very down the line and water them down.

[mountain shadow]

2 hours ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Jez is this going to be one of those chase seasons (again) lol. The Netweather winter forecast doesn't read too promising either

All the long rangers are pretty poor.  I think the best we can hope for is the odd Northerly /North Westerly giving us a chance for a day or two.

Certainly can't see a proper cold spell greater than 7 days.

[ronan]

1 run this morning showing snow and every media outlet has jumped on the wagon. Every second post on Facebook forecasting the worst winter in 100 years 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

3 hours ago, ronan said:

1 run this morning showing snow and every media outlet has jumped on the wagon. Every second post on Facebook forecasting the worst winter in 100 years 

Every ffing year. I note some excitement on the MT this evening again 

[ronan]

1 hour ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Every ffing year. I note some excitement on the MT this evening again 

I haven't been in there this evening yet. Must get caught up. It would be really nice to look forward to some snow falling. I'll get my fill of snow in January as on another 10 day Tour of Iceland. I should just book a one way ticket there. Lol