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shuggee

Christmas Day Focus - Daily 12z GFS

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Now that at T+384 we have the first predictions from the GFS model for Christmas Day 2018 it felt like a good idea to post daily that chart every 24 hours to see its progression.  Think it will be a fascinating insight into the FI sphere and then into reliable to see where we end up.

Comment is of course welcome in the Hunt for Cold thread :oldgrin:

 

2018-12-08 12z GFS 850s.JPG

2018-12-08 12z GFS 500s.JPG

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On to day two.  Now at T+360 Christmas Day 2018 is looking at wee bit different....

 

2018-12-09 12z GFS 500s T+360.JPG

2018-12-09 12z GFS 850s T+360.JPG

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Day 3 of 12z 25 December 2018 being in range of the daily 12z GFS and we have T+336.

 

2018-12-10 12z GFS 500s T+336.JPG

2018-12-10 12z GFS 850s T+336.JPG

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And Day 4 - T+312

 

2018-12-11z GFS 500s T+312.JPG

2018-12-11z GFS 850s T+312.JPG

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Day 5 at 288 hours

xmas1312-850.png

xmas-1312-h500slp.png

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Day 6 at T+264. Turning into a roller coaster...

 

2018-12-13z GFS 500s T+264.JPG

2018-12-13z GFS 850s T+264.JPG

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Onto T+240.

 

2018-12-15 12z GFS 500s T+240.JPG

2018-12-15 12z GFS 850s T+240.JPG

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I wonder if there is a pattern now starting to stick.

T+216 - today's 12z

 

2018-12-16 12z GFS 500s T+216.JPG

2018-12-16 12z GFS 850s T+216.JPG

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T+192. Might start doing some pressie shopping tomorrow.

 

2018-12-17 12z GFS 500s T+192.JPG

2018-12-17 12z GFS 850s T+192.JPG

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Leaving FI now and coming into the semi-reliable T+168:

 

2018-12-18 12z GFS 500s T+168.JPG

2018-12-18 12z GFS 850s T+168.JPG

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T+144

 

2018-12-19 12z GFS 500s T+144.JPG

2018-12-19 12z GFS 850s T+144.JPG

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Definitely in the reliable now at T+120:

 

2018-12-20 12z GFS 500s T+120.JPG

2018-12-20 12z GFS 850s T+120.JPG

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T+96. Seasonal.

 

2018-12-21 12z GFS 500s T+96.JPG

2018-12-21 12z GFS 850s T+96.JPG

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T+72

 

2018-12-22 12z GFS 500s T+72.JPG

2018-12-22 12z GFS 850s T+72.JPG

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Only 48 hours to go!

 

2018-12-23 12z GFS 500s T+48.JPG

2018-12-23 12z GFS 850s T+48.JPG

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Tomorrow's charts at 12z:

 

2018-12-24 12z GFS 500s T+24.JPG

2018-12-24 12z GFS 850s T+24.JPG

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Today's analysis:

 

2018-12-25 12z GFS 500s.JPG

2018-12-25 12z GFS 850s.JPG

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