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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
    4 minutes ago, Smartie said:

    Check the radar, oh look, now brighter echo's have suddenly appeared just to the north of us ***must not swear!!! ***

    Keep calm, it will happen fingers crossed ? 

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    Nice little walk with the hound.

    Beautiful looking up towards Peek Tor on Dartmoor this morning ❄❄❄

    Guys good luck today -As they say one mans loss is another mans gain - well for once in the UK the south & SW are going to gobble up the Norths snow ? Someone in North Devon / Somerset / Wilt

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
    4 minutes ago, Bring Back1962-63 said:

    I agree with you 100% as usual James ? 

    Some on here are looking at misleading information and making erroneous comments - I understand the excitement/disappointment etc.  The snow area has actually been expanding (not contracting). Most models did NOT forecast the the breakaway LP forming on the upper occlusion ahead of the main LP which now may be spawning another break away feature or is becoming even more east/west and pivoting/elongating. This is a highly complex set up and is continuously evolving.  

     

    Indeed David, been watching this loop for a few hours now. Interesting developments over Somerset and Dorset. 

     

    lastsnowradar_uk (1).gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
    6 minutes ago, Bring Back1962-63 said:

    I agree with you 100% as usual James ? 

    Some on here are looking at misleading information and making erroneous comments - I understand the excitement/disappointment etc.  The snow area has actually been expanding (not contracting). Most models did NOT forecast the the breakaway LP forming on the upper occlusion ahead of the main LP which now may be spawning another break away feature or is becoming even more east/west and pivoting/elongating. This is a highly complex set up and is continuously evolving.  

    On the current NetWx I should be under rain but here in Exmouth, I'm less than a mile inland and at a modest 65m and it has been snowing for several hours now, often quite heavily.  It has now settled on all surfaces - about 1 cm on the road and pavements and well over 2 cm on the cars and grass. It looks set to continue on and off for much of the next 12 hours.

    Most models did NOT forecast the the breakaway LP forming on the upper occlusion ahead of the main LP which now may be spawning another break away feature or is becoming even more east/west and pivoting/elongating. This is a highly complex set up and is continuously evolving.  

    Live Pressure (UK chart is GMT and NW France chart is GMT + 1 hour):

    Watch that LP as it should move eastwards or north eastwards. It sucks down the cold air from the north and maintains the precipitation. I believe that another small centre may formv (or is already forming off) Land's End - the main centre is still over 200 miles to the west of Land's End.  The surface occlusion is likely to pulse north and south several times along these mini features.  The upper occlusion is roughly along the line of heaviest snow (red/deep pink on the radar) east to west from mid Surrey westwards to north east Devon.  The clearance in the west has stalled as part of the snow area returns south westwards.  It is uncertain how much northward impetus there will be from the current occlusion, the breakaway feature, any new feature developing or even the main LP but a fair amount of lighter snow has already pushed into the south west Midlands and south east Wales. 

    The winds are increasingly backing towards the east north east and the few remaining less cold areas like the IOW will see their temps falling quite soon and join in the fun quite soon (IMO).

    David ? 

     

    12

    You, sir, are a star! Love your input to this thread. Although, many are disappointed thus far including me in Newbury, the wait will shortly be over. 

    Edited by gottolovethisweather
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    Posted
  • Location: Coast of West Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: early spring, warm summers and cold winters
  • Location: Coast of West Dorset

    Put a bottle of champers in,  only to be drunk if it snowed...................yippee.  It's still snowing, which right down by the sea is worth celebrating.  (Although to be fair I can be persuaded to open a bottle in less extreme circumstances!)

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset.
  • Location: Somerset.
    1 minute ago, Snow Of '78 said:

    Ahh, I remember the 2013 news story of heavy snow in that area. (cars abandoned etc)

    Are you getting g lots in Bridgwater? It’s only up the road.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth
    Just now, matt111 said:

    Still going and settling well now 

    E336C5C6-7535-4884-B664-5921BE030451.jpeg

    FB117802-C92D-4402-B238-C2330C36620B.jpeg

    It’s brilliant isn’t it. I’m a 5 min walk to the beach, you must be similar. Met still have us having rain for the next two hours then the snow kicks in???

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    Posted
  • Location: west dartmoor
  • Location: west dartmoor
    16 minutes ago, Jase74 said:

    Aleyna? Nice pics. Weird how Tavistock didn't even get a dusting when you did as did bere Alston, gunnislake, Plymouth etc. Tavistock snow shield worked perfectly today! 

    Can't believe tavi had nothing! Even at home near Milton abbot there's a good inch or two. Looking forward to driving to Okehampton at 5.30am tomorrow ? Heard Princetown has been cut off! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl

    God, I'm not going to be able to sleep tonight I don't think.

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome
  • Location: Frome

    Met Office app has heavy snow for Frome from 22:00 through to 04:00, I just cannot see it myself - not unless I'm missing something??

    Looking at the radar, IMO it seems further east, Hampshire / Surrey / Berks looks like they will be getting the heavier PPN?

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

    The snow we have falling now is the heaviest it's been since the front first reached these parts, still nothing compared to what others have and are experiencing though. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Glos 102m a.s.l
  • Location: Stroud, Glos 102m a.s.l

    Can't see the M4 around Swindon on the radar now  so moving in the right direction and looking tasty around Painswick to the north but only the odd flakes in Stroud so far ?

    Radar....couldn't make it up!Screenshot_20190131-201348.thumb.jpg.23ba447d1e4075c6b48e94fd8256d18a.jpg

    Hopefully will get some later. If not I'm having a lovely cosy evening ☺

    Lush seeing some of you on the coast getting some snow ? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, North Dorset
  • Location: Gillingham, North Dorset

    image.thumb.png.e8c80f27688d4a117031792924097592.png

    Been stuck in this little pocket of nothingness for ages now. Barely even got a dusting as it's all swirling around us! ?

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    Posted
  • Location: North Wessex Downs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, snow and more snow
  • Location: North Wessex Downs
    Just now, CheesepuffScott said:

    God, I'm not going to be able to sleep tonight I don't think.

    The heavier the snow the less likely you'll be able to sleep. But, handily, the heavier the snow the less likely you'll be able to get to work for it to matter ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Kingsclere, Hampshire
  • Location: Kingsclere, Hampshire

    Still absolutely nothing here between Newbury and Basingstoke. One of the most benign evenings for a ping time ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
    1 minute ago, Tobertron said:

    image.thumb.png.e8c80f27688d4a117031792924097592.png

    Been stuck in this little pocket of nothingness for ages now. Barely even got a dusting as it's all swirling around us! ?

    Yeah, just a dusting here too in South Wilts. Hopefully that heavier ppn to the south will help out here

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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
    9 minutes ago, offerman said:

    Big flakes too Fromey 

    settling nicely . Nice surprise a complete turn around from earlier dissapointment. 

     

     

    BE06CF4B-6021-439E-AAD8-5791E977D383.jpeg

    i think we are in the sweet spot

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Curbs disappearing 

    FB5222C5-7700-4354-BB23-ED7200E9653D.thumb.jpeg.4679d0261404bd0f0e7b801106565eef.jpeg1EE12614-747C-4582-94A8-AA9F25EFB9C8.thumb.jpeg.852e063cd860805456ff5632f997af8a.jpeg

    Thanks David for your posts @Bring Back1962-63 

    Edited by karlos1983
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    Posted
  • Location: Gosport
  • Weather Preferences: coldy
  • Location: Gosport

    Right that's it, I give up for down here, been snowing, nothing laying and it's about to all move through. Good luck everyone and stay safe ??

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset.
  • Location: Somerset.

    Have not drunk since Christmas Day, have had a few cans of Stella sat in the fridge from then, think going to have to crack a few open. ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    4 minutes ago, That ECM said:

    It’s brilliant isn’t it. I’m a 5 min walk to the beach, you must be similar. Met still have us having rain for the next two hours then the snow kicks in???

    Yes 10 minute walk to the beach from here. Shows heavy snow here until 1am then light snow until 4am.

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl

    There really power showers heading the south west pushing North worth watching good luck!

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    Posted
  • Location: Sherborne dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms. Warm weather. Not hot or cold weather.
  • Location: Sherborne dorset

    heavy snow here. temp 0.1c.

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