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Mapantz

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

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Settling on all surfaces now without issue 

so glad I moved up the hill ❄️❄️❄️

AE1A7A87-258E-4578-98BF-936A12FD3A80.thumb.jpeg.1d9c939bc6a99ca58bf0484a7c05f5bb.jpegBD97EABF-5BF0-4D41-A9A8-086122D5F3CA.thumb.jpeg.25ff9183608fa608fe0dab9c3751b942.jpeg

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Alternating snow and rain on the top of Portland matching the intensity.

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Looks like the upper front left the surface occlusion behind as expected based on FAX charts. Not something that shows up well in models that at best have hourly averages.

The surface front continues to advance slowly but surely north. Annoying to have the break in ground temp lowering via bombardment with flakes to initiate settling, but the surface front should bring much heavier rates than the upper, as there's less distance of travel in which they can evaporate in the undercutting cold, dry air.

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13 minutes ago, offerman said:

 It would be greatly nice if they would just say look we got it wrong and it's not their fault they're only human I know supercomputer can predict the weather the weather will do what it wants to do as proven now and so many times before . 

 I haven't seen the points west forecast but it's funny how he is now sitting on the fence yet before he had warnings out so basically all of the forecasters have got it wrong most of us on here including myself I've got it wrong and I don't mind admitting that either but I wish they would on TV 

To be fair to Ian, in his main bulletin, he did say that the current picture re: the amber warning did not look to be going as forecast, except for in the extreme south west of that zone.

Edited by kumquat
edit LOL missed a very key word -"Not"

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Hope is coming back. I'm still going to pray until it's proper snowing. 😄

Maybe the front is going to keep disappearing but then reappearing around Warminster giving us in the north of the region a chance?

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8 minutes ago, mattyj said:

Its a big bust all going south east sorry met office big fail forcast for south west

What a load of rubbish. The forecast was correct, the warnings appropriate. It was never forecast to be snowmageddon, in fact 1-3cm was forecast for most people and that is what they have had, or will get. 

There have been significant impacts on higher routes that completely warrant the warning.

Don't bash the Met Office when it is exactly as forecast

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Glad you south coasters are getting the snow. You guys deserve it! Non-event here in filton but can’t complain  Rum helping to keep the tears at bay lol

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3 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

Some quite heavy showers coming in from the west hopefully they come to me ;) (Cornwall)

Screenshot_20190131-190416.jpg

Could be some thunder in those keep an eye out!

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1 minute ago, jethro said:

The graphics on Points West showed the snow to the east being pushed north/north west as the evening progresses, bringing quite a lot in our direction. Whether it happens or not remains to be seen...

Did he still think it was game on then?

Temperature is perfect for us at moment. -1.2c. snow just starting to come down abit more.

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A rubbish picture but you can see it settling on the cars. 

20190131_190800.jpg

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16 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

starting to settle here now

You aren't going to nick it all again are you! 

Not settled yet but main course around 8pm for Portsmouth I feel 🙂

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One more push North and I should be in the heavier stuff, as long as it doesn't break up. 

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4 minutes ago, kumquat said:

To be fair to Ian, in his main bulletin, he did say that the current picture re: the amber warning did not look to be going as forecast, except for in the extreme south west of that zone.

Thank you for the correction . Well done to him for admitting they got it wrong 

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1 minute ago, s4lancia said:

Blimey. Just taken a nice long soak in the bath, expected to come out to see the same sleety mix and it’s heavy snow and settling out there. Splendid.

75DF6F82-191F-4AA0-BECF-EBC5B18D1C41.thumb.jpeg.de56b3f9d39df20ffec8ea9f482469a4.jpeg

 

1 minute ago, That ECM said:

Booooooooddddiiifuuuuullllll😀😀😀

CE4171A4-07D4-42EA-B4DB-0075042B93CC.jpeg

Brilliant stuff! Where’s Lloydd 🤣🤣🤣

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Sooo not only do I live on the snowless iow - the 1 time we are in with a chance I live on the WRONG side of the iow as snowing in Cowes n raining here in shanklin 🤷‍♀️ Wow 

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1 minute ago, Nights King said:

Did he still think it was game on then?

Temperature is perfect for us at moment. -1.2c. snow just starting to come down abit more.

The only real uncertainty seemed to be how far north it will get. I think totals are impossible to predict, (even at this stage) but it looks like continuing for quite some time. yet. 

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4 minutes ago, TomW said:

Could be some thunder in those keep an eye out!

It's just the matter of if it gets here/does it retain it's power

Should be hear in a matter of hours?

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1 minute ago, Man With Beard said:

You aren't going to nick it all again are you! 

Not settled yet but main course around 8pm for Portsmouth I feel 🙂

I was actually thinking earlier I hope MWB does well out of this, March was a bit of a let down for you from memory.  hope you do well 🍻

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9 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

Some quite heavy showers coming in from the west hopefully they come to me (Cornwall)

Screenshot_20190131-190416.jpg

Yes spotlight suggesting they are cornwall bound plus on saturday when the wind swings to a northerly looks like the Pembroke dangler will be in operation. Somewhere in Cornwall will get a load a snow off that.

Edited by festivalking

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