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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

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1 minute ago, kumquat said:

Haha - I trust you safely made it to Brum, BB?

Easy mate. In fact, i reck a lot of work people who travel to meetings and the like prob skipped today for travel as earlier in week snow forecast was more widespread. M5 was easy as was M40/42. Got here in 1hr, 15 mins.

Hope u all get snowed in later on. I'll be logging in to see reports and pics. Good luck to all in this thread. Cheers

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1 minute ago, West is Best said:

Gone 1.30pm and it still hasn't started ppn in Exeter. It's dark and windy but no ppn just yet. So surely that's slower than expected?

About right I think this is the EURO4 6z for 3PM

19013115_3106.gif

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Just now, jethro said:

Temps dropping here and wind picking up. Smells like it's going to snow, before you all think I'm barking, trust me, snowy air smells different. You office dwellers probably don't notice such things, but us outsiders do. 

I am with you on this. The air definitely changes smell when snow or rain is on the air. 

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Just now, jethro said:

Temps dropping here and wind picking up. Smells like it's going to snow, before you all think I'm barking, trust me, snowy air smells different. You office dwellers probably don't notice such things, but us outsiders do. 

Absolutely Jethro worked on thatched roofs all my life and you can definitely smell when it's going to snow.

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15 minutes ago, kumquat said:

90s was soooo bad.

Tell me about it - I remember Spirals 🤣


I had to Google Spirals (In my 20's) and it's the same building that I've just literally come back from (Anytime Fitness) - Mind blown.

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Ian F's latest forecast states the front is slower than thought yesterday. Guess that's better for temperatures to drop off before it does arrive. As for accumulation pretty variable, a dusting to a 2.5 of inches at low levels.

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3 minutes ago, jethro said:

Temps dropping here and wind picking up. Smells like it's going to snow, before you all think I'm barking, trust me, snowy air smells different. You office dwellers probably don't notice such things, but us outsiders do. 

Deffo! Your'e not alone Jethro. 

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Temp 2.8c too mild for snow hoping for a cool down!

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I wonder if Shaky has had a nervous breakdown yet as it looks like the SW has pinched his snow?

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1 minute ago, MidnightSnow said:


I had to Google Spirals (In my 20's) and it's the same building that I've just literally come back from (Anytime Fitness) - Mind blown.

Was Riley's before Anytime Fitness there was some pretty crazy times up there also in the mid 2000s as it was the only place around that had a late night license, think they did try making it in to a night club again called Waves or something but have no idea what happened to that. I have a membership up there also not been for a while though, I just use it for spinning classes or did. 🤣

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1 minute ago, beerandkebab said:

I wonder if Shaky has had a nervous breakdown yet as it looks like the SW has pinched his snow?

The exclamation mark button must be ground down into the keyboard!

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1 minute ago, beerandkebab said:

I wonder if Shaky has had a nervous breakdown yet as it looks like the SW has pinched his snow?

If he see's your post, you'll wake up to this on your car window:

istockphoto-867322652-1024x1024.thumb.jpg.88b7cc525f9b162390a6b0d0c607ff3a.jpg

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The pivot is really obvious now. The rain / sleet / snow is going to hit Exeter from due south rather than south-west. Should be next 30 mins, I 'think'.

That bodes well for those in the firing line.

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Liking what I have seen this morning. Expecting PPN here inside the next hour. Sure it will be rain on landfall but as it wraps, fingers crossed, the changing wind direction and dew points should increase snow potential for later on.

Going to stick my neck out and say, even for Weymouth, we will be unlucky not to have 2-3 cm laying snow before tomorrow morning. Knife edge still.

Choose a good day to be working from home that's for sure!

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2.6c, DP -1, but system looks like it's pivoting way too early for me. Should be good for you guys in Devon and Dorset

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told the wife if she plays her cards right she could get a few cm's tonight, she laughed and said, "I hope you're talking about the weather, otherwise you're delusional".......*sigh*

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1 minute ago, s4lancia said:

Liking what I have seen this morning. Expecting PPN here inside the next hour. Sure it will be rain on landfall but as it wraps, fingers crossed, the changing wind direction and dew points should increase snow potential for later on.

Going to stick my neck out and say, even for Weymouth, we will be unlucky not to have 2-3 cm laying snow before tomorrow morning. Knife edge still.

Choose a good day to be working from home that's for sure!

I think it will def be knife edge for us on the coast, sat watching the radar and waiting to see what arrives and how/if it develops on the top of Portland. 

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Yeah definitely some pivot action going on right now.

Is the PPN around Guernsey supposed to swing back around towards the West Country & SE Wales?
 

 

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Crikey, last 5 minutes the ppn has shifted dramatically to sleet / snow as it pivots.

The Met Office / Meteogroup may have played a blinder. And, as one of the GFS' biggest supporters, they may be way wrong about this.

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2 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Yeah definitely some pivot action going on right now.

Is the PPN around Guernsey supposed to swing back around towards the West Country & SE Wales?
 

 

Looking at latest Met office video forecast I would say yes?

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Might it pivot to early and miss here entirely I wouldn't rule it out especially with the uncertainty in the low in the English channel could help pull the band further south!

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