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Mapantz

South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

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Agreed with @Man With Beard, even if under the darkest green colours on the Netweather radar scale; in an hour period that equates to 1cm/hr of snowfall. If under the yellow for an hour that equates to 4cm/hr of snowfall. 

This is because rainfall to snowfall ratio is 1:10. 

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1 minute ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Do u think we’ll get any?? Met o showing us as heavy rain all evening 😩😞 

I would think that at least St Catherines Down, Bonniface and the central ridge all have a decent chance?

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22 minutes ago, jtay said:

We're not experts, we're chancers.

You're not far from me and I'm pretty hopeful.

 

Edit : Scratch that @Singularity is here. He's an expert and lives closer to you, then me.

ok thanks for your reply

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2 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Do u think we’ll get any?? Met o showing us as heavy rain all evening 😩😞 

where on the isle of wight do you live? 

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anyone regen will get fair mount up sailsbury plain ? 

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Okay, well it's readily now starting to turn to sleet and snow, although admittedly that's over the high ground to the west of Exeter.

480630659_ScreenShot2019-01-31at11_34_08.thumb.png.19a487758062c730082534c855cfd324.png

1710767767_ScreenShot2019-01-31at11_34_19.thumb.png.23741dfbbdc74308d8a4bed97222ca1d.png

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28 minutes ago, Bobafet said:

Latest radar

 

0192D750-55F8-4DED-9790-0A530392DD61.png

What app is this from Bobafet?

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25 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

These warnings are confusing, Cardiff in the amber but when you go on the forecast for Cardiff there's no warning.

Cardiff is in the yellow warning area (as shown in the Cardiff forecast) - amber warning if for the higher ground of the Valleys, further inland and north of Cardiff (as well as for parts of SW England)

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20 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

You are placed perfectly in my opinion. 3-7 Cm my bet for Ferndown 👍❄️

Hi  Karlos good news thank you for taking time to reply 

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8 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Do u think we’ll get any?? Met o showing us as heavy rain all evening 😩😞 

With the Amber Alert on the northern edge of the IOW , we would be very unlucky if not!!

Edited by wightwootton

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24 minutes ago, AWD said:

06z EURO4 by dawn Friday morning;

19020106_3106.thumb.gif.4c0ad36de056594a26258d1614e7ae0a.gif

That gap over north wilts though 🤔

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6 minutes ago, Certain kind of fool said:

I would think that at least St Catherines Down, Bonniface and the central ridge all have a decent chance?

Close call IMO. The surface wind tonight looks a pure easterly, so a very long sea track for you. Just a nudge to an ENE would do the trick for most of the Island. Maybe chances increase as the night goes on, particularly on ARPEGE where they keep it going until tomorrow morning.

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morning well, temps now holding steady at 1.2c and dew 0.3, wind is picking up now from a S/E direction 

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2 minutes ago, wightwootton said:

What app is this from Bobafet?

Home and dry on Apple - they have a rainfall and snow app - you have to pay £1.99 I think? They are really good apps and worth the money.

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5 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Do u think we’ll get any?? Met o showing us as heavy rain all evening 😩😞 

Hope so, its all looking a bit marginal for us IOW people (IMO), but I've been wrong more times than I've been wright . Fingers crossed.

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11 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Do u think we’ll get any?? Met o showing us as heavy rain all evening 😩😞 

Yes I think we will get some snow, it will be hitting at just the right time, maybe a bit more marginal for you in Shanklin though.

 

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6 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Shanklin 😬

When the heaviest PPN arrives I wouldn't be surprised to see it start to turn and we are still seeing southerly corrections on the day!

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3 minutes ago, RAIN RAIN RAIN said:

That gap over north wilts though 🤔

That's Trowbridge.  Nothing ever wants to go to Trowbridge.

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Met raw data, (app) has light snow as early as 1pm right up here in Stroud. Also going for plenty of heavy ppn.

The HRLEM especially seems to keep the highest accumulation further south so good to see raw MET data still looking good for us further north.

 

Edited by chris55

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1 minute ago, Bobafet said:

Home and dry on Apple - they have a rainfall and snow app - you have to pay £1.99 I think? They are really good apps and worth the money.

Using the Netweather snow radar app on my android device, doesn't cost a thing. 

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Refusing to be draw in to any will it or wont it, as I had my thoughts yesterday and... 

So currently maximum 4.7°C at: 11:10 and overcast..

Edited by Dorsetbred

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The front still teasing the approaches. Look at those colours though. Some heavy ppn tied up in there. 

Screenshot_20190131-114546_Samsung Internet.jpg

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1.4 now and dew point -0.5, so rain a possibility as it arrives but hope it gets heavy enough to turn to snow!

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