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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
    20 minutes ago, kumquat said:

    Hirlam accumulation charts (12z) out to 48 hrs - can't see 18z is out yet?

    19020112_3012.gif

    Edit: I'd go with that lol

    Oohh I'm liking that a lot! 

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    Nice little walk with the hound.

    Beautiful looking up towards Peek Tor on Dartmoor this morning ❄❄❄

    Guys good luck today -As they say one mans loss is another mans gain - well for once in the UK the south & SW are going to gobble up the Norths snow ? Someone in North Devon / Somerset / Wilt

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
    1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Latest GFS is further south I think which is good.

    Further south the weaker an more likely to split though.. :unsure2:

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire

    GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

    overview_20190130_18_003.jpg

    Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

    Screenshot_13.thumb.png.b9b738f44636a58e3e38bfc3fa0c5489.png

    Edited by Zephyr
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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK
    15 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

    Nothing on the iow ??

    ********Edited for language******

     

    I am not happy, either, snowgal! ??

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    Posted
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers and cold winters with snow.
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL

    Just had a look at Hirlam 18z on metociel still looks good to me ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    10 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

    GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

    overview_20190130_18_003.jpg

    Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

    Screenshot_13.thumb.png.b9b738f44636a58e3e38bfc3fa0c5489.png

    What impacts will that have on the snow chances?

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    Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
    9 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

    GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

    overview_20190130_18_003.jpg

    Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

    Screenshot_13.thumb.png.b9b738f44636a58e3e38bfc3fa0c5489.png

    There is missing data on that graph! Naughty buoy!! :acute: 

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
    31 minutes ago, AWD said:

    18z Hirlam;

    snowdepth_20190130_18_042.thumb.jpg.e02b80e5e68e232a0965b6460b8892a8.jpg

    Nothing just on the coast of the Bristol Channel going by that chart

    Edited by SteveB
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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
    12 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    What impacts will that have on the snow chances?

    Not a lot, I should have thought just the GFS is overdoing it a tiny bit

    Seems to be in-line with AREPGE at the moment ?

    Edited by Zephyr
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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
    6 minutes ago, Richard Fisher said:

    Oh no I’ve lost 2 heavy snow symbols!

    Please don’t downgrade any further

     

     

     

     

    4D7729C9-8586-461C-858F-20E8FC4D0C13.png

    Yeah I’ve lost 2 too

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
    1 minute ago, matt111 said:

    One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

    You lot are gonna drive yourself nuts constantly checking lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

    hirlamuk-1-26-0.png?30-22

    This explains for the low totals in the same area that had high totals in last run!

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    7 minutes ago, Smartie said:

    You lot are gonna drive yourself nuts constantly checking lol

    Surely that's part of the fun? :crazy:

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    5 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

    On March 1st, the Met Office were still showing sleet for me as the 3rd inch was falling on my lawn. 

    I seems to remember the same here, well apart from the third inch as I didn't get that much. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos

    18z para drops the northern extent further south again with less accumulation by friday morn compared to its 12z run

    18z

    gfs-16-36.png

    12z

    gfs-16-42.png?12

    All a bit academic now though, to be honest. Que sera sera

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