South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

[Bob G]

Not looking good for Oxford area, think we are too far north for this one  Not expecting anything until much later if at all. I wait to be proved wrong

[knocker]

3 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

Checking the latest radar vs models ... only the ECM had the track of the front right so far. All the others - miles off, even my trusty ARPEGE!!

ECM had the front Weymouth - Minehead at 4pm, then just short of Bristol to The Needles by 5pm, Bristol to Brighton by 6pm, and then most the area south of the M4 by 7pm where it starts to stall out.

 

Which front?

[Richard Fisher]

You have to laugh BS15 has about 10 heavy snow symbols back on the MET OFFICE App.

Edited January 31, 2019 by Richard Fisher
error

[Singularity]

4 minutes ago, knocker said:

https://www.lars.co.uk/case_studies/weather-radar-network-renewal-project/

Might well be that things went awry following the upgrade to Doppler. Pretty sure someone else mentioned that earlier this winter.

. . . . . . .

Very cold feel to the wind outside here, similar to what ARPEGE predicted for this time but probably a degree or two higher (that being the usual bias).

[Ben Sainsbury]

Ngl the fronts precipitation looks more intense and covers a much larger area to what is suggested even on the latest ICON 12z and ARPEGE 12z runs!

[Lorraine]

6 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

Checking the latest radar vs models ... only the ECM had the track of the front right so far. All the others - miles off, even my trusty ARPEGE!!

ECM had the front Weymouth - Minehead at 4pm, then just short of Bristol to The Needles by 5pm, Bristol to Brighton by 6pm, and then most the area south of the M4 by 7pm where it starts to stall out.

 

It better hadn't stall just south of the M4 .. need it to go just a smidge north 

[Wilxy]

Only light snow now for here for rest of the day and into the evening.

[Singularity]

Also as far as I can estimate via observing the progress during the past 2 hours, the main band is on track to arrive here around 4 pm, close to the consensus of the morning model runs.

Assuming, of course, that it doesn't slow forward motion much during the next hour.

[Wiltshire_snow_lover]

Dont know why everyone gets so worked up on meto app it changes all the time... But looks ok heavy snow from 9 pm till 2 am for me... then light snow alll day friday till 4 pm..... Wont happen but would be nice 

[don1]

Now snowing after moderate rain then sleet.1.3c.-0.1 dp

[fromey]

holy hell have you seen it there now

 

 

Edited January 31, 2019 by fromey

[festivalking]

Wet snow here now. Not settling. May be a couple of hours of ppn.

[Jeckers]

Incredibly, after heavy rain all morning, we have settling snow on the ground in West Cornwall!  First snow of Winter 18/19

[Zephyr]

ICON 12z out to +27 here is the accumulations

[Jemma Croton]

I know, I know. Now casting etc. But for Swindon we’ve seen downgrades alL day so far from heavy snow to just light from 7pm for 12 hrs and now it’s jumped back to this... taking the snow righty through to tomorrow afternoon continuous  

[surfs up]

Snow now easing off as front clears through. Fantastic hour or so of really heavy, settling snow. Just goes to show, no frost last night, woke up to 6c and light drizzle first thing and within minutes temperature had dropped 4-5c and snow settling almost straight away. 

[Wilxy]

1 minute ago, fromey said:

holy hell have you seen it there now

 

 

Amazing!!

[Duane S.]

1 minute ago, fromey said:

holy hell have you seen it there now

 

www.youtube.com/watch?v=kNgf9j8Yv4I 

Flipping heck!

[ncjones]

31 minutes ago, swebby said:

Yep, suspect Haldon will be a big headache.  I think a lot of the amber warning in the SW is going to be related to the snow being proceeded by rain and therefore prescriptive gritting is simply not going to work.  I wonder if DCC still have their work gangs of highway maintenance people camped out at the top and bottom of Haldon Hill?

My wife's just driven through... snowing at top of Haldon but not settling yet. Gritters out in a major way on the hill . 

[offerman]

1 minute ago, fromey said:

holy hell have you seen it there now

 

 

 Bloody hell that's crazy only check that 15 minutes ago or so 

 I'm going to have to set up my time-lapse camera for Frome 

[jtay]

6 minutes ago, knocker said:

https://www.lars.co.uk/case_studies/weather-radar-network-renewal-project/

'The latest contracts to be awarded to LARS Communications by the Met Office are for the radar site upgrades at Stornoway, on the Isle of Lewis and Munduff Hill, in Kinross

These contracts are part of the Met Office’s Weather Radar Renewal Project and follow on from the recently completed site at Dean Hill in Wiltshire'

They've completed it? Blimey. It doesn't work.

[SNOW CRYSTAL]

10 minutes ago, snowponies said:

Starting to snow now! Was starting to get a bit worried

Send it this way please. Rain/sleet here and I'm definitely worrying.

 Ooops we have a few flakes now

[SteveB]

Nowt here in Bristol, or down in Weston.

Temp 2.7c, DP 0.0C

[Ciderman]

Apologies for the pessimism earlier, seems the app changes every few hours and now looking better

[AWD]

1 minute ago, Zephyr said:

ICON 12z out to +27 here is the accumulations

That's PPN accumulations, not snow accumulations, hence why Cornwall is green.