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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards


Mapantz

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
2 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Well for what it’s worth I’ve got plenty of snow symbols this morning. 

B0F35096-3E0D-4F70-B482-202B96683BEA.png

Worth a great deal. If you get snow this will be a worthy event!!

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Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon

glad i got out there, to enjoy it for 5 mins. The snow turned to drizzle. damn and blast it

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Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire

I have got my wellies and trusty snow shovel out from the garage.  Bought the snow shovel some years ago and last March was the first time it was needed! Now it looks like it'll be needed again......two years in a row!  Have a few extra bits and bobs of food in too, milk, bread, beans, soup. The shortages last March were a wake-up call!

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Posted
  • Location: North of M3, South of M4
  • Location: North of M3, South of M4
10 minutes ago, Certain kind of fool said:

hmmmm....I would LOVE you to be right

I think you're in a cracking spot - i think the Basingstoke Plateau will cop it this evening.

Hopefully, I will get out before it does then - I work in Basingstoke but live nearer Andover (another snow spot).  However, a snow day off work tomorrow would be very much appreciated.

Basingstoke, at the moment, is sunny with a few wispy clouds and a heavy frost -3.

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Posted
  • Location: Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Snow!!
  • Location: Isle of Wight

Just had some snow grains here , froze solid on impact with temp at just below 0 c 

Edited by wightwootton
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Posted
  • Location: Anglesey, Gosport, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Lightning and Snow
  • Location: Anglesey, Gosport, Hampshire

UKMO website seems to be creaking under the load today.

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Posted
  • Location: .
  • Location: .
38 minutes ago, AWD said:

I expect South/South East Wales to get an amber warning from the Meto today.

The Met Office have confidently forecast this to be snow and they have been very good. 

However I think it's poor that warnings are not issued properly in advance.  

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Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke
  • Location: Basingstoke
15 minutes ago, Certain kind of fool said:

hmmmm....I would LOVE you to be right

I think you're in a cracking spot - i think the Basingstoke Plateau will cop it this evening.

720 feet high on the highest part of the plateau, had drifts for weeks up there last year, its like the Alps. Still minus 3. This is going to be a  good un, unlike saints performance last night

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Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth

Driving to Pompey and went through a little snow shower A mere aperitif  

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Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol

Hirlam 6z has just come out, the M4 southwards look fantastic with 7-15cm with more further south. West country look at between 4-8cm and further SW between sort 2-5cm. 

1008222145_Hirlam6z.thumb.png.fa0ba9cfb3d56a167825ed1a2f754a49.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat, Ice, Freezing Fog. Etc
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

Squal line with lightening on the back edge! 

3F2476E9-DC1B-4377-9A97-87A135691982.png

Excuse the blurred image, no idea why that’s happened.. ah it’s ok if you click on it. 

Edited by SilverWolf
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6 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

With all respect, I know my locale very well when it comes to conditions for snow. This mornings temperatures have no bearing on what happens later today. 

This is 100% correct.  The margins and temp contrasts over short distances will be very high today. This is roughly what we can expect:

  • The less cold air will "initially" be driven inland by the "onshore" southerliy wind - into much of Cornwall, south Devon and south Dorset - it was -4.5c here at 0600 but it's now +5.0c with a few spots of rain!
  • The LP is tracking south eastwards and the warm sector (or less cold air south of the occlusion) will slide away southwards and south eastwards.
  • The winds will back from south through south east to east by mid afternoon and then east north east by this evening and then we'll have "offshore" winds with no moderation from the warm seas.
  • Areas that warmed up to +4c to +7c should see temps plunge later today as the cold air returns south westwards.
  • The rain will "probably" turn to sleet and then snow over much of the southern coastal areas of our region (and say up to 30 miles inland) - later this afternoon and through this evening.
  • Those further north and east will see the precipitation a little later and some will only see snow (esp at altitude of 100m +) and others may see a snow/rain/snow sequence.
  • By mid evening, it looks like all the precipitation will be falling as snow - with potential for heavy falls and decent accumulations even on low ground nearer to the coast.
  • There's a good chance that the snow will hang around or reinvigorate tomorrow morning.

 

The main message is to follow the "nowcasts" and not to be too worried with some early rain and temporarily less cold conditions.  David  

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Posted
  • Location: Totton/Netley Marsh....edge of new forest.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms /Snow
  • Location: Totton/Netley Marsh....edge of new forest.

-1°C clouded over with a very light snow flurry.......appetizer for later....❄️

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Posted
  • Location: Kingsclere, Hampshire
  • Location: Kingsclere, Hampshire

It was -6.5c in Ecchinswell, near Kingsclere, in North Hampshire this morning. 

We look to be in a good spot for a bit this evening. My Panda 4x4 is desperate to be used in anger!

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Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke
  • Location: Basingstoke
6 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Hirlam 6z has just come out, the M4 southwards look fantastic with 7-15cm with more further south. West country look at between 4-8cm and further SW between sort 2-5cm. 

1008222145_Hirlam6z.thumb.png.fa0ba9cfb3d56a167825ed1a2f754a49.png

 

That is stunning, sweet spot??

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire

Went for a walk, don't worry I didn't go to bed  had to lap up some of that cold air!

1548928883663.thumb.JPEG.fe3d083ee3d9c3f9cf41a8b9b3a37d87.JPEG

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Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth

The New Forest is “crunchy” this morning. Hope it’s “squeaky” tomorrow morning.

744DD800-9D6F-414B-ADC7-77248B95EBD7.jpeg

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
2 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

Went for a walk, don't worry I didn't go to bed  had to lap up some of that cold air!

1548928883663.thumb.JPEG.fe3d083ee3d9c3f9cf41a8b9b3a37d87.JPEG

Good old Kingsgate park!

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Posted
  • Location: new milton, hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: all weather
  • Location: new milton, hampshire

Was -6 here last night in Poole according to my thermometer!! Let’s hope the surface temps and dew points stay close to freezing through the day then we may be in for some action later when the front arrives 

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
1 minute ago, MidnightSnow said:

Good old Kingsgate park!

Seen someone coming out of meredith's with two sleighs wasn't you by any chance?  

Edited by Zephyr
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