South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

[Leon1]

Good luck for tomorrow everyone! All forecasts are showing snow but intensity yet to be decided but I think lots of us will get a decent covering by Friday. Signing off for tonight now at -2.6°C.

[CheesepuffScott]

Signing off too at -3.6°C, a long day ahead of radar and lamp post watching. It’s gonna be a fun ride!

[Crackerjack]

5 minutes ago, TomW said:

Yeah out in the countryside it does seem much lower here than other stations! I’ve compared in the past thinking it was under reading but I’m sure it’s not a faulty reading from a Davis Vantage Vue!

Ooh nice piece of kit  that’s my aim in the future to get one of those, Birthday in 4 weeks time but I’m getting a Stevenson screen instead not a pro one of course but one from ‘Metcheck’ had one before and it lasted years. 

[Mapantz]

Not looking good for here. Not a single forecast has shown snow. I have been well prepared for it, so no disappointment.

[Crackerjack]

3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Not looking good for here. Not a single forecast has shown snow. I have been well prepared for it, so no disappointment.

Any chance you can get out tomorrow and try to find some snow Mapantz? Close to you. I often do if it doesn’t happen here. Many a time it’s sleet where I live but snowing up at the cross hands (A46) near M4 junction 18 so I take the grandkids and the sledges up there

[Frosty hollows]

-7c here which makes it the coldest night this winter chez moi.  Night all

[stevofunnelcl]

sennybridge is recording -9c

[Mark Parsons]

1 hour ago, Mapantz said:

Not looking good for here. Not a single forecast has shown snow. I have been well prepared for it, so no disappointment.

Mate, I think you may be surprised.

[Zephyr]

I had a whole 1 hour 30 minute sleep.. lol

 

Anyway looks like our low is heading towards K2 buoy now

M6 buoy shows wind speeds now dropping with pressure around 978mb

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62095 (M6) 

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62081 (K2)

https://en.sat24.com/en cloud starting to build in Ireland and Cornwall 

[Jayfromcardiff]

28 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

I had a whole 1 hour 30 minute sleep.. lol

 

Anyway looks like our low is heading towards K2 buoy now

M6 buoy shows wind speeds now dropping with pressure around 978mb

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62095 (M6) 

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62081 (K2)

https://en.sat24.com/en cloud starting to build in Ireland and Cornwall 

Must be the excitement building!

Edited January 31, 2019 by Jayfromcardiff

[Zephyr]

Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Must be the excitement building!

It must be I will be awake for the rest of the day now 

[kumquat]

ppn now visible on radar touching sw ireland - seems earlier than progged?

[Jayfromcardiff]

11 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

It must be I will be awake for the rest of the day now 

I've got the flu again, had it a few weeks ago so my sleeping patterns literally rubbish. 

Going to be a long day tomorrow 3 out of the 8 people in my office are on sick leave, paternity leave and annual leave lol! 

We still looking good for snow?

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just now, kumquat said:

ppn now visible on radar touching sw ireland - seems earlier than progged?

Oh god let's hope it's not going pear shaped.

[Zephyr]

3 minutes ago, kumquat said:

ppn now visible on radar touching sw ireland - seems earlier than progged?

Does seem earlier 21z ICON had it touching SW Ireland at 6z

18z EURO4 is pretty close though

 

Edited January 31, 2019 by Zephyr

[kumquat]

1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Oh god let's hope it's not going pear shaped.

hope not! Right bed for me. Catch you all tomoz

[kumquat]

2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Oh god let's hope it's not going pear shaped.

Hopefully just even MORE snow!!!

[Jayfromcardiff]

Any snow yet?

[MKN]

6 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Any snow yet?

No but comparing the radar to the most recent model output the 0z icon it's either further north or ahead of the predicted time. May end up the at the same point in 24 hours of course and make no real difference we shall see. 

[SMU]

Overnight HIRLAM

Go on the cornwall !

Fot T+36 hours

[Zephyr]

The wait is almost over ! 

[ffowen]

-5.5 here

[SteveB]

-4.1c here, colder than I thought it would be, there is hope! 

[Kreftysoton]

Front looks ahead of schedule and further north possibly?? Not good for keeping the cold on the south coast...have a bad feeling about this...currently -4.2

[Zephyr]

00z EURO4 precip starting at 18:00, still all looking good for most of us most runs have been pretty consistent with how far north its going to get over the past 12 hours or so, doesn't mean things can't change though.  Cornwall misses out on the EURO4 compared to the HIRLAM

Accumulation +33

Edited January 31, 2019 by Zephyr