South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards

[Frosty_wsm]

20 minutes ago, kumquat said:

Hirlam accumulation charts (12z) out to 48 hrs - can't see 18z is out yet?

Edit: I'd go with that lol

Oohh I'm liking that a lot! 

[Jayfromcardiff]

Latest GFS is further south I think which is good.

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Latest GFS is further south I think which is good.

Further south the weaker an more likely to split though.. 

[Zephyr]

GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

Edited January 30, 2019 by Zephyr

[katemart]

15 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Nothing on the iow

********Edited for language******

 

I am not happy, either, snowgal!

[Blizzardof82]

Just had a look at Hirlam 18z on metociel still looks good to me 

[Jayfromcardiff]

10 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

What impacts will that have on the snow chances?

[kumquat]

9 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

There is missing data on that graph! Naughty buoy!!  

[SteveB]

31 minutes ago, AWD said:

18z Hirlam;

Nothing just on the coast of the Bristol Channel going by that chart

Edited January 30, 2019 by SteveB

[Zephyr]

12 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

What impacts will that have on the snow chances?

Not a lot, I should have thought just the GFS is overdoing it a tiny bit

Seems to be in-line with AREPGE at the moment

Edited January 30, 2019 by Zephyr

[stratty]

[Richard Fisher]

Oh no I’ve lost 2 heavy snow symbols!

Please don’t downgrade any further

 

 

 

 

[Jayfromcardiff]

3 minutes ago, stratty said:

Bank!

[alex12]

I think nobody knows what is happening! head to the radar tomorrow I think!  

[Richard Fisher]

Infact putting in other locations on the MET OFFICE App the heavy snow symbols are disappearing.

[CheesepuffScott]

6 minutes ago, Richard Fisher said:

Oh no I’ve lost 2 heavy snow symbols!

Please don’t downgrade any further

 

 

 

 

Yeah I’ve lost 2 too

[matt111]

One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

[Zephyr]

[Frosty_wsm]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

You lot are gonna drive yourself nuts constantly checking lol

[Man With Beard]

Evening all - I have a feeling tomorrow may be an extremely rare south of the M4 event? (well nearly all south ) Can't see the models changing much now! 

[Wilxy]

This explains for the low totals in the same area that had high totals in last run!

[Man With Beard]

3 minutes ago, matt111 said:

One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

On March 1st, the Met Office were still showing sleet for me as the 3rd inch was falling on my lawn. 

[matt111]

7 minutes ago, Smartie said:

You lot are gonna drive yourself nuts constantly checking lol

Surely that's part of the fun? 

[matt111]

5 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

On March 1st, the Met Office were still showing sleet for me as the 3rd inch was falling on my lawn. 

I seems to remember the same here, well apart from the third inch as I didn't get that much. 

[kumquat]

18z para drops the northern extent further south again with less accumulation by friday morn compared to its 12z run

18z

12z

All a bit academic now though, to be honest. Que sera sera