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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards


Mapantz

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
20 minutes ago, kumquat said:

Hirlam accumulation charts (12z) out to 48 hrs - can't see 18z is out yet?

19020112_3012.gif

Edit: I'd go with that lol

Oohh I'm liking that a lot! 

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Latest GFS is further south I think which is good.

Further south the weaker an more likely to split though.. :unsure2:

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire

GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

overview_20190130_18_003.jpg

Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

Screenshot_13.thumb.png.b9b738f44636a58e3e38bfc3fa0c5489.png

Edited by Zephyr
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Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK
15 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Nothing on the iow

********Edited for language******

 

I am not happy, either, snowgal!

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Posted
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers and cold winters with snow.
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL

Just had a look at Hirlam 18z on metociel still looks good to me 

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Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
9 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

GFS has it slightly deeper than the current surface analysis and slightly more north not by a lot though 

overview_20190130_18_003.jpg

Getting closer to the M6 Buoy.

Screenshot_13.thumb.png.b9b738f44636a58e3e38bfc3fa0c5489.png

There is missing data on that graph! Naughty buoy!! :acute: 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
31 minutes ago, AWD said:

18z Hirlam;

snowdepth_20190130_18_042.thumb.jpg.e02b80e5e68e232a0965b6460b8892a8.jpg

Nothing just on the coast of the Bristol Channel going by that chart

Edited by SteveB
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Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
12 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

What impacts will that have on the snow chances?

Not a lot, I should have thought just the GFS is overdoing it a tiny bit

Seems to be in-line with AREPGE at the moment

Edited by Zephyr
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Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
6 minutes ago, Richard Fisher said:

Oh no I’ve lost 2 heavy snow symbols!

Please don’t downgrade any further

 

 

 

 

4D7729C9-8586-461C-858F-20E8FC4D0C13.png

Yeah I’ve lost 2 too

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
1 minute ago, matt111 said:

One of my snow symbols is back. Surrounded by a load of sleet symbols. 

You lot are gonna drive yourself nuts constantly checking lol

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
7 minutes ago, Smartie said:

You lot are gonna drive yourself nuts constantly checking lol

Surely that's part of the fun? :crazy:

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
5 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

On March 1st, the Met Office were still showing sleet for me as the 3rd inch was falling on my lawn. 

I seems to remember the same here, well apart from the third inch as I didn't get that much. 

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Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos

18z para drops the northern extent further south again with less accumulation by friday morn compared to its 12z run

18z

gfs-16-36.png

12z

gfs-16-42.png?12

All a bit academic now though, to be honest. Que sera sera

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