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Blessed Weather

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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massive upgrades on the way 😘

26CC8258-A8EA-4F37-90DA-D9A71AEF3725.png

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Just now, Steve Murr said:

Hirlam 12z V 06z

Upgrades all around!

FE9DF7F6-4827-44FE-B30C-9F4B9E24A1A2.thumb.png.c47c472fbda2717a5c88067d24c1a889.pngF7A97F84-D62F-498B-82BA-CD434D03F212.thumb.png.30b51d14d7642eaff4ce73013acfef98.png

I'm liking the way HIRLAM I handling the forward speed of the front at the moment. ARPEGE is way too slow which means we can probably safely adjust everything it shows northwards 30-50 miles. Once you do so, it starts to look very similar to HIRLAM.

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Wow some temperature drop happening at the moment in the SE

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5 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Hirlam 12z V 06z

Upgrades all around!

FE9DF7F6-4827-44FE-B30C-9F4B9E24A1A2.thumb.png.c47c472fbda2717a5c88067d24c1a889.pngF7A97F84-D62F-498B-82BA-CD434D03F212.thumb.png.30b51d14d7642eaff4ce73013acfef98.png

You going for 7 cm fresh snow tonight steve in your area

or do you think less

Edited by snowbob

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3 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Wow some temperature drop happening at the moment in the SE

Yes its getting nice and cold further east. Temperatures are holding up a little more here but that's not surprising given the wind direction. Once the snow arrives the air temperature will drop away pretty quickly.

I say holding up, its hardly that mild, currently 1.4c before any precipitation.

Edited by kold weather

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2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Wow some temperature drop happening at the moment in the SE

Yes you need it all as well !!

Cmon let us all get in the game 📈

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I think the Met Office are underplaying Kent quite a bit today. 

Maidstone forecast is no snow till 11 but i think it might be here a lot earlier.

Think maybe Medway and west will be rather bad for Kent maybe 7cm-12cm 

or am i being a bit to optimistic lol

 

Edited by Spraggyy

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Looking at the precip radar at 4pm snow is falling in the channel already over water. And the sleet approaching IOW and Hants should turn to snow within an hour or less.

 

FullSizeRender.thumb.jpeg.11cf76e44f3fda89c04d97e315e6dc97.jpeg

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It would be ironic indeed after all the opprobrium piled on them if the Office got a handle on this from the start. Front looks quite active and is just making landfall on the south coast. 

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 Think the temps have been the biggest upgrade today.

they really have struggled and some places in our region got no where near forecasted.

 

Edited by snowbob

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Well I'm driving from Sidcup back to Medway tomorrow morning. Could be fun.

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Hirlam is another upgrade. Coming into line with GFS and the Office’s forecast (which has been pretty consistent since this morning, even yesterday evening)

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By the way in terms of amounts, on Net weather radar, the yellow band is about 1 inch an hour snowfall rate, probably an hour from hitting the south coast, but Isle of Wight should give us our first indication of it.

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0.4c and falling quickly, almost no snow melt.

could get icy later

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Just now, snowbob said:

 Think the temps today have been the biggest upgrade today.

they really have struggled and some places in our region got no where near forecasted.

 

Indeed. Some places were forecast 6c, managed 3c.

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5 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Yes its getting nice and cold further east. Temperatures are holding up a little more here but that's not surprising given the wind direction. Once the snow arrives the air temperature will drop away pretty quickly.

I say holding up, its hardly that mild, currently 1.4c before any precipitation.

Must be a bit of a temperature gradient. Showing 2.6 here in Three Mile Cross (just south of Reading). Think you mentioned you're about 20 miles south of Reading?

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32 minutes ago, frozencanals said:

Hi All,

Just seen a gritter go past my office at Blackfriars bridge here in London 🙂

Cheers

 

FC

Gritting teams in Inner & Greater London are gritting primary, secondary & pedestrian routes ❄️❄️

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11 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

When will the met issue an Amber warning for the south east area. Looks like they are cutting it a bit late atm 

Not sure why they would.. majority arrives after rush hour so impact/disruption will be rather limited 

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Is it reasonable to expect powdery snow as its so cold already increasing the risk of drifting?

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9 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Wow some temperature drop happening at the moment in the SE

Paul!

Just went for a walk and for the FIRST time this winter it actually feels like Winter, the sort of Cold you'd feel when walking in a Blizzard! Also that wind is really picking up and taking your breath away.

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Well the max temp up north at my parents house is -4.c with intermittent snowfall.

By contrast its +4.c in London, let's get those temps down 

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Just now, yamkin said:

Gritting teams in Inner & Greater London are gritting primary, secondary & pedestrian routes ❄️❄️

Yep, already a lot of grit put down as I left the office.

Looking great! I'm hoping for between 10-15cm.....may be overly optimistic but who cares!

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3 minutes ago, kold weather said:

By the way in terms of amounts, on Net weather radar, the yellow band is about 1 inch an hour snowfall rate, probably an hour from hitting the south coast, but Isle of Wight should give us our first indication of it.

 

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We'll I'm confident that most of us will see snow, for my location the only thing that I'm sure of is the timing, I'm struggling to work that out.

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