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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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How can one tell if the front will pep up or decay when it reaches us apart from checking the radar ? 

Edited by prolongedSnowLover

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13 minutes ago, DAVE_ALLEN said:

I'm not sure I really understand what you are asking ? I don't think I know you 🙂 

'nuff said

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9 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

A massive positive just posted by a forecaster I hold in Very high regard and who is always very Conservative - He said draw a line from Wales across to North Essex and that's the snow line - Anyone South of this line could get between 3-7cm obvs more over Hills 

Fingers crossed! Oh I do hope so 🤗👍 Less squeaky bum time for my area later hopefully 🤞🤞

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Anyone notice some of the radar returns have been a bit crap as there is heavy precip in one spot which just vanishes in the next

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Just now, Paul Sherman said:

100% defo Snow in Cornwall to Sea Level as well

Yeah, though I do note they were also in some very intense convection as well, which may have dragged the snow level down further. Still I don't think its going to be be remotely marginal by the time it gets here.

Main concern never has been marginality, its all about how far north it gets.

Anyway the front is still marching northwards and the pivot. Just keep coming north front!

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20 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Its even 30 minutes ahead of the UK met office radar update at 14z, and given that its clearly got more umphh behind it than the models were expecting at this stage in proceedings. Good signs for sure...

Temperature holding 2.9c here as cloud cover increases.

That’s the most positive post all day from you mate

great news

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14 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

A massive positive just posted by a forecaster I hold in Very high regard and who is always very Conservative - He said draw a line from Wales across to North Essex and that's the snow line - Anyone South of this line could get between 3-7cm obvs more over Hills 

Finally some good news

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2 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

Anyone notice some of the radar returns have been a bit crap as there is heavy precip in one spot which just vanishes in the next

Possibly due to there being a mixture of percip

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3 minutes ago, snowbob said:

That’s the most positive post all day from you mate

great news

I'm encouraged by the way its moving north faster than the models expected. Even the very high resolution models are a fair way behind the curve. This means we have more leeway before the front starts to weaken and means this has a good shot at getting further inland, once again before it starts to weaken.

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11 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

There was Bill, Dave, and Davindra I believe.. probably all the same person but was still rather entertaining!

And... Davina! 

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9 minutes ago, A Wintry Mix said:

Feels like it's going to snow, probably won't though🙄 

Planet Thanet 1.6c

It's too cold to snow!🤣

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I'm migrating to this thread as I'm in Woking for the night, Euro 4 looking good!

19020106_3106.gif

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Rather interestingly the high winds forecast to increase this afternoon appear not to have done so. A gentle breeze outside here for now.

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2 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

I'm migrating to this thread as I'm in Woking for the night, Euro 4 looking good!

19020106_3106.gif

You might never want to go back 

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GFS 12z stall out now 20 miles further south bang over North Kent & London

Probs another small correction south on 18z

4780765A-521A-4BD2-BBBF-96EDA2A0DABB.thumb.png.6fc0e2bb78750ee42f82c83b67f10e0a.pngCE0CF41D-77D8-4320-B7A4-C6FD40EB90D2.thumb.png.96cc2e359d2569d3f1c97cb598d6d053.png

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Snow depth 7am from GFS 12z 

A26F4029-DD2D-4F75-812A-5E61002C12B7.jpeg

52A5DD17-BD90-402E-A39A-BF5C1D2AFA16.jpeg

Edited by Tim Bland

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Looks like the northern part of the front is extending eastwards at a fair clip right now, for Hampshire, W.Sussex and Surrey I'd keep a close eye on the radar, there maybe some snow earlier than expected feeding in from the west. It may not quite make it, but very interesting anyway.

mean while the front from the north still coming northwards at a decent rate...

 

Edited by kold weather

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1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Looks like the northern part of the front is extending eastwards at a fair clip right now, for Hampshire, W.Sussex and Surrey I'd keep a close eye on the radar, there maybe some snow earlier than expected feeding in from the west, mean while the front from the north still coming northwards at a decent rate...

Tell me can you see a second low forming half way between Penzance and Cork on 15:55 radar ? What would be the implications ?

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