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Blessed Weather

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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7 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Major miss print there hillingdon is firmly west london..lol..

But the overall graphics look good for our part.

Edit...hillingdon east..on small scale

My mistake...

There’s a comma between east and London...

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6 hours ago, Nick F said:

Hmmm, is isn’t it.

EAF3E7D7-30D9-4AEA-9AA2-D366829226CF.thumb.png.493a29dc08313fdf8ed84ba27587df98.png

Along the occluded front which will bring our snow later, maybe some thunder snow for south coastal areas later?

I really hope so, it would be my first sight of thundersnow for the first time in my life! ?

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1 minute ago, Reefseeker said:

Driving there from Epsom shortly for my son's special needs judo at Hayes Rugby Club. The latest returns on the radar suggest no snow in the Surbiton or Uxbridge area before 8pm so I think I'll get back down the M25 in plenty of time for the big event:)

You will likely just make it bk in  time m8.

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Interestingly the front is moving faster than expected, even on the UKMO update at 14z on the radar (Is it a version of UKV, does anyone know?).

If this is the case, then that obviously is a good thing for those a little further north in this region for the heavier stuff.

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After a high of a lofty 2.8c we are on the way down @2.3c now

Expecting to be at zero by 430/5pm

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1 hour ago, lawrenk said:

Looking forward to tonight turkishfella? 

You’re not far off the Amber warning area so maybe in luck?

maybe, let's see. I will share if anything good happens ?

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Just now, username home said:

There’s a comma between east and London...

Thats why i edited my post...

I didnt click..so it was blurry...

 

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1 minute ago, Reefseeker said:

Me too, supposed to have finished preparing next week's lecture by lunch time... ummmm.... does radar-watching count?!

Stop distracting me - I've got 8 mins and one slide left.....in summary.......don't get addicted to the weather. The end. That'll do. 

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Temp dropping here now, down to 2.6c after a high of 3.2c and the DP is now negative.

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Cloudy here.

3.3C (after a high of 3.7C)

 

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11 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Major miss print there hillingdon is firmly west london..lol..

But the overall graphics look good for our part.

Edit...hillingdon east..on small scale

My mistake...

Don’t know why it says that as I’m under Uxbridge really ...

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Temp has dropped to 3.6c but is now holding steady. DP is exactly 0! Wind picking up from the East, but still some blue sky visible amongst the cloud cover.

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Looking at the latest radar, I think the low forming off the coast of South Devon is holding up the advance of the snow towards Exeter and Bristol way.  The precip

is advancing up the channel at a far greater rate off knots.  It could be that the low pulls the precip off shore a little to come ashore again further along the Dorset coastline. This could well cause the front to pep up significantly as it comes inland this evening with a SE undercut.  @kold weather could well see a lot of snow and with a potential second sweet spot on the in Mid Surrey across to the Surrey E Sussex border.  These are developing things to watch in real time. I would expect the Met O Amber alerts to be issued later for somewhere from Mid Hants to E Sussex in a line.  Suffolk and Kent may well do slightly better than they are expecting if what I think is happening now turns out to be correct.  

This could also explain why we are seeing snow on the beach in N Devon as winds begin to get pulled in from more of an ENE direction.

 

Spot.png

 

Edited by DAVE_ALLEN
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2 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

Don’t know why it says that as I’m under Uxbridge really ...

Its just give or take 2/3 miles.

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8 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

After a high of a lofty 2.8c we are on the way down @2.3c now

Expecting to be at zero by 430/5pm

Bit higher temperatures here, but importantly the dew points on the way down again which is good sign. 3C on the dot here.

Dave - I do hope so! The front is certainly pushing up at a faster clip than the models expected. EVen 12z ICON is quite some way off for example with the timing (its about 2hrs ahead!) which would give two hours of further penetration before the system shears to the east. Should mean a little more northward progress of the heaviest band of snow.

LP is moving due east at the moment.

Edited by kold weather

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Seems to have peaked at 4c and dew points down from 1 to-1, city of London

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I was surprised to see that Meteox radar has the band of snow coming in but quickly turning back to rain across most of the south.  01:00 friday

image.png.d4f1a325765cb42ce3ad15a42b26aefb.png

 

Edited by Big Dave

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1 minute ago, Big Dave said:

I was surprised to see that Meteox radar has the band of snow coming in but quickly turning back to rain across most of the south.  

image.png.d4f1a325765cb42ce3ad15a42b26aefb.png

 

What time is that sorry?

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3 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Bit higher temperatures here, but importantly the dew points on the way down again which is good sign. 3C on the dot here.

Dave - I do hope so! The front is certainly pushing up at a faster clip than the models expected. EVen 12z ICON is quite some way off for example with the timing (its about 2hrs ahead!) which would give two hours of further penetration before the system shears to the east. Should mean a little more northward progress of the heaviest band of snow.

LP is moving due east at the moment.

Also more good news

midnight tonight ICON 12v PPN v 06z

F43C51D2-8E55-4032-B675-AB3512011636.thumb.png.5f4d40732a925ec1260fe191efa2911c.pngD90ADC66-3A38-4CA8-8940-87033648827B.thumb.png.b41f6bd7f71a895632aaad3701dda423.png

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Temp now down to 2.2c I am almost able to watch it drop, half a degree drop in around 10 minutes

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2 minutes ago, Big Dave said:

I was surprised to see that Meteox radar has the band of snow coming in but quickly turning back to rain across most of the south.  

image.png.d4f1a325765cb42ce3ad15a42b26aefb.png

 

Low res and way, wayyy too far North..

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I've been sent a surprise pic of settling snow coming down hard and fast in coastal Cornwall!! By my friend who's at Penryn campus of Exeter University! Having told her to expect rain and sleet unlike all of us she hates snow ?I tell you what it bodes we for all of us if Atlantic Cornwall can achieve early afternoon day time settling snow! Add to this the NW snow radar shows rain over her area!

Edited by Kentspur
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3 minutes ago, James Gold said:

What time is that sorry?

sorry, 1am friday

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