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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

Blessed Weather

By Blessed Weather
in Regional

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted
2 minutes ago, kold weather said:

What is interesting is how different models are evolving the front, some are shearing the thing into oblivion as soon as it enters our regions. Others are holding it quite well till it gets north of the Thames, then it disintegrates. This is obviously leading to some large differences. I do feel sorry for the Met office with this type of set-up, because it could totally bust and make their warnings look over-exaggerated, but equally it could come in stronger than expected and make the warnings not be enough. 

Yes this whole week has been a forecasting nightmare! Hopefully the residual snow in the garden will have a top up. Thought it would melt more to be fair.

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On the rocks Newbie

On the rocks

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

Welcome to the madhouse. Do you work for the EA then?

Thank you and yes I did for 19 years, tupe'd across elsewhere but still have my M&F role.

Edited by On the rocks
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weathergeek Community Regular

weathergeek

Posted
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Cold/Snowy Winter! Just SEASONAL!!
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
Posted
5 minutes ago, John Stevens said:

It is beautiful, I moved here 19 years ago with a three year plan!!! That's the tower that was also built by the same landowner as Leith Hill Tower. Have you ever found the waterfall between Broadmoor and Friday Street?

I've been to Friday Street but never heard of a waterfall near there?! 

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted
1 minute ago, On the rocks said:

I did for 19 years, tupe'd across elsewhere but still have my M&F role.

I’m sure that we will all love your input, especially when those water levels rise!

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted
2 hours ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

That just about sums up our luck in East Berkshire ☹️

031131AF-4B1F-4407-894E-7DAC1ABBE2F3.png

It must be Slough power station?

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On the rocks Newbie

On the rocks

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted
Just now, chionomaniac said:

I’m sure that we will all love your input, especially when those water levels rise!

LOL..well if you are within my area, will try and help as much as I can.  Mainly Coastal now, but cover the odd fluvial duty now and then.

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SMU Maestro

SMU

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, kold weather said:

18z ARPEGE still looks ok for roughly 2-5cms south of the Thames.

Also worth noting that it also has the showers early morning coming into the far south and this does give accumulations again to same locations I mentioned regarding the ICON/Euro4.

showers ahead of the front?

Seen the 18z GFSP ? - pivot point London !

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Oh ye of little faith...the front's going to stall twenty-miles' north of Ipswich, providing copious amounts of snow to both North Suffolk and Norfolk!

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted
Just now, Steve Murr said:

showers ahead of the front?

Seen the 18z GFSP ? - pivot point London !

12 miles further north please 

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, On the rocks said:

LOL..well if you are within my area, will try and help as much as I can.  Mainly Coastal now, but cover the odd fluvial duty now and then.

I’m not, but I guess that you are always on the watch for a 1953 situation. Thankfully none of that on the horizon.

Edited by chionomaniac
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Great Plum Rising Star

Great Plum

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
Posted
11 minutes ago, John Stevens said:

It is beautiful, I moved here 19 years ago with a three year plan!!! That's the tower that was also built by the same landowner as Leith Hill Tower. Have you ever found the waterfall between Broadmoor and Friday Street?

 

6 minutes ago, weathergeek said:

I've been to Friday Street but never heard of a waterfall near there?! 

In answer to both, yes I have been to the waterfall. 

I have done two videos last Thursday with my friend Richard Vobes, aka the Bald Explorer...

the tower: 

 

The waterfall:

 

(we also did a couple of videos around leith Hill tower and one on Friday Street earlier this year...) I’ve done quite a few with him now!

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John Stevens Aficionado

John Stevens

Posted
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunder
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
Posted
1 minute ago, weathergeek said:

I've been to Friday Street but never heard of a waterfall near there?! 

It's not a natural one, again built by the landowner of Leith Hill tower so I believe. It's also close to the source of the Tillingbourne.

This Wikipedia link talks about it:https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friday_Street#Tillingbourne_Waterfall

This one from the getsurrey website. Some good walks nearby:

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.getsurrey.co.uk/whats-on/arts-culture-news/secret-surrey-11-hidden-fascinating-14352234.amp

 

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John Stevens Aficionado

John Stevens

Posted
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunder
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
Posted
2 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

 

In answer to both, yes I have been to the waterfall. 

I have done two videos last Thursday with my friend Richard Vobes, aka the Bald Explorer...

the tower: 

 

The waterfall:

 

(we also did a couple of videos around leith Hill tower and one on Friday Street earlier this year...) I’ve done quite a few with him now!

Have you walked the iron age fort on Holmbury Hill? The earth works very much visible

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weathergeek Community Regular

weathergeek

Posted
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Cold/Snowy Winter! Just SEASONAL!!
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
Posted
1 minute ago, John Stevens said:

It's not a natural one, again built by the landowner of Leith Hill tower so I believe. It's also close to the source of the Tillingbourne.

This Wikipedia link talks about it:https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friday_Street#Tillingbourne_Waterfall

This one from the getsurrey website. Some good walks nearby:

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.getsurrey.co.uk/whats-on/arts-culture-news/secret-surrey-11-hidden-fascinating-14352234.amp

 

Thanks so much John, for all that info, that's great to have! I'm always on the look out for new places to walk and things to see!

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John Stevens Aficionado

John Stevens

Posted
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunder
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
Posted
3 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

 

In answer to both, yes I have been to the waterfall. 

I have done two videos last Thursday with my friend Richard Vobes, aka the Bald Explorer...

the tower: 

 

The waterfall:

 

(we also did a couple of videos around leith Hill tower and one on Friday Street earlier this year...) I’ve done quite a few with him now!

Forgot to say... Great videos

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John Stevens Aficionado

John Stevens

Posted
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunder
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
Posted
1 minute ago, weathergeek said:

Thanks so much John, for all that info, that's great to have! I'm always on the look out for new places to walk and things to see!

More importantly.... There are some great pubs nearby!!!

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Great Plum Rising Star

Great Plum

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
Posted
1 minute ago, John Stevens said:

Have you walked the iron age fort on Holmbury Hill? The earth works very much visible

Only when I was a scout and we used to night hikes from the youth hostel - Richard and I are videoing (slowly) the Greensand way but we started from leith Hill and are walking east but we will go further west!

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

Something that hasn’t been mentioned. But the beeb forecast looked like there was a chance of streamers setting up along the estuary. Anyone got any thoughts on this? 

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John Stevens Aficionado

John Stevens

Posted
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunder
  • Location: Al Ain, UAE….ASL??
Posted
1 minute ago, Great Plum said:

Only when I was a scout and we used to night hikes from the youth hostel - Richard and I are videoing (slowly) the Greensand way but we started from leith Hill and are walking east but we will go further west!

I actually think the views from the top of Holmbury Hill are better than those from Leith Hill, especially on days like today!

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weathergeek Community Regular

weathergeek

Posted
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Cold/Snowy Winter! Just SEASONAL!!
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
Posted
2 minutes ago, john mac said:

Something that hasn’t been mentioned. But the beeb forecast looked like there was a chance of streamers setting up along the estuary. Anyone got any thoughts on this? 

I wondered about streamer potential what with the easterly winds..... hope so!

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted
49 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

It’s already moved 500 miles in a week. ! Unlikely there will be any major shifts now it is 12hrs away from hitting Uk land 

Met Office have just moved it further south, yet again, heavy snow symbols virtually gone now anywhere north of the Thames, bit better WNW of London though, just north of M4. Anyway, hope this moves a bit further north again tomorrow because if it goes any further south most of us will miss out and end up  with just the odd flurry.

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Kentspur Accomplished

Kentspur

Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
Posted
2 hours ago, Steve Murr said:

1-4cm Essex low chance of 5+

2-8 N/W of London 

Kent ( mainly west ) 2-8cm as well

Surrey / Berks lottery land - 2-10

W Sussex - up to 12cm but that could be tempered by temperature & low ratios...

Less towards E sussex..

How do you think Gravesend and Dartford NW Kent will do Steve? 5cm?

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Downpour Community Regular

Downpour

Posted
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
Posted
14 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

showers ahead of the front?

Seen the 18z GFSP ? - pivot point London !

Yes Steve, and for what it’s worth, the BBC London 2240 was pretty bullish about snow pushing up through Gtr London and north of it

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Jimmyh Rising Star

Jimmyh

Posted
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
Posted

Well the latest beeb forecast clearly shows a few hours of snow snd it pivots. Intersting times 

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