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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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17 minutes ago, fluid dynamic said:

all very nice expecting an easterly, but i spent the beast from the east working on this... with a lot of coats on !

20180312_101527.jpg

After looking at your profile picture, I'd of never had you down as a builder!

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32 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

Forget the drink, just race him down Blue Bell Hill in a sledge....make the most out of the 5cm 😂

with the drink he's just bought me in my hand 🤣

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1 hour ago, Weathizard said:

A fan of the 6z GFS now are you Steve? 😂 tentative signs of what the UKM extended outlook have been hinting at.

Also, the CMA & GEM models have been showing an Easterly flow as well 👍, but not in their latest runs though 🙄 On the other hand, the NASA model is going for an Easterly flow on their latest model output 👍

Edited by yamkin
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Encouraged that METO still have the better Northerly extent for this regional thread, at least in revised warning. May suggest as a couple of models do that it may push through just a little more.

But we shall see.

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Calling it now. Snowmageddon Thursday night early Friday. Again on Saturday. Then the Easterly comes next week and we all die of frostbite. Perfect way!!

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6 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

Calling it now. Snowmageddon Thursday night early Friday. Again on Saturday. Then the Easterly comes next week and we all die of frostbite. Perfect way!!

For goodness sake don't hype an Easterly😂🙈

Anyways how did it go down there?

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24 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

After looking at your profile picture, I'd of never had you down as a builder!

There are lots of models in this place but this one's my fave 😁

Edited by fluid dynamic

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40 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

A fan of the 6z GFS now are you Steve? 😂 tentative signs of what the UKM extended outlook have been hinting at.

Yes, after tomorrow’s excitement hopefully the real deal could be on its way in Feb. 

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Update from the Beeb

9ED33A85-EF19-41AA-AA49-5B431EC240E1.jpeg

The  Totals are increasing. They also mentioned more snow pushing in to the southwest on Friday .

Edited by Mark wheeler
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Just looked at NW's forecast, for Bungay, for tomorrow (as the Beccles station has stuck at 3C and rain!); 3C max, fresh ESE wind and a nice, round 0% chance of snow...Let the excitement continue!😂

Edited by Ed Stone

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What will wreck the easterly this time🤔

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1 minute ago, lassie23 said:

What will wreck the easterly this time🤔

A giant wall of see-through concrete?

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4 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

 

Update from the Beeb

9ED33A85-EF19-41AA-AA49-5B431EC240E1.jpeg

The  Totals are increasing. They also mentioned more snow pushing in to the southwest on Friday .

Yep those totals are pretty much exactly what the ECM has on its ensembles range wise. A few low and higher outlier but probably 85% of them are within that range south of the M4, a little les north (say 1-3cms generally).

Anyway 06z ECM has come out. More or less the same as the 00z, a slightly more W-E orientation to the front but broadly the same as the 00z (oh and maybe an hour later.) Front gives a decent amount south of M4. Highest energy from the front pulses from W-E along the southern counties of England eventually into S.Kent. Then front moves into the north of our region, but it does looks a touch more ropey up there...however its forward speed is slower so that balances out somewhat. Northern extent pretty much upto the top of our region (Wash westwards) though probably not a lot for Norfolk IF this run was correct.

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2 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Just looked at NW's forecast for tomorrow (as the Beccles station has stuck at 3C and rain!); 3C max, fresh ESE wind and a nice, round 0% chance of snow...Let the excitement continue!😂

Still some snow outside here.

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3 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Just looked at NW's forecast, for Bungay, for tomorrow (as the Beccles station has stuck at 3C and rain!); 3C max, fresh ESE wind and a nice, round 0% chance of snow...Let the excitement continue!😂

Brace brace brace 😁

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22 minutes ago, Hammer said:

Encouraged that METO still have the better Northerly extent for this regional thread, at least in revised warning. May suggest as a couple of models do that it may push through just a little more.

But we shall see.

Yeah, but if you read the text it sounds like a right old mess. Areas of rain and snow, maybe 1-3cms in some areas and possibly upto 10cms more likely over Wales and the South West, but many places seeing little accumulation. Guess it just shows how uncertain it is. Hopefully we might get a better idea by tonight.

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Also 06z showing the frontal system coming back in from the west and sliding SE over the western portions of the region out through Kent. It would likely be highly marginal, though the fact it comes overnight does add an extra inch or two to the totals for some people.

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2 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Also 06z showing the frontal system coming back in from the west and sliding SE over the western portions of the region out through Kent. It would likely be highly marginal, though the fact it comes overnight does add an extra inch or two to the totals for some people.

So a triple top up for them then? 

 

Lol..

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10 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

A giant wall of see-through concrete?

can the gfs see the wall

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4 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Also 06z showing the frontal system coming back in from the west and sliding SE over the western portions of the region out through Kent. It would likely be highly marginal, though the fact it comes overnight does add an extra inch or two to the totals for some people.

Can you see an issue with low elevation?

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12 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

What will wreck the easterly this time🤔

Donald Trump, at a guess. Or maybe even Lionel Blair? 

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Just now, Jason74 said:

Donald Trump, at a guess. Or maybe even Lionel Blair? 

no good lionel blair, think he was on holiday last feb that's why we managed a three day easterly

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3 minutes ago, dallas said:

Can you see an issue with low elevation?

For Thursday evening, I shouldn't think so to be honest. Anything that comes up *after* the front will probably highly marginal and altitude would be key for anything I suspect. However lets get Thursday done, tomorrow is going to be a long day of radar watching I fear!

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2 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

no good lionel blair, think he was on holiday last feb that's why we managed a three day easterly

That reminds me: does London still have lots of gasometers?

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1 minute ago, kold weather said:

For Thursday evening, I shouldn't think so to be honest. Anything that comes up *after* the front will probably highly marginal and altitude would be key for anything I suspect. However lets get Thursday done, tomorrow is going to be a long day of radar watching I fear!

Cheers

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