Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Blessed Weather

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, abbie123 said:

Is this for the snow Thursday 

Yes

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, kold weather said:

That would be more or less ridiculous shift!

To be honest I think we have seen the end of thr southerly shifts, I can't see any more reasons to shift it southwards, especially now the models have keyed into the elongation of the front, and I think GFSp may have gone to the extreme on this run (it looks like some of the southerly solutions from the ECM ensembles. I suspect there maybe a slight shift back north, but we will see! I'd rather be to the north of the front than the south for obvious reasons! Also verbatim, but the I'd be more or less in the sweet spot IF the GFSp is correct.

Agreed. Fascinating model watching though 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

18z Euro4 giving good snowfalls for Hampshire and into Sussex at 48hrs, system should continue to move ENE from this point thanks to the secondary depression in the channel. Could be a very snowy run south of that M4 (not often you get to say that, so I'll take it for now, but no more corrections please!)

This update does give credence to the idea that the worst may end up south of M4.

Edited by kold weather

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Snowing now in HB albeit pretty wet atm. Perhaps even the Thanet residents may get in on the action!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We've got about 1cm so far and still snowing heavy - under the dark patch on the radar in Rochester! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hoping to do better on Thursday after this evenings damp squib, which was expected.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, kold weather said:

18z Euro4 giving good snowfalls for Hampshire and into Sussex at 48hrs, system should continue to move ENE from this point thanks to the secondary depression in the channel. Could be a very snowy run south of that M4 (not often you get to say that, so I'll take it for now, but no more corrections please!)

This update does give credence to the idea that the worst may end up south of M4.

Icon perhaps doing well again, wasnt it south when all the bigger models had it past midlands.

With 48 hours to go. Hard to be confident of anything at moment.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Still snowing here ❄️

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Hammer said:

Icon perhaps doing well again, wasnt it south when all the bigger models had it past midlands.

With 48 hours to go. Hard to be confident of anything at moment.

Yep ICON has done well with this so far, just like it did with storm Emma. HIRLAM is further north and it also did a great job.

At some point the adjustments will need to come to an end, I can't imagine much more in the way of southward shifts from here, especially as the set-up starts up in 42hrs, but not impossible for the whole lot to be too far south for even us to get the best of it.

18z ECM will be out soon so that will see whether it shifts south yet again!

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Cheese Rice said:

There's a complete lack of posters in London on this forum is there a secret London weather forum I'm not aware of? 

We are here 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Snowing in lower Gillingham.  Settling on cars but not on the roads as yet.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nothing marginal about that Steve 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nothing here. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Snowing from Herne Bay through to Ashford... VERY VERY weak though

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Steve Murr said:

@kold weather

Euro 4 18z 48 DPs & T2ms for 6pm

No wonder widespread snow for the SE

B1A582F4-C5CB-41F4-977D-F6FB15E967F4.thumb.jpeg.651672af0c77a548ede08b83b4fc3b43.jpeg0342A902-0DFA-445D-8268-FED1515EEE5F.thumb.jpeg.4effee0edf3a99b048264897457da2e5.jpeg

Not even marginal Steve bar maybe literally the coast. That would be good for delivering higher snow totals as we'd probably have slightly better ratios.

Much further south and the core of precip will end up not even getting inland, though there is still some leeway for people as far south as we are Steve.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Nothing marginal about that Steve 

But then tonight wasn't supposed to be marginal in the East and the opposite ended up occurring. 

Edited by Nqp15hhu

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

@kold weather

Euro 4 18z 48 DPs & T2ms for 6pm

No wonder widespread snow for the SE

B1A582F4-C5CB-41F4-977D-F6FB15E967F4.thumb.jpeg.651672af0c77a548ede08b83b4fc3b43.jpeg0342A902-0DFA-445D-8268-FED1515EEE5F.thumb.jpeg.4effee0edf3a99b048264897457da2e5.jpeg

Steve what’s your punt for depths for Thursday? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Nothing marginal about that Steve 

Nope

could we end up in the 'pivot spot' !

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, john mac said:

Steve what’s your punt for depths for Thursday? 

5-10cm ! ATM

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Still belting it down with snow but struggling to accumulate. 

Given latest S trend on the models & latest MO guidance as per EssexWeather Tweet above, I think for once, S of the M4 might be favoured. What was looking like a North Midlands event just a few days ago..

One slight concern is that if this thing shifts any further South we might all miss out entirely!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Steve Murr said:

5-10cm ! ATM

Widely? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Shattered.com, but its so nice sitting here all cosy, watching the snow falling. Really could do with going to bed, its been a disappointing winter so far, so feel I need to stay up.and make the most of it

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Skies clearing here now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...