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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

Blessed Weather

By Blessed Weather
in Regional

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Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
Posted
6 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:

3.8c now.

I use this snow risk calculator which is usually fairly accurate once the figure gets to 70%.

http://www.sciencebits.com/SnowProbCalc

 

Didn't expect this website to deliver a sobering truth like that...

39c9540f6e5bbd72708c8fdf8c3951f5.png

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Dewpoints are nowhere near good enough across the entire South East ranging from 2-3c.................But there are quite a few 0c and 1c Dp's to our North West over the Midlands and its this undercutting cold we need to head from the NW into our region as the precip moves through bringing that evaporative cooling into play.

It will be interesting to see how quickly it undercuts this evening

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Nick1972 Apprentice

Nick1972

Posted
  • Location: Leighton buzzard
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/cold, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Leighton buzzard
Posted
1 minute ago, Snowman. said:

Didn't expect this website to deliver a sobering truth like that...

39c9540f6e5bbd72708c8fdf8c3951f5.png

Said the same for me too...very sobering indeed lol 

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted
31 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Tonight or Thursday?

Thursday, most models don't show much if anything for tonight, always a chance it could pull a surprise like that trough that came through, but I think settled snow will be restricted to higher altitudes, probably 150M ish.

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted
1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Dewpoints are nowhere near good enough across the entire South East ranging from 2-3c.................But there are quite a few 0c and 1c Dp's to our North West over the Midlands and its this undercutting cold we need to head from the NW into our region as the precip moves through bringing that evaporative cooling into play.

It will be interesting to see how quickly it undercuts this evening

started off as 1 hour rain here on the Marlborough Down nr Swindon and for the last 30 mins has been moderate snow Paul, and surprisingly settling readily as the undercut digs in.....currently 2.1C with a dewpoint of -0.4C for reference

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted
1 minute ago, beerandkebab said:

started off as 1 hour rain here on the Marlborough Down nr Swindon and for the last 30 mins has been moderate snow Paul, and surprisingly settling readily as the undercut digs in.....currently 2.1C with a dewpoint of -0.4C for reference

Thanks buddy, thats the sort of report which is vital to areas further east.

Enjoy that settling snow, should get a top up on Thursday as well.

And the growing signs of High Pressure to our North East on the models gathers pace for the 2nd week of February as well.

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Nqp15hhu Explorer

Nqp15hhu

Posted
  • Location: Norwich
  • Location: Norwich
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, onepingonly said:

Thanks for this. I'm using this I found on google..

 

 

fullsizeoutput_129e.jpeg

Yeah, I use that calculator. It's nearly always on the ball.

It works on the basis that snow will fall if the air temperature is within 1 degree of the melting temperature, of snow.

Edited by Nqp15hhu
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Matty88 Aficionado

Matty88

Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
Posted

All sounds promising I'd say.... especially with added 'oomph' from the night hours.

Good to hear of settling snow too - goes to show not to be too down if it starts as rain, may well end up white... 

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

moderate rain in beddy.

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Mizzle Community Regular

Mizzle

Posted
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Fog, Frost, Storms and Rain if it rains like it means it.
  • Location: NE Hants/Surrey border
Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:

3.8c now.

I use this snow risk calculator which is usually fairly accurate once the figure gets to 70%.

http://www.sciencebits.com/SnowProbCalc

 

Currently it says "more likely to snow in hell."

Need temp to drop, currently 4.4 but heading in the right direction.

Edited by Mizzle
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Nqp15hhu Explorer

Nqp15hhu

Posted
  • Location: Norwich
  • Location: Norwich
Posted
10 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

Didn't expect this website to deliver a sobering truth like that...

39c9540f6e5bbd72708c8fdf8c3951f5.png

Yep, I had that throughout Monday evening when that trough was over us, at temps of 2c.

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snowfish1 Aficionado

snowfish1

Posted
  • Location: Hernia Bay
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy Snow
  • Location: Hernia Bay
Posted
3 hours ago, Nqp15hhu said:

Don't understand the negativity. The front will be over us for 4 or 5 hours near midnight, that is plenty of time for evaporative cooling to take hold.

Cos it'll be rain 

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Radiating Dendrite Experienced

Radiating Dendrite

Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
Posted

Looking at the radar and it seems to be fizzling out - not sure there will be much left on it. 

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colonelks Apprentice

colonelks

Posted
  • Location: Surrey / Kent border
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow
  • Location: Surrey / Kent border
Posted

http://www.trafficengland.com/#map-menu-traffic-information - Useful if you want to see where the snow line is... enable the traffic cams and you can click away to your hearts content! 

Swindon looking pretty good, which seems to fit well with the current radar.

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hardcj Newbie

hardcj

Posted
  • Location: Strood, Medway Towns
  • Location: Strood, Medway Towns
Posted
1 minute ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

Looking at the radar and it seems to be fizzling out - not sure there will be much left on it. 

It’s not! I’m in it...

 

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pegg24 Enthusiast

pegg24

Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
Posted

Northants still heavy rain.

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lewis028 Enthusiast

lewis028

Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Essex
  • Location: Hadleigh, Essex
Posted (edited)

Temps on the way down, notice on the last frame an under cut just creeping into the south east corner too..

anim_xiz0.gif

Edited by lewis028
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dubmuffin Enthusiast

dubmuffin

Posted
  • Location: Wallington, S London (now working from home)
  • Weather Preferences: hot sunny summers to ripen the veg and cold snowy winters of course
  • Location: Wallington, S London (now working from home)
Posted

Camera: 43184 - M4 118/4A J14-J15  showing some snow settling...

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