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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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1 hour ago, Surrey said:

Live SLP

Incoming.. 

eur_full.thumb.gif.6e3264f4280238daa3ffbcd2531330b6.gif

Hi mate what’s your thoughts with south London tonight got a few bits and bobs to do after work

cheers

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1 minute ago, snowbob said:

Hi mate what’s your thoughts with south London tonight got a few bits and bobs to do after work

cheers

Touch and go 1-3cm looking at PPN totals taking away 25% ish 

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GFS op barely gives our region a look in but is the most northerly model of the lot.

Ukmo and ECM broadly similar for Thursday with a decent snow event, maybe turning a little mixed at the start and end, especially close to coasts.

Icon still the most south of all, decent snow event for most again away from the coast.

Tonight is nowcaet, but remember the models did t exactly do well with that trough last week did they??

Timing and upstream reports will help us a lot today.

Edited by kold weather

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1 minute ago, kold weather said:

GFS op barely gives our region a look in but is the most northerly model of the lot.

Ukmo and ECM broadly similar for Thursday with a decent snow event, maybe turning a little mixed at the start and end, especially close to coasts.

Icon still the most south of all, decent snow event for most again away from the coast.

What's your opinion on tonight, kold? Looking at bbc's forecast it looks a lot of rain before some sleet or snow but I understand they use high res models and they often underplay precipitation? Reckon it'll be a day of nowcasting and watching the radar or?

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1 minute ago, Surrey said:

Touch and go 1-3cm looking at PPN totals taking away 25% ish 

Cheers for that @Surrey

got a feeling Thursday may prove better for our neck of the woods

although saying that tonight looked good on sunday

you just never can tell until it’s happening

everyone will be watching the rain for those first sleety bits waiting for the turn

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Met office suggesting high levels of no this evening...

D65E39DA-5D58-4AE7-9E87-D0FCC5825AB0.png

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Chilly start across the region, most places at or below freezing. Hopefully, temperatures won’t rise too much today.

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1 minute ago, Great Plum said:

Met office suggesting high levels of no this evening...

D65E39DA-5D58-4AE7-9E87-D0FCC5825AB0.png

no? you mean high levels of no snow, high levels of nothing or high levels snow lol

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40 minutes ago, snoangel said:

Thought it would be colder

8AD9AEE2-6E8D-421E-AD47-271E411FC873.png

So did I? It's warmed up a lot over night.

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2 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

no? you mean high levels of no snow, high levels of nothing or high levels snow lol

It’s an old Netweather phrase when snow was expected but all we get is ‘no’ (no snow!)

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looks like we have to wait until valentines day for proper cold now lol until then more marginal crap off the Atlantic

1 minute ago, Great Plum said:

It’s an old Netweather phrase when snow was expected but all we get is ‘no’ (no snow!)

so no snow expected😣

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Hi All , Always been a reader and a very minimal poster ! based in Borough Green north downs way so some hoping I'll get to see some of that snow this week . Still learning everything and appreciate everyone's efforts.

Alex

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If there is any snow this evening/overnight looks like the North West of the region, Cambridgeshire and Bedfordshire, have the best chance. This is according to the latest MO forecast.

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i have a good feeling about today!.  i think (hope) the totals will be 5+ cms in my neck of the woods...

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Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Thursdays looking good for everyone even had some wet snow this morning. 

It can’t be good for everyone jay! 

I would still be cautioning too high expectations ....I think this evening will be pretty localised re settling away from elevation and Thursday needs watching as still no solid agreement on the trough - our area sits at the mercy of higher dp’s off the channel if the flow swings to s or sw 

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1 minute ago, smith25 said:

i have a good feeling about today!.  i think (hope) the totals will be 5+ cms in my neck of the woods...

Let's hope so, but reading the latest forecast on the met office site, it doesn't sound too promising for us. Let's just hope for a nice surprise!

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Both the BBC and Metoffice forecasts don't look great for tonight. 

Edited by Uxbridge90

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2 minutes ago, smith25 said:

i have a good feeling about today!.  i think (hope) the totals will be 5+ cms in my neck of the woods...

I wouldn't pay any attention to either to MO or the bbc at this point. Just keep looking at the radar !! It's a nowcasting event in my opinion, anything from nothing to 5+cms as you said depending on specific timings and trajectory etc.

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It was -3.7c when I left the house and a hard frost on the ground, which is like concrete.  Judging by the last few days I suspect this will last most of the day in the shadier parts of the garden, so hopefully as cold Base for any snow to settle on. Fingers crossed

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Lot's of blocking in the model waffle discussion thread this morning, mostly of other net weather members and people's post😜

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Just now, lassie23 said:

Lot's of blocking in the model waffle discussion thread this morning, mostly of other net weather members and people's post😜

Cold weather and snow always brings the best and worst out of people..

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4 minutes ago, snowblind said:

Let's hope so, but reading the latest forecast on the met office site, it doesn't sound too promising for us. Let's just hope for a nice surprise!

To be fair I'll be happy with just a covering of it at this point.

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13 minutes ago, snowblind said:

Let's hope so, but reading the latest forecast on the met office site, it doesn't sound too promising for us. Let's just hope for a nice surprise!

What? This forecast? We've had several years in a row in the past when never had a forecast like this. It's as good as it gets given the marginal situation. 

Screenshot_20190129-073624.png

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