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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

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7 minutes ago, Lauren said:

Honestly, I think a lot of people are going to be disappointed. I'm not quite sure what people are looking at on the models to be ramping it up so much. Looks to be a mildly snowy event to me.

Me neither😪

 

euro4.png

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7 minutes ago, Lauren said:

Honestly, I think a lot of people are going to be disappointed. I'm not quite sure what people are looking at on the models to be ramping it up so much. Looks to be a mildly snowy event to me.

Not seen anyone ramp. Most understand risk of disruption lower, amounts lower but still something to keep eye on.

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The timing is going to be crucial, we don't want the precipitation wasted too early 🤔...Rush hour might surprise a few tomorrow...!

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I too am not getting my hopes up. Living in zone 4 (Harrow) also seems to impact snow chances (UHI). Current prediction for is rain followed by snow tomorrow night leading to a cm or two Wednesday morning. This melting by afternoon. For Thursday moderate to heavy leading edge snow. Soon turning to rain washing away any deposits. Am hopefully proved wrong! Would like to be in central and Southern Midlands. 

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Interesting HIRLAM Snow Graphics For Tues PM Into Wed

anim_bgt8.gif

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Neither must we forget that drivers adopt an 'alternative' Highway Code, the second it starts snowing: tailgating and full-beam-flashing become mandatory - as do feet getting stuck to the accelerator pedal, excessive use of one's middle finger, and random bursts of expletives!📢

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From GP on other thread:

"EC 06z rolling out, more elongated with Thursday's low and ppn further south. Midlands on pivot point"

Could be good for us if this trend continues

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1 minute ago, Snowman31 said:

From GP on other thread:

"EC 06z rolling out, more elongated with Thursday's low and ppn further south. Midlands on pivot point"

Could be good for us if this trend continues

It's a lot further south .. Suddenly we're looking very good! 

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1 minute ago, Jackski4 said:

It's a lot further south .. Suddenly we're looking very good! 

As long as it doesn't go too far south... 

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35 minutes ago, Chris101 said:

Me neither😪

 

euro4.png

OMG shows nothing over me. Not again..

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6 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:

OMG shows nothing over me. Not again..

Here's some salt, take it with a pinch (that chart)

Edited by Kent Blizzard

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According to the model waffle discussion the trend is our friend 

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Just now, lassie23 said:

According to the model waffle discussion the trend is our friend 

Yup some charts showing 5-10cm for Thursday as it’s shifting south. Early days yet 

Edited by CanadianCoops

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From an IMBY point of view, I’m not expecting too much tomorrow night and will be pleasantly surprised with any sort of covering, slushy or not.

I think those of us near the coast will see too much rain early on and then not enough precipation left at the end when it turns to snow.

I’m sure (and hope) some in the region will do better though.

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North Track

South Track

AARRRGHHH!! 🤪

d1.jpg

b1.jpg

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1 minute ago, Chris101 said:

North Track

South Track

AARRRGHHH!! 🤪

d1.jpg

b1.jpg

what if it reverses and ends up on the east coast of america😣

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Just now, lassie23 said:

what if it reverses and ends up on the east coast of america😣

Then we'd be in reverse zonal and probably seeing major snow coming in from the East.. 

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1 minute ago, lassie23 said:

what if it reverses and ends up on the east coast of america😣

It would be one of those oval tracks that just goes round and round and round and round..................and round😂

 

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3 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

Then we'd be in reverse zonal and probably seeing major snow coming in from the East.. 

woohoo let's hope it happens then lol

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What's the latest on tomorrow evenings cataclysmic event?...GFS showing low to far north or ECM showing low not oriented right, GFS/P to far south or Icon maybe bang on! haven't been in MOD thread after last night but I bet that's what it's like 😀...personally feel It will be all a lot hot air (for this region) as per the winter so far!

I live in hope of a change...

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Higher, no lower, no left, no right, who knows at the moment 😀, again all down to lamppost watching, im happy with what ever i get, i just like watching it come down in silence, see im easily pleased 😂, its still beautiful, and natures wonder 

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4 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

What's the latest on tomorrow evenings cataclysmic event?...GFS showing low to far north or ECM showing low not oriented right, GFS/P to far south or Icon maybe bang on! haven't been in MOD thread after last night but I bet that's what it's like 😀...personally feel It will be all a lot hot air (for this region) as per the winter so far!

I live in hope of a change...

They'll be fine in there, go and ask🙈

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Had a word with my friend at Network Rail earlier, in a word 'panic' is what is occurring with the train planning for the week.

Though my friend personally seems to feel it is being over-egged a little it is encouraging for us snow chasers to hear that those with access to some high level forecasting are starting their contingency plans.

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