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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018


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Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
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    Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
    5 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

    Your links seem to always be downloads? Do you have the direct link so we can view in the browser?

    Sorry, didn’t realise - uploaded to YouTube so hopefully that helps?

     

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    Posted
  • Location: ramsgate 42m asl
  • Location: ramsgate 42m asl
    4 minutes ago, lewis028 said:

    Met office have now issued a yellow warning for snow for the south east & East Anglia Tuesday night ??

    have looked at warning and If a line was drawn from approx herne bay to sandwich then east of that is not included in the warning

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    Posted
  • Location: Attleborough Norfolk,
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, only when I'm at home!
  • Location: Attleborough Norfolk,

    Can anyone in the Norfolk Suffolk area last time we had snow that came in from the west that has caused distribution? Everytime this event Comes in from the west, we either have the front fizzle out, or cold wet/ sleety rain, I’d be absolutely shocked if I was to come here on Wednesday morning to say we have a white out.

    Edited by slater
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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    That warning looks exactly what I was thinking of, maybe too marginal right on the coast but 10-20 miles inland looks ok.

    Further east is at less risk of the system coming through sooner and stating more as rain for longer. Luckily the trend thus far today has been to actually sligjtly slow down the progress of the frontal systems movement. Even a couple of hours may make the difference between a rain-snow event, and a pure snow event. I think Kent/Essex/Suffolk/Norfolk have a fair shot at getting a pure snow event. I think places further west of there may have at least some rain beforehand to deal with, but once the snow starts it shouldn't make much difference.

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    Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
    9 minutes ago, lottiekent said:

    Sorry, didn’t realise - uploaded to YouTube so hopefully that helps?

     

    That's better ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    06z GFs has shifted north for Thursday due to the angle of the LP and the shape which is not great.

    However it is now on the northern end of the model range so nothing yet too be concerned about on that front and obviously we have Tuesday to get through first.

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Between 21:00 Tue 29th and 12:00 Wed 30th

    Snow, possibly heavy at times, developing overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday.

    What to expect

    • There is a small chance of travel delays on roads with some stranded vehicles and passengers, along with delayed or cancelled rail and air travel
    • There is a slight chance that some rural communities could become cut off
    • There is a small chance that power cuts will occur and other services, such as mobile phone coverage, may be affected

    Regions and local authorities affected:

    • Bracknell Forest
    • Buckinghamshire
    • East Sussex
    • Greater London
    • Hampshire
    • Kent
    • Medway
    • Milton Keynes
    • Oxfordshire
    • Reading
    • Slough
    • Surrey
    • West Berkshire
    • West Sussex
    • Windsor and Maidenhead
    • Wokingham

    Further details

    A band of rain pushing east across parts of England is likely to turn to snow during Tuesday evening, with snow continuing into Wednesday. Accumulations of 1-3 cm are likely quite widely, with accumulations of 5 cm in places. There is a small chance that some areas could see up to 10 cm, more especially over the higher ground.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-01-29

    Edited by Summer Sun
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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Eastbourne East Sussex
    6 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

    Coastal/near coastal areas not in ? 

    C7AC5458-626C-46A3-9863-FA1CCC77E91A.png

    Yeah. I'm out in Eastbourne. So gutted. ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl

    Not in the yellow warning,dear o dear,lol,a shift southwards of 20 miles though,and game on

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    Posted
  • Location: Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Surrey
    19 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

    Bosh as we thought... 

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    Posted
  • Location: Attleborough Norfolk,
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, only when I'm at home!
  • Location: Attleborough Norfolk,
    11 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

    Coastal/near coastal areas not in ? 

    C7AC5458-626C-46A3-9863-FA1CCC77E91A.png

    This is why we shouldn’t get too carried away 

    5701B67F-8299-4489-A226-C03F2123D6C7.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing West Sussex.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold & Snowy, Hot & Sunny & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Worthing West Sussex.

    Yep as expected, I miss out again. ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Surrey
    1 minute ago, snowrye said:

    Not in the yellow warning,dear o dear,lol,a shift southwards of 20 miles though,and game on

    Its because I think they are going for a more northerly option which is not good for coasts..

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Those on the south coast will always struggle simply because ahead of the front winds will be southerly, for coastal areas and places within 5-10 miles that onshore flow is complete killer for settling snow. I'd be surprised especially in Kent coastal towns if there won't be snow but whether it is likely to settle well enough to justify a yellow warning, that is probably questionable.

    I'm happy with the 5-10cms range for most of us here, maybe a little more IF the front is slower than expected in moving west, and a lot less (1-3cms) IF the front is a little quicker, with maybe the warning zone reducing in size to take out western parts. DFor now I think the METO warning is bang on the money however.

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    Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
    2 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    Those on the south coast will always struggle simply because ahead of the front winds will be southerly, for coastal areas and places within 5-10 miles that onshore flow is complete killer for settling snow. I'd be surprised especially in Kent coastal towns if there won't be snow but whether it is likely to settle well enough to justify a yellow warning, that is probably questionable.

    I'm happy with the 5-10cms range for most of us here, maybe a little more IF the front is slower than expected in moving west, and a lot less (1-3cms) IF the front is a little quicker, with maybe the warning zone reducing in size to take out western parts. DFor now I think the METO warning is bang on the money however.

    its early days still time for more warning  to come

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Coggeshall, Nr Colchester, Essex
  • Location: Coggeshall, Nr Colchester, Essex

    Only really 1-3cms for the majority reading the text of the warning. 5cms for some and 10cm possible over high ground. Was kind of hoping for more.

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    Posted
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Cool and Stormy
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands

    I think some in even in the south of that warning area will struggle to see the snow settling with relatively high few points. I would say E Midlands, E. Anglia and Lincolnshire have a good chance of it all being snow. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl
  • Location: Dover Kent 10m asl/ Leeds W Yorks 120m asl
    2 minutes ago, tinybill said:

    its early days still time for more warning  to come

     

    Everything crossed as I'm Folkestone just outside the warning zone. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Wouldn't take a huge shift to make this an all snow event for our region, rather than a rain > snow event. 

    Given the continued uncertainty with exact tracking/intensity I certainly wouldn't rule that out just yet. Fairly confident many will see snow however, it's unlikely they'll be a shift big enough to take the entire thing too far Southwards. So happy I have Tuesday off work and don't start work until Wednesday afternoon. BRING ON THE SNOW!

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