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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

Blessed Weather

By Blessed Weather
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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted
Just now, birdman said:

Hmmmm? Mistake?!

 

Capture.PNG

Click further details, that Amber is for Hampshire ( South East )...at present!

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SnowBlake Enthusiast

SnowBlake

Posted
  • Location: Sussex Coast and Latvia
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Sussex Coast and Latvia
Posted
1 minute ago, throwoff said:

Just noticed METO have moved forward to 6pm for Medway now, and the rain symbols have all disappeared..

Wondering if that low being spoken about off the SW coast is assisting in pushing things through faster? I think it is possible for some wintriness before the main band comes a little later anyway. We'll see. 

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, throwoff said:

Just noticed METO have moved forward to 6pm for Medway now, and the rain symbols have all disappeared..

I like the Wind Speed and Direction also 

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted
4 minutes ago, Chris101 said:

Latest meto warnings noticing the North Sea having a little wake up post low.

Yes and the UKMO model we have access to on the main UKMO site does show a decent number of showers coming...just a HINT of a streamer as well I have to say!

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birdman Enthusiast

birdman

Posted
  • Location: Witney, West Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey and mild!
  • Location: Witney, West Oxfordshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Kent Blizzard said:

Click further details, that Amber is for Hampshire ( South East )...at present!

Yes you are correct! The amber just sneaks into MetO SE region doesn't it. These maps are bloody confusing sometimes!

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
3 minutes ago, birdman said:

Hmmmm? Mistake?!

 

Capture.PNG

I think the sw Amber just touches the se region.

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

Waiting for the Ambers to be extended in due course...

Snow%20Dog%20Dance.gif

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted
1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Yes and the UKMO model we have access to on the main UKMO site does show a decent number of showers coming...just a HINT of a streamer as well I have to say!

It was showing last night even on the beeb forecast that I posted. Everything still on the table.

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted
3 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

The radar returns already look stronger than the Arpege forecast for around 11 am .

More importantly its coming through quicker than the ARPEGE/AROME suggested.

By the way, I'm in the 'screw' zone on the UKMO website radar estimate. The front kicks up a gear near London, but dies to my south. I'm basically in between with very light snow throughout. Too far north for the stronger front edge, to far south for it when it gets re-energised (AROME does show that re-energising to the north near London by the way). Thats pretty typical how things usually work out for me ;) 

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
1 minute ago, Lampostwatcher said:

Very interesting they look like there saving that for later

Curious... I would have expected hants and West surrey to be in the amber zone already.

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Chris101 Aficionado

Chris101

Posted
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
Posted
3 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Yes and the UKMO model we have access to on the main UKMO site does show a decent number of showers coming...just a HINT of a streamer as well I have to say!

Shes gonna have a little clear of the throat, ready for a big song soon

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

The Amber basically just covers the New Forest / SW Hants atm, I guess they may extend east and NE if it looks like the snow will be heavy for other parts of the SE later, guess a case of watching how things develop on the radar.

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nick sussex Maestro

nick sussex

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, kold weather said:

More importantly its coming through quicker than the ARPEGE/AROME suggested.

By the way, I'm in the 'screw' zone on the UKMO website radar estimate. The front kicks up a gear near London, but dies to my south. I'm basically in between with very light snow throughout. Too far north for the stronger front edge, to far south for it when it gets re-energised (AROME does show that re-energising to the north near London by the way). Thats pretty typical how things usually work out for me  

Keep the faith KW!

I think it’s a case now of just watching what happens . There could still be some surprises .

Edited by nick sussex
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Badgers01 Seasoned

Badgers01

Posted
  • Location: Cobham Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: clear skies , hard frost , snow !
  • Location: Cobham Surrey
Posted

Shame we are not in the amber warning for snow here in Surrey !! 

Was a great morning though in the frost and sunshine

27907F51-A8DB-466B-8552-0A9E1B998F65.jpeg

CF155CDF-1A28-46AE-842F-AE8D95E38051.jpeg

0954FBFE-2D05-464A-BA53-F35AC11666E2.jpeg

9E4DF05E-3BAB-4D30-9C6A-E04AE8ED6348.jpeg

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SenlacJack Rising Star

SenlacJack

Posted
  • Location: St Leonards-on-Sea, East Sussex. 81 metres asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms.
  • Location: St Leonards-on-Sea, East Sussex. 81 metres asl
Posted
1 hour ago, Mark said:

Is Hastings about to get a bonus morning dusting?

Here in St Leonards on Sea I had a very brief and light graupel shower, a case of blink and you missed it.

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted (edited)

So three trends on the 06z so far for the southern part of the region:

1:The main stronger precipitation working from the SW may just be too far south for most bar maybe the coastal zone.

2: Front MAY re-energise to an extent in the London region, wonder whether or not we could see some help from the Estuary on that?

3: COULD be quite a lot of showery activity coming in behind the main front. There is forecast to be a bit of a drier slot between 1 and 2 happening which may be dependent on the fronts location. Some areas may have just a dusting from the front and so WILL need the showers for any decent accumulations above 0.5cms.

Nick - I'm not too downbeat, IF I do get into the screw zone - I've got the South downs about 5 miles to my south, I'll get my snow fix up there  

Edited by kold weather
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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted
1 minute ago, Nick F said:

The Amber basically just covers the New Forest / SW Hants atm, I guess they may extend east and NE if it looks like the snow will be heavy for other parts of the SE later, guess a case of watching how things develop on the radar.

What are the Channel temps. Would have thought the warm sea track should give it some strength.

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted
14 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

Great updated warning 

Midlands and east anglia may seen very little snow accumulating 

But 1-3cms widely 

We all know this is a radar watch from now on 

5-10 cm mentiined as well 

But guessing probably wales

And sw

Aye...It seems that Norfolk, Suffolk and Cambridgeshire are all earmarked for a BSA, Big Sod All!

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Matty88 Aficionado

Matty88

Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
Posted
5 minutes ago, kold weather said:

More importantly its coming through quicker than the ARPEGE/AROME suggested.

By the way, I'm in the 'screw' zone on the UKMO website radar estimate. The front kicks up a gear near London, but dies to my south. I'm basically in between with very light snow throughout. Too far north for the stronger front edge, to far south for it when it gets re-energised (AROME does show that re-energising to the north near London by the way). Thats pretty typical how things usually work out for me ;) 

Likewise!! 

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BeazleyBlizzard Explorer

BeazleyBlizzard

Posted
  • Location: GU35, Bordon, East Hampshire
  • Location: GU35, Bordon, East Hampshire
Posted

Have had confirmation of snow in Petersfield and Horley at the moment.  Showers popping up.  Weren't as much fog as first thought,  is that a good thing or a bad thing with regards to the temps?

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birdman Enthusiast

birdman

Posted
  • Location: Witney, West Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey and mild!
  • Location: Witney, West Oxfordshire
Posted

i think you need to try and maintain good humour throughout these situations otherwise you'll have a meltdown! 

I fully expect the band of precip to split into two and divert either side of West Oxon thus piddling on the smug bonfire I lit after yesterdays model viewing lol

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