SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018

[SenlacJack]

After a brief 15 - 20 minute spell of snow and graupel around 11.30am here in St Leonards-on-Sea the weather has since taken a vile turn for the worst.

Winds gusting to 30mph, rain coming in sideways under my garden canopy, currently 3.3c and light levels so low it was practically night time by 3.30pm.

[Donna3397]

1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:

Temp peaked @2c

now down to 1.1c !

I thought the Temperature was supposedly meant to climb today?

[snowray]

5 minutes ago, DonnaThw said:

I thought the Temperature was supposedly meant to climb today?

They have not climbed much, pity its all rain.

[Paul1968]

Absolutely tonking it down now just rain sadly wind is stronger now than has been all day.

[Donna3397]

1 minute ago, snowray said:

They have not climbed much, pity its all rain.

It’s still 3 degrees here in Rye and like everywhere else it’s bitter. I don’t think that even the northern parts of the country are fairing much better than us.

[snowray]

32 minutes ago, DonnaThw said:

It’s still 3 degrees here in Rye and like everywhere else it’s bitter. I don’t think that even the northern parts of the country are fairing much better than us.

I think it might be pretty bad though in places like Leeds, freezing rain earlier now turned to heavy snow, still -1c up there, also at Leek, currently at 0c.

[Paul1968]

Quick look round the regionals nothing too noteworthy of reporting .

[PLANET THANET]

6 minutes ago, Paul1968 said:

Quick look round the regionals nothing too noteworthy of reporting .

 

10 minutes ago, snowray said:

I think it might be pretty bad though in places like Leeds, freezing rain earlier now turned to heavy snow, still -1c up there, also at Leek, currently at 0c.

this is very confusing

[Soaring Hawk]

Utterly vile here. Can’t believe the dog wanted to go out a short time ago. 

Temp: 1C - feels like -6

Heavy (in your face sideways) rain

Wind: SE 25 gusting 39, expected to increase during evening for goodness sake..

Greater love hath no Mummy than she will lay down her seat by the fire for her pooch and all that.....

 

 

 

 

 

[E17boy]

Hi peeps

Very heavy rain at the moment in Walthamstow still bitter wind. Steve you did mention that 6pm-8pm we get an overcut. Is there still a chance for this to turn back to sleet or snow or have we now passed that point of no return with the slight rise in temperatures. 

Kind regards

[SMU]

just got home - temps up to 1.7c

No wintryness @240M either -

To warm ATM

[Lauren]

Got to drive in a bit. Hate driving in weather like this,  you always get idiots not driving to the conditions. 

[slater]

11 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

 

this is very confusing

Lol, the great biggest con from the Met Office, the guys up north not happy! Just very cold rain not the snow they was hoping. 

The hunt for cold thread has also gone absolutely quite. I know model watching is their hobby but we can’t even get this forecast right 24hrs before the event let alone posters putting up charts 2 weeks away and peeing themselves with excitement and then chunking all their dolls out the pram couple days later because the cold has gone. Always worth a chuckle 

[PLANET THANET]

2 minutes ago, slater said:

Lol, the great biggest con from the Met Office, the guys up north not happy! Just very cold rain not the snow they was hoping. 

The hunt for cold thread has also gone absolutely quite. I know model watching is their hobby but we can’t even get this forecast right 24hrs before the event let alone posters putting up charts 2 weeks away and peeing themselves with excitement and then chunking all their dolls out the pram couple days later because the cold has gone. Always worth a chuckle 

there were warnings out for severe travel disruption , they were even talking about it this morning on breakfast tv. no wonder "oop north" are upset

[Stuie]

Well I cannot lie, I`m gutted. What a freezing mess out there right now. Temp -0.8 Dew P -1.8 but obviously something wrong somewhere, oh well on to the next chase.

[Stroudley]

Heavy rain all afternoon - 21mm so far today.

Temp now on the rise - up to 6.3 degrees here on the South Coast...

[Ben Lewis]

Muddy old dog walk beckons tomorrow. Hammering down here since 2pm. 

Gutter overflowing out back. 

The dry seasonal cold weather this week, was a welcome relief from the previous weeks of mild deluge at least.

[shotski]

 

 

 

 

 

·

4h

 

WOW! The latest observation from Cairngorm (1,245 metres above sea level) shows a temperature of -6.4 ºC, with a gust of 119 mph! This makes it feel like -23 ºC, brrr, not a day for mountaineering!

[Captain Shortwave]

1c and heavy rain. Utterly horrible.

You only need to look at the 850s, they rise above 0c before the rain arrived, it falls from the sky as rain and cannot cool before it reaches the surface. 

Oh well......

[Ben Lewis]

I’m fairly surprised to see in the ‘far north of & North East of England’ forum, some only reporting freezing rain/sleet at best with no snow.

Was expecting to see at least pictures of a 1 to 2 inch covering of snow given the info from Meto/BBC past couple of days. 

No wonder the Dunstable Downs didn’t even see sleet fall today. 

[shotski]

 

Last one from me as Christmas drinks 

beckons

 

 

 

·

Dec 14

 

Chilly out? You ain't seen nothing yet! JOHN HAMMOND'S MONTH AHEAD #uksnow #WhiteChristmas #ukweather (link: https://weathertrending.com/2018/12/14/john-hammond-month-weather-you-think-this-cold/) weathertrending.com/2018/12/14/joh…

[Tom Quintavalle]

CHRISTMAS COUNTDOWN WITH SAMMY SNOWMAN. 

Here is the first report on the likely conditions at Noon, on Christmas Day (t240), seen through the eyes of the ECMWF 12z run.See z500 chart below:

See 850 hPa chart below:

Here is the first report for Christmas Day, from today's 12z ECMWF run (t240). High Pressure over the Azores with ridge N.E, over most of the U.K. Light N. to N.E. drift over our region. It will feel rather cold with just a chance of a wintry shower, perhaps more especially in the first half of the day before the ridge builds in.

CONTENT - (20% - 34% PROBABILITY) - ODDS - 4/1 to 2/1.

Next update: GFS 12Z. SUN.16th DEC. (t216).

Regards,

Tom.  

PS - Here is a link to Bookmaker's Odds Comparison site (Oddschecker). London (Heathrow Airport), is quoted at between 4/1 and 5/1. IMO, woefully short Odds!!

https://www.oddschecker.com/novelty/christmas/white-christmas/to-snow-on-christmas-day

Edited December 15, 2018 by TomSE12

[Ben Lewis]

Even reading the Scotland regional it’s 1cm of snow at best at low levels 

‘groundbreaking’

Unless northern England gets 5cm at height and low levels in Scotland get up to 10cm (very unlikely) the met office/ BBC well over egged this spell with their warnings & media hype. 

Maybe they got carried away with the first potential snow of the season. Who knows. 

Edited December 15, 2018 by Ben Lewis

[Coopsy]

18 minutes ago, Ben Lewis said:

Even reading the Scotland regional it’s 1cm of snow at best at low levels 

‘groundbreaking’

Unless northern England gets 5cm at height and low levels in Scotland get up to 10cm (very unlikely) the met office/ BBC well over egged this spell with their warnings & media hype. 

Maybe they got carried away with the first potential snow of the season. Who knows. 

I think most people seemed to have over egged this event. Especially in here. There were a few who said a week in advance don’t expect more than a few cms in Scotland and rain elsewhere and everyone was slating them in the model thread. As per usual 

Edited December 15, 2018 by c00ps

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, c00ps said:

I think most people seemed to have over egged this event. Especially in here. There were a few who said a week in advance don’t expect more than a few cms in Scotland and rain elsewhere and everyone was slating them in the mode thread. As per usual 

sometimes that thread can be as silly as say the Express or the Sun etc