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November 2018 C.E.T. forecasts and optional EWP contest

Roger J Smith

By Roger J Smith
in Spring Weather Discussion

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

7.4C and 78mm, thanks

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jonboy Seasoned

jonboy

Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York
Posted

6.7 and 58mmfor me please

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ItNeverSnowsInWindsor Experienced

ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor
Posted (edited)
On 19/10/2018 at 19:15, prolongedSnowLover said:

A colder and drier than normal November with 4.0c with 56mm for me please

Can I go for a wetter and milder 6.1c please with 74mm ?

Edited by prolongedSnowLover
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Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted

7.0*C and 105 mm please. Not very interesting but the signals are very mixed so it may hide some considerable variation within the month... just like we've seen in many of them this year!

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Nah changing mine to 7.5C and 65mm of rain

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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Author
Posted

Summary of the on-time forecasts:

CET forecasts (number in bracket shows order of last revised entry)

13.0 .. LG (24) ... 10.1 warmest in 1994

8.9 .. Blue (19) .. 8.4 viz (49) ... 8.2 RJS (33), syed (37)

8.0 KMan (42), daveh (60) .. 7.9 reef (57), metal (58) .. 7.8 LIS! (27)

7.7 stew (25), MWB (61) .. 7.6 star (20), dk3 (26), Froze (45), mulzy (51) .. 7.5 DR(S)NO (22), Pit (56)

7.4 Ste (2), Norr (36), BFTV (44), J10 (62) .. 7.3 stat fr (64), DSNOW (65) also mean 1988-2017 

7.2 virt (23), nwsnow (41), Don (55) .. 7.1 SB (6), damlaw (39), MBay (50) also mean 1981-2010

7.0 snowr (31), Sing (54) .. 6.9 SSun (30), MIA (43), sea60 (63) _ consensus

6.8 pegg (4), TJM14 (8), Dami (14), SLE (35), Dan* (59) .. 6.7 EdS (10), sundog (38), jon (46)

6.6 Godb (32), BFTP (53) .. 6.5 DRL (11), DWW (16) .. 6.4 w26 (12)

6.3 TWS (9), WWS (21) ... 6.2 Rad D (7) ... 6.1 Kirk (13), nn2013 (29), Mark N (34), PSL (47)

6.0 JeffC (17), w-h (52) ... 5.9 snowy (15), feb91 (40) ... 5.8 Bobd (5)

5.7 PG (3) .. 5.4 CPS (1), Leo97t (18) ..  5.3 Opt P (28) .. 5.2 cold (48)

2.3 coldest in 1782

_________________

consensus (median value) of 65 on-time forecasts 6.9 C

======================================================

EWP forecasts (order of entry does not affect scoring)

200.0 LG .. 179.0 Ste ... 140.0 virt ... 132.0 stew ...130.0 nn2013

125.0 RJS .. 124.0 star ...122.0 TWS .. 120.0 syed ... 112.0 w26 ... 110.0 Godb

106.0 Mark N ...105.0 Sing .. 102.0 JeffC, reef .. 100.0 feb91

 99.0 dk3 ... 97.0 EdS, mean 1988-2017 ... 96.5 mean 1981-2010

 95.0 DR(S)NO .. 90.0 LIS ... 

 89.0 stat fr ... 87.0 PG .. 81.0 Norr .. (con 80.5) .. 80.0 SLE, Don

 79.0 daveh, sea60 .... 78.0 BFTV .. 77.0 DSNOW ... 76.0 Rad D

 75.0 w-h, dan* .. 74.0 PSL, J10 ... 70.0 MIA ..  68.0 CPS ... 65.0 Pit

 64.0 viz ... 60.0 BFTP ... 58.0 Dami, jon ... 55.4 Kirk ..

 50.0 pegg24, DRL ... 46.0 bobd ... 38.0 TJM14

_________________________________

consensus of 46 on-time forecasts 80.5 mm. 

 

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