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Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold


Paul
Message added by Paul

If you're hunting for cold potential in the model output, this thread is for you. But if you'd like to look more widely at the models, please head over to the general model discussion thread.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
3 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Heading the way of surpassing..both 00z/6z atm....

Retro shaping-nicely!!

Yes, retro definitely shaping up nicely - 80s run coming up here.

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

Minor in the grand scheme...

But we look 4 our first split perhaps..

As the pv-is undermined!!??

gfsnh-0-204 (1).png

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

What about that wodge of WAA, to the west of Greenland? Good for a northerly blast, over here?

Netweather GFS Image

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
9 hours ago, bluearmy said:

that ec op showing why, especially with high sst’s around at this time of year, a griceland or Iceland block is more likely to bring winter than a greeny block ...... we can wait for the greeny block until once the cold and snow has arrived .......

Agree but its not impossible with a Greeny block

gfsnh-0-264_mng4.png

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Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester
1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Agree but its not impossible with a Greeny block

gfsnh-0-264_mng4.png

That is just absolute snow and freezing porn!!there is no way its gona happem like that could it!!aint seen a chart like that since 2010!!

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Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester
1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

Now this is the run we’ve been waiting for .

44B90542-F673-4123-9016-8A812029023D.png

1CA37D49-94DE-4F85-9F35-3BDA657DA1CE.png

To think we could potentially be just a week away from a full on freeze and snowfall is unreal!

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

Look at that. Bloody amazing  

949B22C8-F9AE-48C0-95C1-ECECDF2BE3AC.png

1AA4512A-11B0-4AE9-BB7C-8F107AA65915.png

Totally amazing, IC. I keeping wanting to pinch myself: am I really seeing a stonking northerly being driven-on my a 1068mb Greenland anticyclone? Oh the joys of meridional flow!:yahoo:

Netweather GFS Image

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Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent

Well.. the vortex has gone to sleep for probably a good 2-3 weeks should the 12z come off as is

Vortx.thumb.png.75d4ad182eee79a2a9e8a4d15c3ac377.png

I think this run even beats "that ECM" from 2012. Very unlikely at this stage to actually come off, of course - But I certainly doubt it's without ensemble support.

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