Hurricane Michael

[matty40s]

Just lost the bay cam here, finally inundated!!!

https://30a.com/bay-cam

[FetchCB]

Just been watching Brett Adair who had gone down to Mexico City FL but has gone on to Port Joe which is further east as he said Mexico City had no elevation and no concrete structures and it wasn't safe....I fear for anyone that has stayed there

[Skullzrulerz]

 Thanks goodness it's only got a hours left till landfall....

Landfall is estimated to be 2hrs 30 mins

Edited October 10, 2018 by Skullzrulerz

[Iceberg]

919.9mb pressure just recorded. 

Seems a little low but.  

[FetchCB]

3 minutes ago, Iceberg said:

919.9mb pressure just recorded. 

Seems a little low but.  

agreed 9mb in a little over an hour !!!

[summer blizzard]

We may have the upgrade. 

148mph surface NE quad.

919mb.

Nhc may go to 150mph with that.

[FetchCB]

Almost a perfect eye

 

 

[matty40s]

watching brandon clement and the water level has dropped a foot in a matter of a few minutes, precursor to the main storm surge???

 

https://livestormchasing.com/map

[Derecho]

7 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

 Thanks goodness it's only got a hours left till landfall....

Landfall is estimated to be 2hrs 30 mins

It may well be making landfall at the wrong time, a longer time over the ocean may have led to an eyewall replacement cycle and allowed weaking through the intake of dry air... as what happened to Florence.

Unfortunately it looks like Michael is making landfall at what would have been its peak intensity regardless.

919mb is incredible but surely it hasn't deepened that much????? that would be an unbelieveable drop

[summer blizzard]

Cat 5 winds just 6mb above the surface in the SE quad. Incredible!

[summer blizzard]

4 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

It may well be making landfall at the wrong time, a longer time over the ocean may have led to an eyewall replacement cycle and allowed weaking through the intake of dry air... as what happened to Florence.

Unfortunately it looks like Michael is making landfall at what would have been its peak intensity regardless.

919mb is incredible but surely it hasn't deepened that much????? that would be an unbelieveable drop

It is actually trying to develop a large outer eye but its nowhere close to closed and so won't do anything othet than amplify the wind a bit.

[FetchCB]

6 minutes ago, matty40s said:

watching brandon clement and the water level has dropped a foot in a matter of a few minutes, precursor to the main storm surge???

 

https://livestormchasing.com/map

Its probably the opposite of storm surge with the water being pushed away from the shore

 

Irma was an extreme example of this

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2017/09/10/why-water-receding-tampa-bay-irma-approaches/651323001/

[summer blizzard]

NHC went with the upgrade. 

Hurricane Michael is now 150mph, 923mb.

As of now, Michael will make landfall as one of the 6 strongest hurricanes on record to hit the concus.

[Hurricane Debby]

2 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

NHC went with the upgrade. 

Hurricane Michael is now 150mph, 923mb.

As of now, Michael will make landfall as one of the 6 strongest hurricanes on record to hit the concus.

Oh wow...

 

Starting to get really hairy now on Brett Adairs live feed

[pip22]

https://poweroutage.us/area/state/florida

Over 36,000 without electricity so far

 

[crimsone]

Even if it went that extra few MPH to Cat 5 now (156, iirc?), I doubt the NHC would upgrade it - there'd be no point other than to just increase any panic out there. They'd probably wait until the post-cyclone analysis to make the call.

 

[karyo]

Unbelievable how much this hurricane has strengthened in the last 48 hours even beating the models.

The only good thing is that he is not hitting the most populated areas of Florida at landfall.

[Iceberg]

He’s getting close to landfall def turn end. 

[Ross Andrew Hemphill]

17 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

Cat 5 winds just 6mb above the surface in the SE quad. Incredible!

What’s 6mb in old money (feet or metres)?

[crimsone]

Gotta love storm chaser mentality...

[Frosty hollows]

Satellite images look terrifying. Pretty close to landfall now and looks like it's intesifying further in those warm waters

Let's hope everyone on the coast has got to safety

[ChezWeather]

3 minutes ago, crimsone said:

Gotta love storm chaser mentality...

 

The stuff of dreams 

[toggerob]

Jeff is live

https://www.pscp.tv/w/1YpJkLweZjPxj

[Wiltshire_snow_lover]

 

[Iceberg]

Seems mundane but this is a totally insane run of flight winds. Massive massive area with winds of 100kts and above.