Hurricane Michael

[Iceberg]

926mb is an incredible pressure, but its worth bearing in mind that lots of recon hasn't found even high end cat 4 yet. I honest don't think there is time for cat 5.

Still lots of lots of problems though.

[summer blizzard]

Incredible.

[summer blizzard]

Last set of sondes showed 159mph at 17mb above the surface.

[FetchCB]

Dvorak 

CI# 7.2 

/Pressure 908.8mb

/ Vmax 146.0kt

[Jo Farrow]

Even some weather news crews have left https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/9182-hurricane-michael---potentially-catastrophic-for-florida-panhandle-usa

 

[weirpig]

1 minute ago, FetchCB said:

Dvorak 

CI# 7.2 

/Pressure 908.8mb

/ Vmax 146.0kt

Surely that must be a mistake  there is bombing then there is that 

[Had Worse]

 

New stream after leaving Panama City.

[Iceberg]

daylight pic.

 

IR shows some warming of cloud tops to the ne, due to land interaction.

 

[FetchCB]

Just now, weirpig said:

Surely that must be a mistake  there is bombing then there is that 

it is only an estimation based on satellite images and all through the life of this storm the estimation has been ahead of the actual as if the storm is winding up from the top down.

[Derecho]

5 minutes ago, Iceberg said:

926mb is an incredible pressure, but its worth bearing in mind that lots of recon hasn't found even high end cat 4 yet. I honest don't think there is time for cat 5.

Still lots of lots of problems though.

Remarkable indeed, it would suggest that further wind increases may be possible although I think the imminent interaction with land may stop it hitting a cat 5.

However Michael has taken everyone by surprise so far...

[weirpig]

      Close to record breaking storm surge in  Ap Florida

[Tom Jarvis]

There is going to be some insane stadium effect eye wall photos from chaser when is passes over 

[Hurricane Debby]

Brett Adair is good to watch.

 

https://livestormchasing.com/map

 

And look at these numpties !

https://www.pscp.tv/w/1LyxBQnbqMWJN?q=Hurricane+Michael

[Iceberg]

Second plane and just gone theu and recorded sub 930 pressure. 

Also 144 kt flight winds in the se quad. So a raise to 130kts might be on the cards. 

[Derecho]

Still nowhere to be seen on the front page of the BBC, madness, especially when considering how powerful this storm is!

[ChezWeather]

Anyone know landfall ETA?

[noonoo418]

2 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

Anyone know landfall ETA?

I read somewhere landfall ETA is 12pm Local time (5pm UK) so just under 2 hours to go

[Skullzrulerz]

...

[Love Snow]

3 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Still nowhere to be seen on the front page of the BBC, madness, especially when considering how powerful this storm is!

Madness indeed but who even reads the bbc these days.

[Ross Andrew Hemphill]

So will he make it to cat 5?? 

[Tom Jarvis]

9 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

Anyone know landfall ETA?

4hrs current estimate

[Skullzrulerz]

13 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

Anyone know landfall ETA?

A Matter Of Hours maybe 3-4 Hours till landfall.

[Wiltshire_snow_lover]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[FetchCB]

If the current rate of pressure drop continues it will be very close to a Cat 5 classification of <920 mb...whether this translates into wind is a different matter