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JeffC

How will Solar Minimum affect weather and climate Take 2?

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3 minutes ago, JeffC said:

Have you read it? Conclusion?

SC25 likely to be slightly weaker than the current cycle - the authors evaluated the predictions previously made using a similar model in 2016 and were happy that observations have been in line with those predicted.  They also ran simulations which indicate that the current weak cycle is not isolated but the first in a "modern Gleissburg minimum" (a 90 - 100 year cycle observed in various datasets, including those going back to 450AD)  

As for further in the future...

Quote

Unfortunately, we will need to wait another 10-15 years before we will know if the Sun will go into a deeper minimum state (e.g. the Dalton or Maunder minima, or somewhere in between) or if it will recover as it did following the last Gleissberg minimum.

 

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5 minutes ago, virtualsphere said:

SC25 likely to be slightly weaker than the current cycle - the authors evaluated the predictions previously made using a similar model in 2016 and were happy that observations have been in line with those predicted.  They also ran simulations which indicate that the current weak cycle is not isolated but the first in a "modern Gleissburg minimum" (a 90 - 100 year cycle observed in various datasets, including those going back to 450AD)  

As for further in the future...

 

Cheers, as expected then. Bring it on!

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