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October 2018 C.E.T. forecasts and optional EWP contest


Roger J Smith

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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

10.6C and 99mm.

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Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL

9.5c for me please

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Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow

10.5 c and 85mm please 

Dry, cool first half ..., 2nd half more generally unsettled 

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

10.9 c and 80mm

 

General Indian Summer conditions first 3rd to 1/2 of the month....warm days and cool nights...then potential stormy weather to arrive latter half.  CET as often may not tell a story of the month

 

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

10.2 C and 105mm please.

Damp and averagely cool to redress the warm & dry spring / summer

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

On 19/09/2018 at 17:35, Dancerwithwings said:

12.0c...Cheer’s...to start, then the 2nd half ☔

Please revise...10.5c

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

Out of interest....as we get into 2nd week 8-12 Oct...let’s see if we get a pretty warm burst of weather.....this could be the signal of the HP domination slipping east bringing SSE/ S airflow and late warmth before we see the potential very unsettled weather moving in from Atlantic.  Just a little note I’ve written 

 

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth

I'm thinking average at the moment, so let's go with 10.7C for now ...  I am thinking below average is possible too but in recent years it's been so hard to get a below average month outside of summer - I think the synoptics need to get a little more extreme to make that call.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

Where is the mm of rainfall forecast for - is it the same as the temperature forecast - the CET zone please?

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
19 hours ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Where is the mm of rainfall forecast for - is it the same as the temperature forecast - the CET zone please?

The rainfall (precip) forecast is for England and Wales, see original post for the normal values (near 100 mm). 

My forecast is for a rather mixed first half and very mild second half so perhaps we get our first 12.1 C, with 55 mm (often rather dry). 

  • Thanks 1
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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

70mm of rain and temp 10.5c.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Mmm tricky to call this one, but a slight bias to something colder than average, maybe only slightly so, possibly significantly so.. err on caution and go just a little below at 10.2 degrees, first time this has seemed possible since March. Some cold frosty nights will have an effect, Second half may bring something significantly colder..

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Posted
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
  • Weather Preferences: WINTERS WITH HEAVY DISRUPTIVE SNOWFALL AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS.
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.

Ok I'm going with 12.5c. Rain 85mm. Thanks.

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex

11.2c for me please.

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Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth

This may prove to be slightly suicidal for the CET competition... but I've seen a big shift in the charts in the past two days. Looks much warmer than I expected in the first half now, with only a small chance of a continental influence suppressing temperatures.

Please increase my prediction to 11.8C. 

Edited by Man With Beard
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