Saturday evening into Sunday 2nd Storm

[Snowyowl9]

Northern france may have severe gales.

It looks very wet instead.

[mezzacyclone]

That was a huge backdown from most of the models and quite alarming given them originally being shorterm 60-72hrs out so just goes to show accuracy is still far from certain right up until showtime, moreso when lots of factors are at play as per-present.

(Interestingly the new GFS FV3 test model stuck with a casual 1000-1003mb low tracking east through southern england deepening all the way to west russia before filling, this model also did very well with hurricane florence when the vast majority started out predicting a fish yet the FV3 maintained outputs of a carolina landfall from extremely far out right up to imminent landfall?)

[The PIT]

Met office covering themselves in glory again. Local forecast now dry for Sunday but there's a weather warning for for heavy rain. Can't have both guess I'll have to use the models too see if it's going to rain.