Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 As expected and forecast very well by the EC and very badly by gfs. We have tropical storm Gordon. Surface observations from the Florida Keys and southeast Florida, along with Doppler velocity data from the Miami radar, indicate that the disturbance has developed a closed surface circulation and a well-defined center. Recent observations from a Weatherflow site at Carys Fort Reef and radar data support increasing the maximum winds to at least 40 kt. As a result of these data, the system has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Gordon, the seventh named system of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is enroute to investigate Gordon. The initial motion estimate is 300/15 kt and the previous forecast track remains unchanged. The intensity forecast was adjusted upward in the first 24 to 36 hours to account for the initial increase in intensity. Some additional adjustments may be required after the reconnaissance aircraft completes its mission and provides more detailed information on the stricture and intensity of Gordon. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Recon is on route and Gordon has spun up quickly. I think this could well make hurricane prior landfall. Also interesting that the nhc say at least 40kts. Gom is very primed for development. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Super_Uwe 114 Posted September 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Iceberg said: Recon is on route and Gordon has spun up quickly. I think this could well make hurricane prior landfall. Also interesting that the nhc say at least 40kts. Gom is very primed for development. I follow the National Hurricane Center on FB, their latest post a couple of mins ago says Gordon "...could be near hurricane strength when it makes landfall along the central Gulf Coast". So I agree one to watch. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Gordon has some fantastic banding. The centre is embedded in a of convection just leaving Florida. Obviously overland they can’t get vortex reading, but winds of 40kt max from recon fully supporting nhc intensity. With precious and banding fantastic in the ne quad but missing in the sw, leaving the coast should allow him to get more symmetrical. This will need massive concentrate from the nhc as 3hrly changes could be substantial. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lauren 4,245 Posted September 3, 2018 (edited) Looking rough in Fort Lauderdale. http://www.portevergladeswebcam.com http://www.ftlauderdalebeachcam.com Edited September 3, 2018 by Lauren Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jo Farrow 2,068 Posted September 3, 2018 https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/9123-atlantic-hurricane-season---tropical-storm-gordon-and-disney-world-rain Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Vortex just in centre moving off the coast. And sustained 40kts. Unconfirmed reports of 60mph sustained. And some effects on electricity etc. This might spin up rapidly in the next 6 hrs. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Rain contaminated, but recon have just found sustained of 55kts and squally winds of 70+kts. Ie equals in the ne quad overland with almost 100mph wind. No wonder there are reports of power failures etc. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Rainfall rates of 79mm an hr as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Close up of developing eye wall on radar. As expected the precip is wrapping round now into the sw quad as it moves out to sea Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lauren 4,245 Posted September 3, 2018 Can a Storm be a Hurricane without an eye? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, Lauren said: Can a Storm be a Hurricane without an eye? Yes. It’s unusual though and must have a warm core centre. Gordon though is rapidly developing an eye. Recon have a bit of outline flying in the ne quad but have just started another pas towards the centre. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 That eye is clearing at an amazing speed. Eyewall strengthening. I wouldn’t like to guess what this will be when it hits land. But it WILL be a hurricane imo. Possible a potent one. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 3, 2018 Cracking eye Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lauren 4,245 Posted September 3, 2018 Certainly escalated very quickly. Think this is going to pack more of a punch than expected. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Boro Snow 1,107 Posted September 3, 2018 Just been talking to Michael Phelps on Facebook (not the swimmer lol) and he reckons it could make cat 2 before landfall Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceberg 2,241 Posted September 4, 2018 now upped to 65mph sustained winds, Gordon is out at sea prior to US landfall. Pressure is still 1003mb, partially due to the high pressure around it and also as its struggled to gets a strong persistent eye wall to allow pressure to lower. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites