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Iceberg

Hurricane Florence

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16 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Point well made! I've fixed the post in question.

Sorry. Wasn't aware.

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Wave heights of 26 metres were measured in the NE quadrant of Florence. 😨

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2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Wave heights of 26 metres were measured in the NE quadrant of Florence. 😨

Yikes, 85 feet in old money.

Imagine if wave heights are similar as it approaches land at high tide and the narrowness of some of the estuaries around there. Serious flooding indeed.

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Wave heights of 26 meters/85 feet....wow😨

This film was on the tele the other day

 

 

pstorm.jpg

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Good run to run consistency from GFS, stalling it in the same location dumping a lot of rain.

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Storm looks less threatening on the UKMO, difficult to tell as you cant zoom in to the area on any site im aware of but the isobars look less tight.

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EC has rainfall totals of around 700mm in places.

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19 minutes ago, Nick L said:

EC has rainfall totals of around 700mm in places.

Seathaite in the lakes recieved 211mm in the floods and that was devastating honister got 340 mm in  24 hours in 2015 leaving Cumbria  with an 800 million clean up bill

Edited by Mokidugway

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19 hours ago, Iceberg said:

Yes strictly. On the below they are saying at 2pm thur she will be a cat 4. Over the next 24hrs from that she will be sat approx 3-4 miles off shore as a cat 3. 

But you have to remember the eye is currently 30 miles across and the hurricane winds 100 miles. The eye wall will be 5-10 miles out from the edge of the eye. 

So for all purposes Wilmington for example will have 24 hrs of cat 4 winds before the hurricane slows down to only 100kts before the centre reaches the coast. 

I’ll be honest, looking At this I would expect 70-80% of the city of Wilmington to be destroyed. 

A2023FDD-993C-4B4C-B9C0-0715BF096F86.png

The UKMO reflects the comments you made about damage to Wilmington, I don't think with modern building codes damage will be quite to the extent you mention, but serious damage nonetheless! 

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via Twitter: Up to 200 people decided to stay on Ocracoke Island, NC. There is no road to the island, ferry service has now stopped, emergency response has now stopped. They have decided to stay on an island that might go underwater.

183-74-ocracoke-island-07.thumb.jpg.5a66ef41400febdf57e645c1a4942396.jpg

 

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7 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

via Twitter: Up to 200 people decided to stay on Ocracoke Island, NC. There is no road to the island, ferry service has now stopped, emergency response has now stopped. They have decided to stay on an island that might go underwater.

183-74-ocracoke-island-07.thumb.jpg.5a66ef41400febdf57e645c1a4942396.jpg

 

Jesus, the highest  point of the island is 91cm asl ,nutters edit ,peak baggers  say there's a high point of 27 ft 😨

Edited by Mokidugway
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12 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Jesus, the highest  point of the island is 91cm asl ,nutters edit ,peak baggers  say there's a high point of 27 ft 😨

That mentality is beyond my comprehension.. I read on some news post someone said “, I am staying here cos all my stuff is here and I don’t want it looted” .. 

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2 hours ago, Mapantz said:

Wave heights of 26 metres were measured in the NE quadrant of Florence. 😨

I feel sick just reading that 

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15 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Jesus, the highest  point of the island is 91cm asl ,nutters edit ,peak baggers  say there's a high point of 27 ft 😨

They might be mad but the storm surge should only be 1 to 3 feet above normal there as there is a large expanse of water behind it . Levels will be far worse on the mainland where water will be pushed up estuaries and rivers which will be swollen with flood water at the same time. Places such as Washington, New Bern and Greensville will se far more affected by water, ocracoke will just be smashed by the winds.....

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On 10/09/2018 at 21:03, Mokidugway said:

Think it's fair to say some winterstorms  that have hit  northern Scotland  in the past have been  equal  to cat 3 hurricanes, far more powerful  than 87 though thankfully in areas of low population 

And then there was hurricane bawbag! Never forget!

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17 minutes ago, matty40s said:

They might be mad but the storm surge should only be 1 to 3 feet above normal there as there is a large expanse of water behind it . Levels will be far worse on the mainland where water will be pushed up estuaries and rivers which will be swollen with flood water at the same time. Places such as Washington, New Bern and Greensville will se far more affected by water, ocracoke will just be smashed by the winds.....

Indeed ,similar to tsunamis  where inlet funneling  plays a part 

Edited by Mokidugway

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46 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

via Twitter: Up to 200 people decided to stay on Ocracoke Island, NC. There is no road to the island, ferry service has now stopped, emergency response has now stopped. They have decided to stay on an island that might go underwater.

183-74-ocracoke-island-07.thumb.jpg.5a66ef41400febdf57e645c1a4942396.jpg

 

Morons. To put it mildly. I really hope nobody risks their lives to save them but you know they will.

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38 minutes ago, Hurricane Debby said:

What will the time be in the UK when Florence hits NC ?

Swells are already showing but winds are due about midday tomorrow our time, give or take.

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Rainfall!

hrrr-25-36-2_pkn8.png

 

The GFS forecasts it to sit in pretty much the same position for 24 hours after that time, if it does...…..

Edited by feb1991blizzard

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