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itsnowjoke

North West Regional thread 01/09/18 Onwards......

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5 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 The low mid week has downgraded somewhat though. Hopefully we see corrections the other way soon. 

iconnh-0-144.thumb.png.5ad24adf9ff7073e13f121fb19fd055c.pnggfsnh-0-144.thumb.png.430f8584470a6be53e0bbb66f07b9831.pngUN144-21.thumb.GIF.195ce7b5463b6ddc3b90db50dfb2f242.GIF

Wouldn't take much of a shift south to become heavy snow, still good enough time for this to happen. I think looking at above charts a shift south is more likely than a shift north, still a few days before the track is resolved despite what ECM comes up with soon.

UKMO & ICON aren't far off being absolute belters.

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Anyone else feel the Model & Banter thread is a complete joke ?

5% good post, 95% absolute drivel. 

Someone posting a photo of a Squirrel hiding its nuts, Absolute drivel. 

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Just now, Winter Hill said:

Anyone else feel the Model & Banter thread is a complete joke ?

5% good post, 95% absolute drivel. 

Someone posting a photo of a Squirrel hiding its nuts, Absolute drivel. 

I decided this morning was my last post in there, going to focus on our region and that's it.

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Well Tuesday just looks better every time I look at it. 500 mb temperatures down to -41°C as well. Almost into polar low conducive territory there.

 @Day 10 Yep agreed. At least we have Tuesday first if it does go wrong.  

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Looks like potential for wintry/snow showers on Sunday and Monday as well in places.

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7 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Well Tuesday just looks better every time I look at it. 500 mb temperatures down to -41°C as well. Almost into polar low conducive territory there.

 @Day 10 Yep agreed. At least we have Tuesday first if it does go wrong.  

Yes I really like the look of Tuesday too, the dream forecast would be heavy snow showers on Tuesday followed by heavy snow weds/thurs. Very rare to have something like that but it is actually a possibility.

Edited by Day 10

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Just now, Day 10 said:

Yes I really like the look of Tuesday too, the dream forecast would be heavy snow showers on Tuesday followed by heavy snow weds/thurs. Very rare to have something like that but it is actually a possbility.

Would be great. 

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4 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:

Would be great. 

like 😂

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Bit crap that you can't see who's in here anymore

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2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Bit crap that you can't see who's in here anymore

Never saw the point of it myself. Anyway, Tuesday has to be where our attention lies.

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Peak District forecast update looks stormy and snowy for Sunday and cold with snow showers and more organised snow through next week....

staying well out of the model forum and just looking at all chart runs and making my own opinion....

Edited by WillinGlossop

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1 hour ago, Deep Snow please said:

Might actually need the shovel should that come off.

Yeah mate. We can only hope 

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1 minute ago, WillinGlossop said:

Peak District forecast update looks stormy and snowy for Sunday and cold with snow showers and more organised snow through next week....

How much is a house in Glossop?

 

(the Buxton joke was getting old).

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1 hour ago, Day 10 said:

Latest GFS for Tuesday, have to say things looking very interesting!

Temperature & Dewpoints trending lower through the day while snow showers increase 🙂

Conditions for snow better than the Tuesday just gone.

Temps

90-580UK.thumb.GIF.423af767906cc726990aeb380c21acb8.GIF96-580UK.thumb.GIF.9ebb149fd5cceeb0afc2b483f3b9e464.GIF102-580UK.thumb.GIF.5cbaeb23419237687b7d47a557d421ef.GIF108-580UK.thumb.GIF.62a5baa8f8ed5920fb993cbe1b58ce2e.GIF

Dewpoints

90-101UK.thumb.GIF.119f26a024b31c45561afda9b872be07.GIF96-101UK.thumb.GIF.2043a8d38a09409f4862566b14759885.GIF102-101UK.thumb.GIF.b1ccb6188cfe6263a29aca86b4faa8d2.GIF108-101UK.thumb.GIF.21efae78d9ece8ee9f5b029d15b1774b.GIF

Snow Showers

90-574UK.thumb.GIF.8d3b37f8b116e453ba107034b487c929.GIF96-574UK.thumb.GIF.2c3a822f5d2de0fdae8f445c88bee82d.GIF102-574UK.thumb.GIF.4fe702945d8f0db3d6f79f09ba12e587.GIF108-574UK.thumb.GIF.017af9f08020f25f6934356bbd5af90a.GIF

Snow Accumulation

90-780UK.thumb.GIF.3993c1d13e412fb36d18b3ac959456d1.GIF96-780UK.thumb.GIF.ab7bfaa4d6a866d52b0f8606a29608f2.GIF102-780UK.thumb.GIF.3776b7053145550d0802910add65c08f.GIF108-780UK.thumb.GIF.4cb97ddfe68a81f62b3713a8bd977d82.GIF114-780UK.thumb.GIF.fc8c110596e43e445cf544c776fcae8b.GIF

Just looking for my sledge - For the kids obviously 😂

 

Nailed on .... what could go wrong 🤣 I'll get my coat (may be needing it looking at that) 😀

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2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Bit crap that you can't see who's in here anymore

I’m here but I know what you mean about no names showing.

anyway only just got in so are we still in upgrade mode for our region next week and is it still dodge the low flying toys in the mad thread.

Dare I have a full on ramp here and say that the Met. O forecast for the next couple of weeks has memories of the late 70’s and early 80’s winters about it.

 yes there will no doubt be downgrades but there are plenty of snow opportunities showing and the chance of severe frosts so all I all it could be a damn site worse

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4 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

Peak District forecast update looks stormy and snowy for Sunday and cold with snow showers and more organised snow through next week....

staying well out of the model forum and just looking at all chart runs and making my own opinion....

Needs balancing out with significant portions of Goulash before sledging expidition 

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 I noticed the mountain forecasts mention a persistent period of snow on Sunday night. Haven’t seen any evidence of this on gfs. Any thoughts?  We get -8 850s then as well but thought it was looking dry. 

Edited by Chris.R

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Ill take 2 or 3 days of snow showers from a cold nw, just enough to give us a decent covering then the rest of you lot 😁 can have your easterly. No one misses out and we all go into spring happy bunnies .... 

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2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 I noticed the mountain forecasts mention a persistent period of snow on Sunday night. Haven’t seen any evidence of this on gfs. Any thoughts? 

Hard to figure out as when it was wtitten the snow prospects might have looked good, what model they used to come to that conclusion is any bodies guess.

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Whilst the Peak District forecast is obviously not applicable to all parts of the region, the mountain forecasts do give a good indication of snow level as they normally mention freezing height and snow level, which is informative for low level parts as to snow chances.

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Next frame could be interesting, or will it just sit there?

ECH1-144.GIF.thumb.png.9aed79e73747d3226b12637f8b39f74e.png

Edited by Day 10

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Preston 10cm 

Glossop 3 cm 

That can’t be correct 😂

E32F2A88-5357-4DD2-8162-EA37A6692397.gif

Edited by Winter Hill

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Folks in the mad thread are much happier again now as it looks like their snowmagedon is back on after once again pinching our bloody weather system.

i haven’t looked myself but it sounds like they are expecting feet of the stuff with everyone north of the midlands getting jack s**t.

Anyway history says they will end up being being right but until the Met O agrees with them i’ll keep my shovel at the ready.

 

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Chimichurri Steak and home cooked chips tonight... haven’t had a steak in a blooming age... a very tropical 🏝  7c out.... 

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GFS has the NW with potentially a full day of snow Tuesday 29th.

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