North West Regional thread 01/09/18 Onwards......

[gearbox100]

I don't understand why people get bothered to get excited. Over the last two years it's the same old same, snow risk up until the day then it shifts north, South or east of us. We have a snow shield around our region and it's getting stronger every year

[itsnowjoke]

I have a warning out for ice on met office site but when I click on it and zoom in I’m not under the yellow bit  

[chicken soup]

1 minute ago, gearbox100 said:

I don't understand why people get bothered to get excited. Over the last two years it's the same old same, snow risk up until the day then it shifts north, South or east of us. We have a snow shield around our region and it's getting stronger every year

Couldn't agree more.. Can't remember the last time we had some proper deep frontal snow.. Sliders always just miss us.. Anything from the south just stops short of us and most from the east gets stopped by pennines.. In the unlikely event anything substantial gets here it's marginal and rain. 

[iand61]

1 minute ago, itsnowjoke said:

I have a warning out for ice on met office site but when I click on it and zoom in I’m not under the yellow bit  

That’s the warning still valid from yesterday 

it runs out around lunchtime.

[itsnowjoke]

3 minutes ago, iand61 said:

That’s the warning still valid from yesterday 

it runs out around lunchtime.

Good I have no ice lol

[Iceaxecrampon]

Quite a few Toys being ejected..... 

[iand61]

1 minute ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Quite a few Toys being ejected..... 

What from in here or those darn sarf in the mad thread

[severe snowstorm]

5 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Quite a few Toys being ejected..... 

Toys being thrown and the low hasn't even formed yet, let alone the track settled!?

[gearbox100]

8 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Quite a few Toys being ejected..... 

I don't understand why, anyone in here could of predicted that anywhere other than here was getting snow. I predicted rain myself at work, made a bit of money this year being right. 

[Iceaxecrampon]

........on here. 

Wheres the Northern grit!?

[Deep Snow please]

10 minutes ago, iand61 said:

What from in here or those darn sarf in the mad thread

Both.

[Day 10]

GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN.

[severe snowstorm]

Updated fax still shows a cold front approaching the region at midday on Tuesday, so a spell of snow looking likely during the evening/overnight? 

[Weather-history]

29 minutes ago, gearbox100 said:

I don't understand why people get bothered to get excited. Over the last two years it's the same old same, snow risk up until the day then it shifts north, South or east of us. We have a snow shield around our region and it's getting stronger every year

That's thunder not snow. Getting snow seems to be a lot easier or more likely to occur than thunder around here. 

[Iceaxecrampon]

10 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN.

IN CAPITALS

Must be good! 

GFS Thursday looking better. 

[Day 10]

The wind is really howling here!

[Iceaxecrampon]

2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

The wind is really howling here!

......and here visiting in Oxenholme fells look great. A few blizzardy showers over toward Wetherlam. 

[iand61]

I think the only certainty with the next few days weather is the uncertainty and hopefully all regions will see some snow but as for where and when, the models are all over the place.

it’s certainly making for some banter in the mad thread though.

 

[iand61]

2 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

......and here visiting in Oxenholme fells look great. A few blizzardy showers over toward Wetherlam. 

We’ve had a few flakes flying about in the wind and the sky looks full of snow but there’s nothing showing on the radar within 100 miles of here.

i just hope I don’t look back in a weeks time and this was the only snow I ended up getting.

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, iand61 said:

We’ve had a few flakes flying about in the wind and the sky looks full of snow but there’s nothing showing on the radar within 100 miles of here.

i just hope I don’t look back in a weeks time and this was the only snow I ended up getting.

1000ft up in the South Pennines, I think you might get the odd flake mate

[Iceaxecrampon]

3 minutes ago, iand61 said:

We’ve had a few flakes flying about in the wind and the sky looks full of snow but there’s nothing showing on the radar within 100 miles of here.

i just hope I don’t look back in a weeks time and this was the only snow I ended up getting.

That’s snow on the tops now  

Don’t need a radar!!! 

 

 

[iand61]

12 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

1000ft up in the South Pennines, I think you might get the odd flake mate

I can live 2000 ft up but if everything is corrected south (bloody hate that term) then I get nowt.

i know what you mean though

[johnwirral]

31 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

The wind is really howling here!

People are getting blown around on West Kirby prom, and there’s a sandstorm on the beach.

if it keeps up it may get interesng later, especially for New Brighton, on the high tide around 4pm (although it’s not one of the largest of the year). https://www.tidetimes.org.uk/hilbre-island-tide-times

[Chris.R]

 Looks good to me. Only difference I can see is that everything is slightly delayed;  T850s are slightly higher and likewise the T500s which is a slight concern as we need them to be as low as possible for the best convection. If that low gets any closer then lapse rates won’t be steep enough.  A similar thing did happen last year if I recall when we ended up dry and cloudy in the south got battered when we were supposed to get showers. Don’t see that happening on this occasion. 

[itsnowjoke]

Very gusty here too