North West Regional thread 01/09/18 Onwards......

[dodge]

Yes wasn't in the slightest bit hopefully of any snow on Saturday but the amber warning for ice/freezing rain could be tricky for those trans pennine routes on Saturday afternoon.

[Chris.R]

Big upgrade now on 06Z WRF. It keeps that sub 0 layer all afternoon at 950/925 mb which is very interesting. Beginning to think snow will quickly transition to ice pellits/freezing rain at all levels though so make the most of any snow you see initially. 

[Jo Farrow]

23 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Freezing rain amber warning snow risk minimal now

Freezing rain Amber details - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings Treacherous on roads where it occurs 

[frosty ground]

5 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

Freezing rain Amber details - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings Treacherous on roads where it occurs 

Could you see a red warning if conditions nearer the time?

[Chris.R]

 Just checked the WRF for Buxton. Wow it looks bad there. Freezing at all levels between 4000 feet and surface all day and a massive inversion above that. 

 Still think ice pellets will be the main form of precipitation until later. 

[Had Worse]

2 hours ago, Chris.R said:

 Just checked the WRF for Buxton. Wow it looks bad there. Freezing at all levels between 4000 feet and surface all day and a massive inversion above that. 

 Still think ice pellets will be the main form of precipitation until later. 

Going to New Mills at 10am tomorrow. A624 Chunal hill is the route via Glossop.

I'm hoping to be back home by 11.15, just about missing the start.

[Chris.R]

6 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Going to New Mills at 10am tomorrow. A624 Chunal hill is the route via Glossop.

I'm hoping to be back home by 11.15, just about missing the start.

Good luck. Keep us updated on conditions there if you can.

Edited December 14, 2018 by Chris.R

[Had Worse]

36 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Good luck. Keep us updated on conditions there if you can.

Yes.

Not been posting for a while, too much going on with other things.

Still have frost on front lawn. its never thawed all-day.

[Badgers01]

27 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Yes.

Not been posting for a while, too much going on with other things.

Still have frost on front lawn. its never thawed all-day.

Even on the Solway coast the frost has been thick on the grass all day - wonder what tomorrow might bring in the north Lake District !!??

[Deep Snow please]

4 hours ago, frosty ground said:

Could you see a red warning if conditions nearer the time?

 

Freezing Rain should be an automatic red.

Edited December 14, 2018 by Deep Snow please

[WillinGlossop]

Going on a Christmas pub crawl around Glossop/old Glossop tomorrow evening....should be fun in any snow/freezing rain/ice but I’m thinking we might be included in the Manchester rain shadow whilst the snake/Woodhead are closed with ice and 20cm snow...

[carl1980]

The gritters are out we early,just gone down our road close to freezing now

[SherbertLemon]

4 hours ago, Chris.R said:

 Just checked the WRF for Buxton. Wow it looks bad there. Freezing at all levels between 4000 feet and surface all day and a massive inversion above that. 

 Still think ice pellets will be the main form of precipitation until later. 

I’m in Buxton. Will let you know!! Lots of frost on the ground that’s stayed all day today 

[Miamay]

Bitterly cold day. Looking forward to the rain tomorrow - not lol

[Chris.R]

The big question for me is: how much leeway above 0°C in the inversion do we get before local evaporative cooling stops being effective at preventing melting. In other words, will the dew-point At say 850 mb have an effect on proceedings. In theory you could have snow surviving through the inversion even passing through  temperatures a few degrees above freezing, just as you could at the surface.  

[iand61]

Just now, Miamay said:

Bitterly cold day. Looking forward to the rain tomorrow - not lol

Not if it’s going to be the freezing type anyway.

i’ll put up with the wet and cold stuff so long as I can jump in the car and drive on something better than an ice rink but tomorrow has the potential to be pretty severe, especially given that it will be one of the busiest shopping and party days of the year.

[cheshire snow]

Evening all

Due to a health scare it has been months since I last posted or looked

At the forum quite a few changes I see.Just read through the "hunt for cold thread

I see some things never change LOL.

On to the weather and tomorrow looks a conplete mess cold and wet with the threat

Of freezing Rain.

Just reading through the start thread and things are looking good for a SSW 

Due to further hospital appointments probably won't be posting until after Christmas 

So I would like to take the opportunity to wish you all a very merry Christmas

And hopefully a cold snowy January.

All the best

C.S

 

[Frost HoIIow]

1 hour ago, Chris.R said:

The big question for me is: how much leeway above 0°C in the inversion do we get before local evaporative cooling stops being effective at preventing melting. In other words, will the dew-point At say 850 mb have an effect on proceedings. In theory you could have snow surviving through the inversion even passing through  temperatures a few degrees above freezing, just as you could at the surface.  

We just need Tom Hanks to say the weather's like a box of chocolates you never know what your going to get. 

[severe snowstorm]

Not posted for a while for one reason or another. Anyway, looks like some interesting weather inbound. For areas East of Manchester, I think it will be more of a case of how much precipitation falls rather than type of precipitation. Strong South Easterly flow equals major rain shadow effect here. Could end up with very little precipitation.

[Mokidugway]

13 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Not posted for a while for one reason or another. Anyway, looks like some interesting weather inbound. For areas East of Manchester, I think it will be more of a case of how much precipitation falls rather than type of precipitation. Strong South Easterly flow equals major rain shadow effect here. Could end up with very little precipitation.

Just got back from Ambleside via coniston ,temps on car thermometer  reading -2c

[Had Worse]

2 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

Going on a Christmas pub crawl around Glossop/old Glossop tomorrow evening....should be fun in any snow/freezing rain/ice but I’m thinking we might be included in the Manchester rain shadow whilst the snake/Woodhead are closed with ice and 20cm snow...

Will be at the Band room on Derby street tomorrow evening for the CONNECT xmas party. Could we get power cuts if the ice is bad enough?

[Day 10]

1 hour ago, cheshire snow said:

Evening all

Due to a health scare it has been months since I last posted or looked

At the forum quite a few changes I see.Just read through the "hunt for cold thread

I see some things never change LOL.

On to the weather and tomorrow looks a conplete mess cold and wet with the threat

Of freezing Rain.

Just reading through the start thread and things are looking good for a SSW 

Due to further hospital appointments probably won't be posting until after Christmas 

So I would like to take the opportunity to wish you all a very merry Christmas

And hopefully a cold snowy January.

All the best

C.S

 

Hope you are ok mate, to good health  

[Mokidugway]

1 hour ago, cheshire snow said:

Evening all

Due to a health scare it has been months since I last posted or looked

At the forum quite a few changes I see.Just read through the "hunt for cold thread

I see some things never change LOL.

On to the weather and tomorrow looks a conplete mess cold and wet with the threat

Of freezing Rain.

Just reading through the start thread and things are looking good for a SSW 

Due to further hospital appointments probably won't be posting until after Christmas 

So I would like to take the opportunity to wish you all a very merry Christmas

And hopefully a cold snowy January.

All the best

C.S

 

Good to see you back

[Day 10]

Liverpool Christmas Markets for me tomorrow, shopping? Oh no, just beer and freezing rain! 

[Had Worse]

2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Liverpool Christmas Markets for me tomorrow, shopping? Oh no, just beer and freezing rain! 

Or freezing beer and rain