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Early comparison between the icon and the radar for 3am...

iconeu_uk1-1-4-0.png

Screenshot_20190131_030805.jpg

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Just been to the loo. Still no freezing fog!!

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GFS sticking to its guns and going further north with the 00z compared to the 18z. See below the comparison between the two for +24. 

30-574UK.gif

24-574UK (1).gif

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51 minutes ago, MKN said:

GFS sticking to its guns and going further north with the 00z compared to the 18z. See below the comparison between the two for +24. 

30-574UK.gif

24-574UK (1).gif

Suprised it's gone further North. Be intresting to see where ECM takes it.

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There is freezing fog here and everywhere white with frost. Looks cold out there. Pity there is no snow for up here in the north.

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Is it me or does the band look further north? Or is that how it was forecast and it'll just slide and pivot and go south?

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Just hoping it stays at that trajectory that it's currently and doesn't start to pivot too early 

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3 minutes ago, Vmistry said:

Just hoping it stays at that trajectory that it's currently and doesn't start to pivot too early 

It's further North and way ahead of schedule.

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Just now, snowangel32 said:

It's further North and way ahead of schedule.

Is it a good thing that it's ahead of schedule?

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Just now, Vmistry said:

Is it a good thing that it's ahead of schedule?

Shouldn't make to much diffrence maybe just makes it slightly marginal for those near the coast. As MKN showed its also further North than Icon predicted for the same time. Check out the radar its currently in Ireland.

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Further North is a good thing if correct. Met Office forecast looks very bland for South Birmingham now, just a 50% chance of light snow between 11pm and 4am. Huge downgrade vs.this time yesterday when it was showing 12 hours and a few hours of heavy snow with 80% probability.

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I’d say if it’s further north and ahead of schedule at this time that’s a good thing, hopefully means more of the midlands will get in on the act and will probably be heavier and last longer, that’s my take on it anyway

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Need it to continue heading in that direction and then pivot 

20190131_061717.jpg

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3 minutes ago, Gustywind said:

Further North is a good thing if correct. Met Office forecast looks very bland for South Birmingham now, just a 50% chance of light snow between 11pm and 4am. Huge downgrade vs.this time yesterday when it was showing 12 hours and a few hours of heavy snow with 80% probability.

Don't worry about the Apps they will change like every half an hour lol. Met still same for me and it has to pass you to get to my area lol.

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Gfs 00z is banging for the midlands!!leicester once again doing well!!

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3 minutes ago, shaky said:

Gfs 00z is banging for the midlands!!leicester once again doing well!!

Regional forecast on bbc a moment ago shows it just about grazing Leicester 

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ECM, Euro4 and Hirlam all way further south this morning.

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Freezing Fog here and temp -7.2c Dp -8c

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9 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

ignore that member, no charts whatsoever, no evidence to ever back things up

Proof from GFS it’s be coming less of an event 18z and this mornings 00z 10 day. 

94B8F3D6-CDB4-437A-8E9E-F59880D38874.png

90ABC2A2-C840-4D26-A694-38E04003230D.png

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6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

ECM, Euro4 and Hirlam all way further south this morning.

Doubt those will be much use now more the window and radar

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For balance, the met Office has upgraded from 2 hours light snow to 5 hours light snow 😉

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wow! a chilly -5'c here this morning. Whether it snows or not, just been the coldest night of the winter so far 🙂

no fog though.....meh!

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