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Midlands Regional Discussion


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Ok, I have to reply to this because it's misleading the entire thread, iv studied radars and the weather all my life, the low pressure that formed along the south side of the main low is pushing east,

Nathan "not a weatherman" Rao of the Express says "Army on Standby as heaviest SNOWFALL hits in next 24 hours" What a bellend!    

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Just now, snowangel32 said:

Matt where's Matt lookkkkk

SmartSelect_20190130-154614_Firefox.thumb.jpg.1a865de9ac30f167834638edf3358f25.jpg

Think I'm right on the edge of the darker blue? Always hard to pinpoint my exact location on these maps. More than most models give me anyway.

39-574UK.gif

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2 minutes ago, Ninman said:

GFS looks good for south Midlands - north midlands look to get a couple of cms from it, but looks light on its northern edge

Gfs looks good for all the mids. But trying to guess totals when the models don't agree yet is really pointless. But good to see it go further North and Icon pretty much the same as it was with light snow further North. Good start so far to the 12z

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The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now ?

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Just now, andy_leics22 said:

The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now ?

I'll whip out the Ouija board and bring you here in spirit. ?

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Hoping for some agreement that this feature tracks a tad further north to really lock in expectations. I am not too far from MattStoke. I am out in Alton (Staffordshire). Hoping we get something from this feature. Yesterday was a nightmare, rain/sleet in Hanley then driving through the winter wonderland of Werrington and Cellarhead and home to nothing! Really fancy a snow day!.

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2 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:

The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now ?

Hi Andy great  to hear from you again. I hope your right as METO has a completely different view ? 

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Just now, #windysnow# said:

Hi Andy great  to hear from you again. I hope your right as METO has a completely different view ? 

Thanks mate ? I may be living about 2000 miles away at the moment but I'm still excited for you guys if you get some snow ?

 It's rare to see the GFS wrong at t24-t30. I know the METO is a respected model but I've seen that backtrack towards the GFS at such a short timeframe, a fair few times. Let's see what happens, personally i'm going by what the GFS is saying at the moment.

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7 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:

The latest GFS run looks very tasty for those in the Midlands. I think Birmingham, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire and Coventry/Wawrickshire will probably be in the sweet spot. 

It seems to pivot over the Midlands before slowly dying out! Could see 5-10cm, widespread! Wish I was there now ?

I hope you're right mate!

 

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The met office regional web site forecast are a joke 

It shows for coventry a period of 4hrs of light snow from midnight thursday into friday and thats it were as bbc app shows snowfall from 6pm thursday to friday 11am

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5 minutes ago, shezale said:

The met office regional web site forecast are a joke 

It shows for coventry a period of 4hrs of light snow from midnight thursday into friday and thats it were as bbc app shows snowfall from 6pm thursday to friday 11am

If Hiralm is right we will get none maybe far South mids. Gfs is right were in sweet spot. So much uncertainty

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Just now, snowangel32 said:

If Hiralm is right we will get none maybe far South mids. Gfs is right were in sweet spot. So much uncertainty

Yeah i just seen the hiralm if that was right we would be left totally dry..i fear the hiralm will be right as it performs better than the gfs..

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1 minute ago, i love snow said:

Just seen BBC weather forecast and shown Thursday night and thought it look quite good for Midlands... well better than it did earlier. 

Maybe there are going with the gfs and met office are going with the hiralm

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7 minutes ago, shezale said:

The met office regional web site forecast are a joke 

It shows for coventry a period of 4hrs of light snow from midnight thursday into friday and thats it were as bbc app shows snowfall from 6pm thursday to friday 11am

Take no notice of met and BBC symbols as there fully automated and have no human input. So will always chop and change. If it snows it snows if it don't it don't. But we all need to remember no model is necessarily 100% right. The snow could be north or south of predicted path. Radar will be best to use when the system is in view. 

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3 minutes ago, i love snow said:

Just seen BBC weather forecast and shown Thursday night and thought it look quite good for Midlands... well better than it did earlier. 

Means they have to be punting for the gfs being right.

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