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Ok, I have to reply to this because it's misleading the entire thread, iv studied radars and the weather all my life, the low pressure that formed along the south side of the main low is pushing east,

Nathan "not a weatherman" Rao of the Express says "Army on Standby as heaviest SNOWFALL hits in next 24 hours" What a bellend!    

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1 hour ago, MKN said:

The updated MetOffice warning is nothing more than a normal wintry day with some snow about.

 

 "Snow amounts will vary markedly across England and Wales with many places seeing very little accumulating snow. With cold air in place along with areas of rain and snow icy stretches are likely to form."

The matrix is the telling factor just one step away from amber from either side

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Certainly lower overall now...

If this is correct and the metoffice puts an amber warning out for it we will be the laughing stock of the world. ?

Screenshot_20190130_120217.jpg

Edited by MKN
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24 minutes ago, MKN said:

Certainly lower overall now...

If this is correct and the metoffice puts an amber warning out for it we will be the laughing stock of the world. ?

Screenshot_20190130_120217.jpg

They forgot to put 'SOD ALL' over Stoke, in massive, bold letters ?

Edited by MattStoke
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7 minutes ago, MKN said:

Certainly lower overall now...

If this is correct and the metoffice puts an amber warning out for it we will be the laughing stock of the world. ?

Screenshot_20190130_120217.jpg

I am sure those totals will go up if yellow warning upgraded to amber. Let's not forget is doesn't need much snow to gridlock our road system.

Edited by jimben
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3 minutes ago, jimben said:

I am sure those totals will go up if yellow warning upgraded to amber. Let's not forget is doesn't need much snow to gridlock our road system.

How would modelled totals rise if a warning upgraded to amber? 

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1 hour ago, kold weather said:

Yep HIRLAM is a little further north than the other models. I do think the models may have slightly over-extended how far south and may slightly re-correct back north. Not much, but a little...and a little is all some of you guys need!

FWIW HIRLAM is based off of the ECMWF framework, so in theory it should be very good (as is ARPEGE I believe). It did indeed do very well last winter (as did ICON) they are the two main ones I'd be watching in terms of details at this range.

I don't think the S.Midlands is out of the game at all, it may not be as heavy as it is further south, but it should still do ok I feel.

Any update on 06z ecm buddy?!!please say its pushed further north or at least the same!!

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27 minutes ago, MKN said:

Certainly lower overall now...

If this is correct and the metoffice puts an amber warning out for it we will be the laughing stock of the world. ?

Screenshot_20190130_120217.jpg

Love the big hole around Warwick, Stratford and Wellesbourne. Figures ??

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It does seem overall to be way weaker band than forecast Met and BBC say light snow from Thursday 7pm until Friday 10am. Also the band will hopefully hit the Midlands at nite so settling shouldn't be an issue. 12z should be the decider as the low comes into view.

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8 minutes ago, VeryCold said:

Love the big hole around Warwick, Stratford and Wellesbourne. Figures ??

With regards to that... It looks very similar to the GFS parallel prediction. Possibly an idea of the BBC's model of choice. 

Screenshot_20190130_123934.jpg

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4 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:

Nathan "not a weatherman" Rao of the Express says "Army on Standby as heaviest SNOWFALL hits in next 24 hours"

What a bellend!
 

 

In all fairness you could probably argue the army are on standby for any major situation all year round so strictly speaking he could be right ?

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5 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:

Nathan "not a weatherman" Rao of the Express says "Army on Standby as heaviest SNOWFALL hits in next 24 hours"

What a bellend!
 

 

According to Mark Duell of the Daily Mail we're all in the midst of a 'deep freeze' and it's a 'whiteout wednesday'. I wonder who's using the family brain cell this week in the Duell clan? 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6647465/Black-ice-menace-roads-workers-wake-bone-chilling-3C-lows.html

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2 minutes ago, MKN said:

In all fairness you could probably argue the army are on standby for any major situation all year round so strictly speaking he could be right ?

Yes, I'm sure that is the case. What really winds me up about Rao is his constant apocalyptic weather "forecasts". My next door neighbour, a lady in her 70's who still regards the Express as respectable newspaper as it was (possibly) in decades past and she reads this stuff and believes it - causes unnecessary fear and stress. I did tell him he was a bellend on twitter but he blocked me after that....

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Just now, shaky said:

That actually reaches the likes of nottingham i would defo bank that!!

Yes mate and you have to think at this range and the Met with there super computers and access to models we cant see that it won't be dar of that. BBC just use ECM from what I understand.

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4 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

I’ll take this!

7CDA5968-A034-4954-94FC-D20B2B27924F.jpeg

Actually, on closer inspection, not sure it quite reaches here.

Why cant they put brum on the Bloody map.  I know it a cess pit  but come on  the whole of inland England is blank 

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